Novel multi-cluster workflow system to support real-time HPC-enabled epidemic science: Investigating the impact of vaccine acceptance on COVID-19 spread
We present MacKenzie, a HPC-driven multi-cluster workflow system that was used repeatedly to configure and execute fine-grained US national-scale epidemic simulation models during the COVID-19 pandemic. Mackenzie supported federal and Virginia policymakers, in real-time, for a large number of “what-...
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| Published in: | Journal of parallel and distributed computing Vol. 191; p. 104899 |
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| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | English |
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United States
Elsevier Inc
01.09.2024
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| ISSN: | 0743-7315, 1096-0848 |
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| Abstract | We present MacKenzie, a HPC-driven multi-cluster workflow system that was used repeatedly to configure and execute fine-grained US national-scale epidemic simulation models during the COVID-19 pandemic. Mackenzie supported federal and Virginia policymakers, in real-time, for a large number of “what-if” scenarios during the COVID-19 pandemic, and continues to be used to answer related questions as COVID-19 transitions to the endemic stage of the disease. MacKenzie is a novel HPC meta-scheduler that can execute US-scale simulation models and associated workflows that typically present significant big data challenges. The meta-scheduler optimizes the total execution time of simulations in the workflow, and helps improve overall human productivity.
As an exemplar of the kind of studies that can be conducted using Mackenzie, we present a modeling study to understand the impact of vaccine-acceptance in controlling the spread of COVID-19 in the US. We use a 288 million node synthetic social contact network (digital twin) spanning all 50 US states plus Washington DC, comprised of 3300 counties, with 12 billion daily interactions. The highly-resolved agent-based model used for the epidemic simulations uses realistic information about disease progression, vaccine uptake, production schedules, acceptance trends, prevalence, and social distancing guidelines. Computational experiments show that, for the simulation workload discussed above, MacKenzie is able to scale up well to 10 K CPU cores.
Our modeling results show that, when compared to faster and accelerating vaccinations, slower vaccination rates due to vaccine hesitancy cause averted infections to drop from 6.7M to 4.5M, and averted total deaths to drop from 39.4 K to 28.2 K across the US. This occurs despite the fact that the final vaccine coverage is the same in both scenarios. We also find that if vaccine acceptance could be increased by 10% in all states, averted infections could be increased from 4.5M to 4.7M (a 4.4% improvement) and total averted deaths could be increased from 28.2 K to 29.9 K (a 6% improvement) nationwide.
•Presents MacKenzie, a novel multi-cluster HPC job scheduler.•A novel workflow that reduces execution time and improves productivity.•Detailed, fine-grained, data driven epidemic models.•Detailed analysis of the COVID-19 vaccine allocation problem.•Real world workflow; has been used repeatedly brief VA and Federal policymakers. |
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| AbstractList | We present MacKenzie, a HPC-driven multi-cluster workflow system that was used repeatedly to configure and execute fine-grained US national-scale epidemic simulation models during the COVID-19 pandemic. Mackenzie supported federal and Virginia policymakers, in real-time, for a large number of “what-if” scenarios during the COVID-19 pandemic, and continues to be used to answer related questions as COVID-19 transitions to the endemic stage of the disease. MacKenzie is a novel HPC meta-scheduler that can execute US-scale simulation models and associated workflows that typically present significant big data challenges. The meta-scheduler optimizes the total execution time of simulations in the workflow, and helps improve overall human productivity. As an exemplar of the kind of studies that can be conducted using Mackenzie, we present a modeling study to understand the impact of vaccine-acceptance in controlling the spread of COVID-19 in the US. We use a 288 million node synthetic social contact network (digital twin) spanning all 50 US states plus Washington DC, comprised of 3300 counties, with 12 billion daily interactions. The highly-resolved agent-based model used for the epidemic simulations uses realistic information about disease progression, vaccine uptake, production schedules, acceptance trends, prevalence, and social distancing guidelines. Computational experiments show that, for the simulation workload discussed above, MacKenzie is able to scale up well to 10K CPU cores. Our modeling results show that, when compared to faster and accelerating vaccinations, slower vaccination rates due to vaccine hesitancy cause averted infections to drop from 6.7M to 4.5M, and averted total deaths to drop from 39.4K to 28.2K across the US. This occurs despite the fact that the final vaccine coverage is the same in both scenarios. We also find that if vaccine acceptance could be increased by 10% in all states, averted infections could be increased from 4.5M to 4.7M (a 4.4% improvement) and total averted deaths could be increased from 28.2K to 29.9K (a 6% improvement) nationwide. We present MacKenzie, a HPC-driven multi-cluster