A SVD-based ensemble projection algorithm for calculating the conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation
Conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation(CNOP) is an extension of the linear singular vector technique in the nonlinear regime.It represents the initial perturbation that is subjected to a given physical constraint,and results in the largest nonlinear evolution at the prediction time.CNOP-type err...
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| Published in: | Science China. Earth sciences Vol. 58; no. 3; pp. 385 - 394 |
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| Main Authors: | , , |
| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | English |
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01.03.2015
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| ISSN: | 1674-7313, 1869-1897 |
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| Abstract | Conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation(CNOP) is an extension of the linear singular vector technique in the nonlinear regime.It represents the initial perturbation that is subjected to a given physical constraint,and results in the largest nonlinear evolution at the prediction time.CNOP-type errors play an important role in the predictability of weather and climate.Generally,when calculating CNOP in a complicated numerical model,we need the gradient of the objective function with respect to the initial perturbations to provide the descent direction for searching the phase space.The adjoint technique is widely used to calculate the gradient of the objective function.However,it is difficult and cumbersome to construct the adjoint model of a complicated numerical model,which imposes a limitation on the application of CNOP.Based on previous research,this study proposes a new ensemble projection algorithm based on singular vector decomposition(SVD).The new algorithm avoids the localization procedure of previous ensemble projection algorithms,and overcomes the uncertainty caused by choosing the localization radius empirically.The new algorithm is applied to calculate the CNOP in an intermediate forecasting model.The results show that the CNOP obtained by the new ensemble-based algorithm can effectively approximate that calculated by the adjoint algorithm,and retains the general spatial characteristics of the latter.Hence,the new SVD-based ensemble projection algorithm proposed in this study is an effective method of approximating the CNOP. |
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| AbstractList | Conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation (CNOP) is an extension of the linear singular vector technique in the nonlinear regime. It represents the initial perturbation that is subjected to a given physical constraint, and results in the largest nonlinear evolution at the prediction time. CNOP-type errors play an important role in the predictability of weather and climate. Generally, when calculating CNOP in a complicated numerical model, we need the gradient of the objective function with respect to the initial perturbations to provide the descent direction for searching the phase space. The adjoint technique is widely used to calculate the gradient of the objective function. However, it is difficult and cumbersome to construct the adjoint model of a complicated numerical model, which imposes a limitation on the application of CNOP. Based on previous research, this study proposes a new ensemble projection algorithm based on singular vector decomposition (SVD). The new algorithm avoids the localization procedure of previous ensemble projection algorithms, and overcomes the uncertainty caused by choosing the localization radius empirically. The new algorithm is applied to calculate the CNOP in an intermediate forecasting model. The results show that the CNOP obtained by the new ensemble-based algorithm can effectively approximate that calculated by the adjoint algorithm, and retains the general spatial characteristics of the latter. Hence, the new SVD-based ensemble projection algorithm proposed in this study is an effective method of approximating the CNOP. Conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation(CNOP) is an extension of the linear singular vector technique in the nonlinear regime.It represents the initial perturbation that is subjected to a given physical constraint,and results in the largest nonlinear evolution at the prediction time.CNOP-type errors play an important role in the predictability of weather and climate.Generally,when calculating CNOP in a complicated numerical model,we need the gradient of the objective function with respect to the initial perturbations to provide the descent direction for searching the phase space.The adjoint technique is widely used to calculate the gradient of the objective function.However,it is difficult and cumbersome to construct the adjoint model of a complicated numerical model,which imposes a limitation on the application of CNOP.Based on previous research,this study proposes a new ensemble projection algorithm based on singular vector decomposition(SVD).The new algorithm avoids the localization procedure of previous ensemble projection algorithms,and overcomes the uncertainty caused by choosing the localization radius empirically.The new algorithm is applied to calculate the CNOP in an intermediate forecasting model.The results show that the CNOP obtained by the new ensemble-based algorithm can effectively approximate that calculated by the adjoint algorithm,and retains the general spatial characteristics of the latter.Hence,the new SVD-based ensemble projection algorithm proposed in this study is an effective method of approximating the CNOP. |
| Author | CHEN Lei DUAN WanSuo XU Hui |
| AuthorAffiliation | LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China College of Earth Science, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Lei surname: Chen fullname: Chen, Lei organization: LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, College of Earth Science, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences – sequence: 2 givenname: WanSuo surname: Duan fullname: Duan, WanSuo organization: LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences – sequence: 3 givenname: Hui surname: Xu fullname: Xu, Hui email: xuh@lasg.iap.ac.cn organization: LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences |
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| CitedBy_id | crossref_primary_10_1007_s11401_022_0376_8 crossref_primary_10_1007_s11430_016_9061_3 crossref_primary_10_1007_s00382_019_05021_7 crossref_primary_10_1007_s11430_016_5127_8 crossref_primary_10_1007_s00376_019_9040_y crossref_primary_10_1007_s00382_021_05668_1 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_ocemod_2023_102213 crossref_primary_10_1175_WAF_D_21_0063_1 crossref_primary_10_1093_nsr_nwz039 crossref_primary_10_1155_2017_3208431 crossref_primary_10_5194_npg_30_263_2023 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_cageo_2017_06_014 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_cageo_2015_06_016 crossref_primary_10_1029_2023JD038645 |
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| Notes | singular vector decomposition; ensemble projection algorithm; ENSO; conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation Conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation(CNOP) is an extension of the linear singular vector technique in the nonlinear regime.It represents the initial perturbation that is subjected to a given physical constraint,and results in the largest nonlinear evolution at the prediction time.CNOP-type errors play an important role in the predictability of weather and climate.Generally,when calculating CNOP in a complicated numerical model,we need the gradient of the objective function with respect to the initial perturbations to provide the descent direction for searching the phase space.The adjoint technique is widely used to calculate the gradient of the objective function.However,it is difficult and cumbersome to construct the adjoint model of a complicated numerical model,which imposes a limitation on the application of CNOP.Based on previous research,this study proposes a new ensemble projection algorithm based on singular vector decomposition(SVD).The new algorithm avoids the localization procedure of previous ensemble projection algorithms,and overcomes the uncertainty caused by choosing the localization radius empirically.The new algorithm is applied to calculate the CNOP in an intermediate forecasting model.The results show that the CNOP obtained by the new ensemble-based algorithm can effectively approximate that calculated by the adjoint algorithm,and retains the general spatial characteristics of the latter.Hence,the new SVD-based ensemble projection algorithm proposed in this study is an effective method of approximating the CNOP. 11-5843/P SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1 ObjectType-Feature-1 content type line 14 ObjectType-Article-1 ObjectType-Feature-2 content type line 23 |
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| PublicationTitle | Science China. Earth sciences |
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| SubjectTerms | Algorithms Climate Earth and Environmental Science Earth Sciences Mathematical models Nonlinear equations Objective function Research Paper Studies SVD Weather forecasting 伴随模式 初始扰动 基础 投影算法 计算条件 集成 非线性 |
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| Title | A SVD-based ensemble projection algorithm for calculating the conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation |
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