Predictive Policing: Review of Benefits and Drawbacks

This literature review illuminates the conceptualization of predictive policing, and also its potential and realized benefits and drawbacks. The review shows a discrepancy between the considerable attention for potential benefits and drawbacks of predictive policing in the literature, and the empiri...

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Veröffentlicht in:International journal of public administration Jg. 42; H. 12; S. 1031 - 1039
Hauptverfasser: Meijer, Albert, Wessels, Martijn
Format: Journal Article
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: New York Routledge 10.09.2019
Marcel Dekker, Inc
Schlagworte:
Benefits
Big Data
Community research
Concept formation
Crime
Crime prevention
Expectations
literature review
Literature reviews
Policing
Predictions
predictive algorithms
Predictive policing
Research methodology
ISSN:0190-0692, 1532-4265
Online-Zugang:Volltext
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Zusammenfassung:This literature review illuminates the conceptualization of predictive policing, and also its potential and realized benefits and drawbacks. The review shows a discrepancy between the considerable attention for potential benefits and drawbacks of predictive policing in the literature, and the empirical evidence that is available. The empirical evidence provides little support for the claimed benefits of predictive policing. Whereas some empirical studies conclude that predictive policing strategies lead to a decrease in crime, others find no effect. At the same time, there is no empirical evidence at all for the claimed drawbacks. We conclude that the current thrust of predictive policing initiatives is based on convincing arguments and anecdotal evidence rather than on systematic empirical research. We urge the research community to do independent tests of both positive and negative expectations to generate an evidence base for predictive policing.
Bibliographie:ObjectType-Article-1
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ISSN:0190-0692
1532-4265
DOI:10.1080/01900692.2019.1575664