workflow system that was used repeatedly to configure and execute fine-grained US national-scale epidemic simulation models during the COVID-19 pandemic. Mackenzie supported federal and Virginia policymakers, in real-time, for a large number of "what-if" scenarios during the COVID-19 pandemic, and continues to be used to answer related questions as COVID-19 transitions to the endemic stage of the disease. MacKenzie is a novel HPC meta-scheduler that can execute US-scale simulation models and associated workflows that typically present significant big data challenges. The meta-scheduler optimizes the total execution time of simulations in the workflow, and helps improve overall human productivity. As an exemplar of the kind of studies that can be conducted using Mackenzie, we present a modeling study to understand the impact of vaccine-acceptance in controlling the spread of COVID-19 in the US. We use a 288 million node synthetic social contact network (digital twin) spanning all 50 US states plus Washington DC, comprised of 3300 counties, with 12 billion daily interactions. The highly-resolved agent-based model used for the epidemic simulations uses realistic information about disease progression, vaccine uptake, production schedules, acceptance trends, prevalence, and social distancing guidelines. Computational experiments show that, for the simulation workload discussed above, MacKenzie is able to scale up well to 10K CPU cores. Our modeling results show that, when compared to faster and accelerating vaccinations, slower vaccination rates due to vaccine hesitancy cause averted infections to drop from 6.7M to 4.5M, and averted total deaths to drop from 39.4K to 28.2K across the US. This occurs despite the fact that the final vaccine coverage is the same in both scenarios. We also find that if vaccine acceptance could be increased by 10% in all states, averted infections could be increased from 4.5M to 4.7M (a 4.4% improvement) and total averted deaths could be increased from 28.2K to 29.9K (a 6% improvement) nationwide.We present MacKenzie, a HPC-driven multi-cluster workflow system that was used repeatedly to configure and execute fine-grained US national-scale epidemic simulation models during the COVID-19 pandemic. Mackenzie supported federal and Virginia policymakers, in real-time, for a large number of "what-if" scenarios during the COVID-19 pandemic, and continues to be used to answer related questions as COVID-19 transitions to the endemic stage of the disease. MacKenzie is a novel HPC meta-scheduler that can execute US-scale simulation models and associated workflows that typically present significant big data challenges. The meta-scheduler optimizes the total execution time of simulations in the workflow, and helps improve overall human productivity. As an exemplar of the kind of studies that can be conducted using Mackenzie, we present a modeling study to understand the impact of vaccine-acceptance in controlling the spread of COVID-19 in the US. We use a 288 million node synthetic social contact network (digital twin) spanning all 50 US states plus Washington DC, comprised of 3300 counties, with 12 billion daily interactions. The highly-resolved agent-based model used for the epidemic simulations uses realistic information about disease progression, vaccine uptake, production schedules, acceptance trends, prevalence, and social distancing guidelines. Computational experiments show that, for the simulation workload discussed above, MacKenzie is able to scale up well to 10K CPU cores. Our modeling results show that, when compared to faster and accelerating vaccinations, slower vaccination rates due to vaccine hesitancy cause averted infections to drop from 6.7M to 4.5M, and averted total deaths to drop from 39.4K to 28.2K across the US. This occurs despite the fact that the final vaccine coverage is the same in both scenarios. We also find that if vaccine acceptance could be increased by 10% in all states, averted infections could be increased from 4.5M to 4.7M (a 4.4% improvement) and total averted deaths could be increased from 28.2K to 29.9K (a 6% improvement) nationwide. We present MacKenzie, a HPC-driven multi-cluster workflow system that was used repeatedly to configure and execute fine-grained US national-scale epidemic simulation models during the COVID-19 pandemic. Mackenzie supported federal and Virginia policymakers, in real-time, for a large number of “what-if” scenarios during the COVID-19 pandemic, and continues to be used to answer related questions as COVID-19 transitions to the endemic stage of the disease. MacKenzie is a novel HPC meta-scheduler that can execute US-scale simulation models and associated workflows that typically present significant big data challenges. The meta-scheduler optimizes the total execution time of simulations in the workflow, and helps improve overall human productivity. As an exemplar of the kind of studies that can be conducted using Mackenzie, we present a modeling study to understand the impact of vaccine-acceptance in controlling the spread of COVID-19 in the US. We use a 288 million node synthetic social contact network (digital twin) spanning all 50 US states plus Washington DC, comprised of 3300 counties, with 12 billion daily interactions. The highly-resolved agent-based model used for the epidemic simulations uses realistic information about disease progression, vaccine uptake, production schedules, acceptance trends, prevalence, and social distancing guidelines. Computational experiments show that, for the simulation workload discussed above, MacKenzie is able to scale up well to 10 K CPU cores. Our modeling results show that, when compared to faster and accelerating vaccinations, slower vaccination rates due to vaccine hesitancy cause averted infections to drop from 6.7M to 4.5M, and averted total deaths to drop from 39.4 K to 28.2 K across the US. This occurs despite the fact that the final vaccine coverage is the same in both scenarios. We also find that if vaccine acceptance could be increased by 10% in all states, averted infections could be increased from 4.5M to 4.7M (a 4.4% improvement) and total averted deaths could be increased from 28.2 K to 29.9 K (a 6% improvement) nationwide. •Presents MacKenzie, a novel multi-cluster HPC job scheduler.