The Radical Group in Context: 1. An Integrated Framework for the Analysis of Group Risk for Terrorism

On the basis of a systematic expert knowledge acquisition process, a framework has been developed that takes into account critical variables--internal and external, as well as interactions between them and the group under examination--that are understood to increase risk for escalation toward politi...

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Vydáno v:Studies in conflict and terrorism Ročník 25; číslo 2; s. 73 - 100
Hlavní autoři: Post, Jerrold M., Ruby, Keven G., Shaw, Eric D.
Médium: Journal Article
Jazyk:angličtina
Vydáno: Washington Informa UK Ltd 01.04.2002
Taylor & Francis LLC
Témata:
Analysis
Conflict
Escalation
Frame analysis
Group analysis
Group theory
Groups
Ideology
Methodology (Data Analysis)
Organizations
Political groups
Political violence
Radical groups
Radicalism
Risk
Risk Assessment
Terrorism
Terrorist organizations
Variables
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ISSN:1057-610X, 1521-0731
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Popis
Shrnutí:On the basis of a systematic expert knowledge acquisition process, a framework has been developed that takes into account critical variables--internal and external, as well as interactions between them and the group under examination--that are understood to increase risk for escalation toward political violence. The indicators identified are grouped within four conceptual categories: (1) External factors, including historical, cultural, and contextual features; (2) Key actors affecting the group, including the regime and other opponents, as well as Constituents and Supporters; (3) The Group/Organization: Characteristics, Processes, and Structures, including an examination of such factors as leadership style and decision making, group experience with violence, and group ideology and goals; and (4) Characteristics of the Immediate Situation, including Triggering Events. A total of 32 variables were identified within the 4 categories to establish the overall integrated framework. This framework provides the basis for the rigorous analysis of a radical group's risk for terrorism.
Bibliografie:STUDIES IN CONFLICT AND TERRORISM, Vol. 25, No. 2, Apr 2002, 73-100
Informit, Melbourne (Vic)
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ISSN:1057-610X
1521-0731
DOI:10.1080/105761002753502466