The Radical Group in Context: 1. An Integrated Framework for the Analysis of Group Risk for Terrorism

On the basis of a systematic expert knowledge acquisition process, a framework has been developed that takes into account critical variables--internal and external, as well as interactions between them and the group under examination--that are understood to increase risk for escalation toward politi...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Studies in conflict and terrorism Vol. 25; no. 2; pp. 73 - 100
Main Authors: Post, Jerrold M., Ruby, Keven G., Shaw, Eric D.
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: Washington Informa UK Ltd 01.04.2002
Taylor & Francis LLC
Subjects:
Analysis
Conflict
Escalation
Frame analysis
Group analysis
Group theory
Groups
Ideology
Methodology (Data Analysis)
Organizations
Political groups
Political violence
Radical groups
Radicalism
Risk
Risk Assessment
Terrorism
Terrorist organizations
Variables
JAPAN
ISSN:1057-610X, 1521-0731
Online Access:Get full text
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Summary:On the basis of a systematic expert knowledge acquisition process, a framework has been developed that takes into account critical variables--internal and external, as well as interactions between them and the group under examination--that are understood to increase risk for escalation toward political violence. The indicators identified are grouped within four conceptual categories: (1) External factors, including historical, cultural, and contextual features; (2) Key actors affecting the group, including the regime and other opponents, as well as Constituents and Supporters; (3) The Group/Organization: Characteristics, Processes, and Structures, including an examination of such factors as leadership style and decision making, group experience with violence, and group ideology and goals; and (4) Characteristics of the Immediate Situation, including Triggering Events. A total of 32 variables were identified within the 4 categories to establish the overall integrated framework. This framework provides the basis for the rigorous analysis of a radical group's risk for terrorism.
Bibliography:STUDIES IN CONFLICT AND TERRORISM, Vol. 25, No. 2, Apr 2002, 73-100
Informit, Melbourne (Vic)
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ISSN:1057-610X
1521-0731
DOI:10.1080/105761002753502466