Mapping tree species vulnerability to multiple threats as a guide to restoration and conservation of tropical dry forests
Understanding the vulnerability of tree species to anthropogenic threats is important for the efficient planning of restoration and conservation efforts. We quantified and compared the effects of future climate change and four current threats (fire, habitat conversion, overgrazing and overexploitati...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Global change biology Jg. 26; H. 6; S. 3552 - 3568 |
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| Hauptverfasser: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
| Format: | Journal Article |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
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England
Blackwell Publishing Ltd
01.06.2020
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| ISSN: | 1354-1013, 1365-2486, 1365-2486 |
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| Abstract | Understanding the vulnerability of tree species to anthropogenic threats is important for the efficient planning of restoration and conservation efforts. We quantified and compared the effects of future climate change and four current threats (fire, habitat conversion, overgrazing and overexploitation) on the 50 most common tree species of the tropical dry forests of northwestern Peru and southern Ecuador. We used an ensemble modelling approach to predict species distribution ranges, employed freely accessible spatial datasets to map threat exposures, and developed a trait‐based scoring approach to estimate species‐specific sensitivities, using differentiated trait weights in accordance with their expected importance in determining species sensitivities to specific threats. Species‐specific vulnerability maps were constructed from the product of the exposure maps and the sensitivity estimates. We found that all 50 species face considerable threats, with an average of 46% of species’ distribution ranges displaying high or very high vulnerability to at least one of the five threats. Our results suggest that current levels of habitat conversion, overexploitation and overgrazing pose larger threats to most of the studied species than climate change. We present a spatially explicit planning strategy for species‐specific restoration and conservation actions, proposing management interventions to focus on (a) in situ conservation of tree populations and seed collection for tree planting activities in areas with low vulnerability to climate change and current threats; (b) ex situ conservation or translocation of populations in areas with high climate change vulnerability; and (c) active planting or assisted regeneration in areas under high current threat vulnerability but low climate change vulnerability, provided that interventions are in place to lower threat pressure. We provide an online, user‐friendly tool to visualize both the vulnerability maps and the maps indicating priority restoration and conservation actions.
We quantified and compared the effects of future climate change and four current threats (fire, habitat conversion, overgrazing, and overexploitation) on the 50 most common tree species of the tropical dry forests of northwestern Peru and southern Ecuador, using a trait‐based scoring approach to estimate species sensitivities towards each of these threats. Our results suggest that current levels of habitat conversion, overexploitation, and overgrazing pose larger threats to most of the studied species than climate change. Based on the results of our multi‐threat vulnerability assessment, we present a spatially explicit planning strategy for species‐specific restoration and conservation actions. |
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| AbstractList | Understanding the vulnerability of tree species to anthropogenic threats is important for the efficient planning of restoration and conservation efforts. We quantified and compared the effects of future climate change and four current threats (fire, habitat conversion, overgrazing and overexploitation) on the 50 most common tree species of the tropical dry forests of northwestern Peru and southern Ecuador. We used an ensemble modelling approach to predict species distribution ranges, employed freely accessible spatial datasets to map threat exposures, and developed a trait‐based scoring approach to estimate species‐specific sensitivities, using differentiated trait weights in accordance with their expected importance in determining species sensitivities to specific threats. Species‐specific vulnerability maps were constructed from the product of the exposure maps and the sensitivity estimates. We found that all 50 species face considerable threats, with an average of 46% of species’ distribution ranges displaying high or very high vulnerability to at least one of the five threats. Our results suggest that current levels of habitat conversion, overexploitation and overgrazing pose larger threats to most of the studied species than climate change. We present a spatially explicit planning strategy for species‐specific restoration and conservation actions, proposing management interventions to focus on (a) in situ conservation of tree populations and seed collection for tree planting activities in areas with low vulnerability to climate change and current threats; (b) ex situ conservation or translocation of populations in areas with high climate change vulnerability; and (c) active planting or assisted regeneration in areas under high current threat vulnerability but low climate change vulnerability, provided that interventions are in place to lower threat pressure. We provide an online, user‐friendly tool to visualize both the vulnerability maps and the maps indicating priority restoration and conservation actions.
