International trends in the incidence of malignant melanoma 1953–2008—are recent generations at higher or lower risk?

The incidence of cutaneous malignant melanoma has steadily increased over the past 50 years in predominately fair‐skinned populations. This increase is reported to have leveled off recently in several Northern and Western European countries, Australia, New Zealand and in North America. We studied th...

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Published in:International journal of cancer Vol. 132; no. 2; pp. 385 - 400
Main Authors: Erdmann, Friederike, Lortet‐Tieulent, Joannie, Schüz, Joachim, Zeeb, Hajo, Greinert, Rüdiger, Breitbart, Eckhard W., Bray, Freddie
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: Hoboken Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., A Wiley Company 15.01.2013
Wiley-Blackwell
Wiley Subscription Services, Inc
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ISSN:0020-7136, 1097-0215, 1097-0215
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Abstract The incidence of cutaneous malignant melanoma has steadily increased over the past 50 years in predominately fair‐skinned populations. This increase is reported to have leveled off recently in several Northern and Western European countries, Australia, New Zealand and in North America. We studied the global patterns and time trends in incidence of melanoma by country and sex, with a focus on and age‐ and cohort‐specific variations. We analyzed the incidence data from 39 population‐based cancer registries, examining all‐ages and age‐truncated standardized incidence rates of melanoma, estimating the annual percentage change and incidence rate ratios from age‐period‐cohort models. Incidence rates of melanoma continue to rise in most European countries (primarily Southern and Eastern Europe), whereas in Australia, New Zealand, the U.S., Canada, Israel and Norway, rates have become rather stable in recent years. Indications of a stabilization or decreasing trend were observed mainly in the youngest age group (25–44 years). Rates have been rising steadily in generations born up to the end of the 1940s, followed by a stabilization or decline in rates for more recently born cohorts in Australia, New Zealand, the U.S., Canada and Norway. In addition to the birth cohort effect, there was a suggestion of a period‐related influence on melanoma trends in certain populations. Although our findings provide support that primary and secondary prevention can halt and reverse the observed increasing burden of melanoma, they also indicate that those prevention measures require further endorsement in many countries.
AbstractList The incidence of cutaneous malignant melanoma has steadily increased over the past 50 years in predominately fair-skinned populations. This increase is reported to have leveled off recently in several Northern and Western European countries, Australia, New Zealand and in North America. We studied the global patterns and time trends in incidence of melanoma by country and sex, with a focus on and age- and cohort-specific variations. We analyzed the incidence data from 39 population-based cancer registries, examining all-ages and age-truncated standardized incidence rates of melanoma, estimating the annual percentage change and incidence rate ratios from age-period-cohort models. Incidence rates of melanoma continue to rise in most European countries (primarily Southern and Eastern Europe), whereas in Australia, New Zealand, the U.S., Canada, Israel and Norway, rates have become rather stable in recent years. Indications of a stabilization or decreasing trend were observed mainly in the youngest age group (25-44 years). Rates have been rising steadily in generations born up to the end of the 1940s, followed by a stabilization or decline in rates for more recently born cohorts in Australia, New Zealand, the U.S., Canada and Norway. In addition to the birth cohort effect, there was a suggestion of a period-related influence on melanoma trends in certain populations. Although our findings provide support that primary and secondary prevention can halt and reverse the observed increasing burden of melanoma, they also indicate that those prevention measures require further endorsement in many countries.The incidence of cutaneous malignant melanoma has steadily increased over the past 50 years in predominately fair-skinned populations. This increase is reported to have leveled off recently in several Northern and Western European countries, Australia, New Zealand and in North America. We studied the global patterns and time trends in incidence of melanoma by country and sex, with a focus on and age- and cohort-specific variations. We analyzed the incidence data from 39 population-based cancer registries, examining all-ages and age-truncated standardized incidence rates of melanoma, estimating the annual percentage change and incidence rate ratios from age-period-cohort models. Incidence rates of melanoma continue to rise in most European countries (primarily Southern and Eastern Europe), whereas in Australia, New Zealand, the U.S., Canada, Israel and Norway, rates have become rather stable in recent years. Indications of a stabilization or decreasing trend were observed mainly in the youngest age group (25-44 years). Rates have been rising steadily in generations born up to the end of the 1940s, followed by a stabilization or decline in rates for more recently born cohorts in Australia, New Zealand, the U.S., Canada and Norway. In addition to the birth cohort effect, there was a suggestion of a period-related influence on melanoma trends in certain populations. Although our findings provide support that primary and secondary prevention can halt and reverse the observed increasing burden of melanoma, they also indicate that those prevention measures require further endorsement in many countries.
