The Radical Group in Context: 2. Identification of Critical Elements in the Analysis of Risk for Terrorism by Radical Group Type

In this second of two linked articles describing an integrated framework for the analysis of risk for terrorism of a radical group, a subset of observable indicators for each of the 32 variables within the integrated framework is presented. On the basis of an expert knowledge acquisition process, fi...

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Published in:Studies in conflict and terrorism Vol. 25; no. 2; pp. 101 - 126
Main Authors: Post, Jerrold M., Ruby, Keven G., Shaw, Eric D.
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: Washington Informa UK Ltd 01.04.2002
Taylor & Francis LLC
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ISSN:1057-610X, 1521-0731
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Abstract In this second of two linked articles describing an integrated framework for the analysis of risk for terrorism of a radical group, a subset of observable indicators for each of the 32 variables within the integrated framework is presented. On the basis of an expert knowledge acquisition process, five types of terrorist groups-- nationalist-separatist, religious fundamentalist, new religions (other religious extremists, including millenarian cults), social revolutionary, and right wing--are compared in order to identify which indicators are of greatest importance for each terrorist group type. Historical, cultural, and contextual features can be assessed effectively through the use of open sources and experts. Group characteristics, processes, and structures were consistently rated as highly important across all five group types. Ratings for new religions differed most consistently from those of other group types.
AbstractList In this second of two linked articles describing an integrated framework for the analysis of risk for terrorism of a radical group, a subset of observable indicators for each of the 32 variables within the integrated framework is presented. On the basis of an expert knowledge acquisition process, five types of terrorist groups -- nationalist-separatist, religious fundamentalist, new religions (other religious extremists, including millenarian cults), social revolutionary, & right wing -- are compared in order to identify which indicators are of greatest importance for each terrorist group type. Historical, cultural, & contextual features can be assessed effectively through the use of open sources & experts. Group characteristics, processes, & structures were consistently rated as highly important across all five group types. Ratings for new religions differed most consistently from those of other group types. Adapted from the source document.
In this second of two linked articles describing an integrated framework for the analysis of risk for terrorism of a radical group, a subset of observable indicators for each of the 32 variables within the integrated framework is presented. On the basis of an expert knowledge acquisition process, five types of terrorist groups-- nationalist-separatist, religious fundamentalist, new religions (other religious extremists, including millenarian cults), social revolutionary, and right wing--are compared in order to identify which indicators are of greatest importance for each terrorist group type. Historical, cultural, and contextual features can be assessed effectively through the use of open sources and experts. Group characteristics, processes, and structures were consistently rated as highly important across all five group types. Ratings for new religions differed most consistently from those of other group types.
In the second of two articles describing an integrated framework for the analysis of risk for terrorism of a radical group, a subset of observable indicators for each of the 32 variables within the integrated framework is presented. Group characteristics, processes, and structures are consistently rated as highly important.
Author Post, Jerrold M.
Shaw, Eric D.
Ruby, Keven G.
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SubjectTerms Analysis
Conflict
Group analysis
Group identity
Methodology (Data Analysis)
Organizations
Political groups
Political movements
Radical groups
Radicalism
Risk Assessment
Separatists
Terrorism
Terrorist organizations
Terrorists
Typology
Title The Radical Group in Context: 2. Identification of Critical Elements in the Analysis of Risk for Terrorism by Radical Group Type
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