The Mortality and Medical Costs of Air Pollution: Evidence from Changes in Wind Direction

We estimate the causal effects of acute fine particulate matter exposure on mortality, health care use, and medical costs among the US elderly using Medicare data. We instrument for air pollution using changes in local wind direction and develop a new approach that uses machine learning to estimate...

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Vydané v:The American economic review Ročník 109; číslo 12; s. 4178
Hlavní autori: Deryugina, Tatyana, Heutel, Garth, Miller, Nolan H, Molitor, David, Reif, Julian
Médium: Journal Article
Jazyk:English
Vydavateľské údaje: United States 01.12.2019
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ISSN:0002-8282
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Popis
Shrnutí:We estimate the causal effects of acute fine particulate matter exposure on mortality, health care use, and medical costs among the US elderly using Medicare data. We instrument for air pollution using changes in local wind direction and develop a new approach that uses machine learning to estimate the life-years lost due to pollution exposure. Finally, we characterize treatment effect heterogeneity using both life expectancy and generic machine learning inference. Both approaches find that mortality effects are concentrated in about 25 percent of the elderly population.
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ISSN:0002-8282
DOI:10.1257/aer.20180279