The incidence of cutaneous malignant melanoma has steadily increased over the past 50 years in predominately fair-skinned populations. This increase is reported to have leveled off recently in several Northern and Western European countries, Australia, New Zealand and in North America. We studied the global patterns and time trends in incidence of melanoma by country and sex, with a focus on and age- and cohort-specific variations. We analyzed the incidence data from 39 population-based cancer registries, examining all-ages and age-truncated standardized incidence rates of melanoma, estimating the annual percentage change and incidence rate ratios from age-period-cohort models. Incidence rates of melanoma continue to rise in most European countries (primarily Southern and Eastern Europe), whereas in Australia, New Zealand, the U.S., Canada, Israel and Norway, rates have become rather stable in recent years. Indications of a stabilization or decreasing trend were observed mainly in the youngest age group (25-44 years). Rates have been rising steadily in generations born up to the end of the 1940s, followed by a stabilization or decline in rates for more recently born cohorts in Australia, New Zealand, the U.S., Canada and Norway. In addition to the birth cohort effect, there was a suggestion of a period-related influence on melanoma trends in certain populations. Although our findings provide support that primary and secondary prevention can halt and reverse the observed increasing burden of melanoma, they also indicate that those prevention measures require further endorsement in many countries. [PUBLICATION ABSTRACT]
The incidence of cutaneous malignant melanoma has steadily increased over the past 50 years in predominately fair‐skinned populations. This increase is reported to have leveled off recently in several Northern and Western European countries, Australia, New Zealand and in North America. We studied the global patterns and time trends in incidence of melanoma by country and sex, with a focus on and age‐ and cohort‐specific variations. We analyzed the incidence data from 39 population‐based cancer registries, examining all‐ages and age‐truncated standardized incidence rates of melanoma, estimating the annual percentage change and incidence rate ratios from age‐period‐cohort models. Incidence rates of melanoma continue to rise in most European countries (primarily Southern and Eastern Europe), whereas in Australia, New Zealand, the U.S., Canada, Israel and Norway, rates have become rather stable in recent years. Indications of a stabilization or decreasing trend were observed mainly in the youngest age group (25–44 years). Rates have been rising steadily in generations born up to the end of the 1940s, followed by a stabilization or decline in rates for more recently born cohorts in Australia, New Zealand, the U.S., Canada and Norway. In addition to the birth cohort effect, there was a suggestion of a period‐related influence on melanoma trends in certain populations. Although our findings provide support that primary and secondary prevention can halt and reverse the observed increasing burden of melanoma, they also indicate that those prevention measures require further endorsement in many countries.
Author Lortet‐Tieulent, Joannie
Greinert, Rüdiger
Breitbart, Eckhard W.
Erdmann, Friederike
Bray, Freddie
Schüz, Joachim
Zeeb, Hajo
Author_xml – sequence: 1
  givenname: Friederike
  surname: Erdmann
  fullname: Erdmann, Friederike
  email: erdmannf@students.iarc.fr
– sequence: 2
  givenname: Joannie
  surname: Lortet‐Tieulent
  fullname: Lortet‐Tieulent, Joannie
– sequence: 3
  givenname: Joachim
  surname: Schüz
  fullname: Schüz, Joachim
– sequence: 4
  givenname: Hajo
  surname: Zeeb
  fullname: Zeeb, Hajo
– sequence: 5
  givenname: Rüdiger
  surname: Greinert
  fullname: Greinert, Rüdiger
– sequence: 6
  givenname: Eckhard W.
  surname: Breitbart
  fullname: Breitbart, Eckhard W.
– sequence: 7
  givenname: Freddie
  surname: Bray
  fullname: Bray, Freddie
BackLink http://pascal-francis.inist.fr/vibad/index.php?action=getRecordDetail&idt=26904001$$DView record in Pascal Francis
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22532371$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed
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IsPeerReviewed true
IsScholarly true
Issue 2
Keywords Human
time trends
Skin disease
birth cohorts
global
Malignant tumor
Epidemiology
Time variation
Skin cancer
Incidence
Cancerology
Risk factor
Malignant melanoma
Birth cohort
Public health
Cancer
Language English
License http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor
CC BY 4.0
Copyright © 2012 UICC.
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PublicationTitle International journal of cancer
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Snippet The incidence of cutaneous malignant melanoma has steadily increased over the past 50 years in predominately fair‐skinned populations. This increase is...
The incidence of cutaneous malignant melanoma has steadily increased over the past 50 years in predominately fair-skinned populations. This increase is...
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SubjectTerms Adult
Age
Aged
Biological and medical sciences
birth cohorts
Cancer
Dermatology
Female
global
Global Health - history
Global Health - trends
History, 20th Century
History, 21st Century
Humans
Incidence
Male
malignant melanoma
Medical sciences
Melanoma
Melanoma - epidemiology
Melanoma - history
Middle Aged
Risk
Risk factors
Skin Neoplasms - epidemiology
Skin Neoplasms - history
Sunscreen
time trends
Tropical medicine
Tumors
Tumors of the skin and soft tissue. Premalignant lesions
Title International trends in the incidence of malignant melanoma 1953–2008—are recent generations at higher or lower risk?
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