We quantified and compared the effects of future climate change and four current threats (fire, habitat conversion, overgrazing, and overexploitation) on the 50 most common tree species of the tropical dry forests of northwestern Peru and southern Ecuador, using a trait‐based scoring approach to estimate species sensitivities towards each of these threats. Our results suggest that current levels of habitat conversion, overexploitation, and overgrazing pose larger threats to most of the studied species than climate change. Based on the results of our multi‐threat vulnerability assessment, we present a spatially explicit planning strategy for species‐specific restoration and conservation actions. Understanding the vulnerability of tree species to anthropogenic threats is important for the efficient planning of restoration and conservation efforts. We quantified and compared the effects of future climate change and four current threats (fire, habitat conversion, overgrazing and overexploitation) on the 50 most common tree species of the tropical dry forests of northwestern Peru and southern Ecuador. We used an ensemble modelling approach to predict species distribution ranges, employed freely accessible spatial datasets to map threat exposures, and developed a trait-based scoring approach to estimate species-specific sensitivities, using differentiated trait weights in accordance with their expected importance in determining species sensitivities to specific threats. Species-specific vulnerability maps were constructed from the product of the exposure maps and the sensitivity estimates. We found that all 50 species face considerable threats, with an average of 46% of species' distribution ranges displaying high or very high vulnerability to at least one of the five threats. Our results suggest that current levels of habitat conversion, overexploitation and overgrazing pose larger threats to most of the studied species than climate change. We present a spatially explicit planning strategy for species-specific restoration and conservation actions, proposing management interventions to focus on (a) in situ conservation of tree populations and seed collection for tree planting activities in areas with low vulnerability to climate change and current threats; (b) ex situ conservation or translocation of populations in areas with high climate change vulnerability; and (c) active planting or assisted regeneration in areas under high current threat vulnerability but low climate change vulnerability, provided that interventions are in place to lower threat pressure. We provide an online, user-friendly tool to visualize both the vulnerability maps and the maps indicating priority restoration and conservation actions.Understanding the vulnerability of tree species to anthropogenic threats is important for the efficient planning of restoration and conservation efforts. We quantified and compared the effects of future climate change and four current threats (fire, habitat conversion, overgrazing and overexploitation) on the 50 most common tree species of the tropical dry forests of northwestern Peru and southern Ecuador. We used an ensemble modelling approach to predict species distribution ranges, employed freely accessible spatial datasets to map threat exposures, and developed a trait-based scoring approach to estimate species-specific sensitivities, using differentiated trait weights in accordance with their expected importance in determining species sensitivities to specific threats. Species-specific vulnerability maps were constructed from the product of the exposure maps and the sensitivity estimates. We found that all 50 species face considerable threats, with an average of 46% of species' distribution ranges displaying high or very high vulnerability to at least one of the five threats. Our results suggest that current levels of habitat conversion, overexploitation and overgrazing pose larger threats to most of the studied species than climate change. We present a spatially explicit planning strategy for species-specific restoration and conservation actions, proposing management interventions to focus on (a) in situ conservation of tree populations and seed collection for tree planting activities in areas with low vulnerability to climate change and current threats; (b) ex situ conservation or translocation of populations in areas with high climate change vulnerability; and (c) active planting or assisted regeneration in areas under high current threat vulnerability but low climate change vulnerability, provided that interventions are in place to lower threat pressure. We provide an online, user-friendly tool to visualize both the vulnerability maps and the maps indicating priority restoration and conservation actions. Understanding the vulnerability of tree species to anthropogenic threats is important for the efficient planning of restoration and conservation efforts. We quantified and compared the effects of future climate change and four current threats (fire, habitat conversion, overgrazing and overexploitation) on the 50 most common tree species of the tropical dry forests of northwestern Peru and southern Ecuador. We used an ensemble modelling approach to predict species distribution ranges, employed freely accessible spatial datasets to map threat exposures, and developed a trait-based scoring approach to estimate species-specific sensitivities, using differentiated trait weights in accordance with their expected importance in determining species sensitivities to specific threats. Species-specific vulnerability maps were constructed from the product of the exposure maps and the sensitivity estimates. We found that all 50 species face considerable threats, with an average of 46% of species' distribution ranges displaying high or very high vulnerability to at least one of the five threats. Our results suggest that current levels of habitat conversion, overexploitation and overgrazing pose larger threats to most of the studied species than climate change. We present a spatially explicit planning strategy for species-specific restoration and conservation actions, proposing management interventions to focus on (a) in situ conservation of tree populations and seed collection for tree planting activities in areas with low vulnerability to climate change and current threats; (b) ex situ conservation or translocation of populations in areas with high climate change vulnerability; and (c) active planting or assisted regeneration in areas under high current threat vulnerability but low climate change vulnerability, provided that interventions are in place to lower threat pressure. We provide an online, user-friendly tool to visualize both the vulnerability maps and the maps indicating priority restoration and conservation actions. |
| Author | Gaisberger, Hannes Atkinson, Rachel Kindt, Roeland Thomas, Evert Van Meerbeek, Koenraad Marcelo‐Peña, José L. Aguirre‐Mendoza, Zhofre Muys, Bart Briers, Siebe Espinosa, Carlos I. Fremout, Tobias Cabrera, Omar Muenchow, Jannes Gutierrez‐Miranda, Claudia E. |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Tobias orcidid: 0000-0002-0812-3027 surname: Fremout fullname: Fremout, Tobias organization: Alliance Bioversity International – CIAT – sequence: 2 givenname: Evert orcidid: 0000-0002-7838-6228 surname: Thomas fullname: Thomas, Evert organization: Alliance Bioversity International – CIAT – sequence: 3 givenname: Hannes orcidid: 0000-0002-6023-1236 surname: Gaisberger fullname: Gaisberger, Hannes organization: Alliance Bioversity International – CIAT – sequence: 4 givenname: Koenraad orcidid: 0000-0002-9260-3815 surname: Van Meerbeek fullname: Van Meerbeek, Koenraad organization: KU Leuven – sequence: 5 givenname: Jannes orcidid: 0000-0001-7834-4717 surname: Muenchow fullname: Muenchow, Jannes organization: Friedrich Schiller University – sequence: 6 givenname: Siebe surname: Briers fullname: Briers, Siebe organization: KU Leuven – sequence: 7 givenname: Claudia E. surname: Gutierrez‐Miranda fullname: Gutierrez‐Miranda, Claudia E. organization: Universidad Nacional Agraria La Molina – sequence: 8 givenname: José L. orcidid: 0000-0002-0095-4643 surname: Marcelo‐Peña fullname: Marcelo‐Peña, José L. organization: Universidad Nacional de Jaén – sequence: 9 givenname: Roeland orcidid: 0000-0002-7672-0712 surname: Kindt fullname: Kindt, Roeland organization: World Agroforestry – sequence: 10 givenname: Rachel surname: Atkinson fullname: Atkinson, Rachel organization: Alliance Bioversity International – CIAT – sequence: 11 givenname: Omar surname: Cabrera fullname: Cabrera, Omar organization: Universidad Técnica Particular de Loja – sequence: 12 givenname: Carlos I. orcidid: 0000-0002-5330-4505 surname: Espinosa fullname: Espinosa, Carlos I. organization: Universidad Técnica Particular de Loja – sequence: 13 givenname: Zhofre orcidid: 0000-0002-6829-3028 surname: Aguirre‐Mendoza fullname: Aguirre‐Mendoza, Zhofre organization: Universidad Nacional de Loja – sequence: 14 givenname: Bart orcidid: 0000-0001-9421-527X surname: Muys fullname: Muys, Bart email: bart.muys@kuleuven.be organization: KU Leuven |
| BackLink | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32020698$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed |
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| Publisher | Blackwell Publishing Ltd |
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| SubjectTerms | Anthropogenic factors Climate change Climate effects Conservation Conversion Distribution Dry forests Ecuador ex situ conservation Forest management functional traits Geographical distribution Habitats Mapping multithreat vulnerability Overexploitation Overgrazing Peru Plant species Planting Populations Regeneration Regeneration (biological) Restoration restoration and conservation planning seed collecting Seed collection Sensitivity spatial data Species Threats Translocation Tree planting trees Tropical climate tropical dry forest Tropical forests Vulnerability Wildlife conservation |
| Title | Mapping tree species vulnerability to multiple threats as a guide to restoration and conservation of tropical dry forests |
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