•A novel workflow that reduces execution time and improves productivity.•Detailed, fine-grained, data driven epidemic models.•Detailed analysis of the COVID-19 vaccine allocation problem.•Real world workflow; has been used repeatedly brief VA and Federal policymakers. |
| ArticleNumber | 104899 |
| Author | Venkatramanan, Srinivasan Marathe, Achla Klahn, Brian Chen, Jiangzhuo Lewis, Bryan Marathe, Madhav Wilson, Mandy L. Brown, Shawn Machi, Dustin Bhattacharya, Parantapa Porebski, Przemyslaw Mortveit, Henning Adiga, Abhijin Hoops, Stefan Barrett, Christopher Outten, Joseph Vullikanti, Anil Xie, Dawen |
| AuthorAffiliation | e Hewlett Packard, San Francisco, USA b Department of Public Health Sciences, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA a Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA c Department of Computer Science, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA d Department of Systems Engineering, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA |
| AuthorAffiliation_xml | – name: c Department of Computer Science, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA – name: a Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA – name: b Department of Public Health Sciences, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA – name: e Hewlett Packard, San Francisco, USA – name: d Department of Systems Engineering, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Parantapa orcidid: 0000-0002-3626-9939 surname: Bhattacharya fullname: Bhattacharya, Parantapa email: parantapa@virginia.edu organization: Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA – sequence: 2 givenname: Dustin surname: Machi fullname: Machi, Dustin organization: Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA – sequence: 3 givenname: Jiangzhuo surname: Chen fullname: Chen, Jiangzhuo organization: Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA – sequence: 4 givenname: Stefan surname: Hoops fullname: Hoops, Stefan organization: Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA – sequence: 5 givenname: Bryan surname: Lewis fullname: Lewis, Bryan organization: Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA – sequence: 6 givenname: Henning surname: Mortveit fullname: Mortveit, Henning organization: Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA – sequence: 7 givenname: Srinivasan surname: Venkatramanan fullname: Venkatramanan, Srinivasan organization: Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA – sequence: 8 givenname: Mandy L. surname: Wilson fullname: Wilson, Mandy L. organization: Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA – sequence: 9 givenname: Achla surname: Marathe fullname: Marathe, Achla organization: Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA – sequence: 10 givenname: Przemyslaw surname: Porebski fullname: Porebski, Przemyslaw organization: Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA – sequence: 11 givenname: Brian surname: Klahn fullname: Klahn, Brian organization: Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA – sequence: 12 givenname: Joseph surname: Outten fullname: Outten, Joseph organization: Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA – sequence: 13 givenname: Anil surname: Vullikanti fullname: Vullikanti, Anil organization: Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA – sequence: 14 givenname: Dawen surname: Xie fullname: Xie, Dawen organization: Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA – sequence: 15 givenname: Abhijin surname: Adiga fullname: Adiga, Abhijin organization: Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA – sequence: 16 givenname: Shawn surname: Brown fullname: Brown, Shawn organization: Hewlett Packard, San Francisco, USA – sequence: 17 givenname: Christopher surname: Barrett fullname: Barrett, Christopher organization: Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA – sequence: 18 givenname: Madhav surname: Marathe fullname: Marathe, Madhav organization: Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA |
| BackLink | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/38774820$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed |
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| Cites_doi | 10.1126/science.1175570 10.1016/j.ejor.2022.06.034 10.3390/vaccines9080876 10.1016/S1473-3099(21)00143-2 10.1016/j.puhe.2021.02.025 10.1038/s41591-022-01728-z 10.1371/journal.pbio.3001211 10.1073/pnas.2311573120 10.1073/pnas.2026322118 10.1016/S1473-3099(21)00057-8 10.1126/science.abe6959 10.1016/j.mbs.2021.108614 10.1038/s41598-022-26468-5 10.1126/science.abg2334 10.1016/S2214-109X(21)00563-5 10.1016/j.jpdc.2018.01.001 10.1038/s41467-021-21018-5 10.1186/s13062-015-0071-8 10.1177/10943420221127034 10.1371/journal.pone.0013767 10.1016/j.jpdc.2016.04.004 10.1073/pnas.2025786118 10.1007/s41019-017-0047-z 10.15585/mmwr.mm7019e3 10.1007/s00285-022-01858-5 10.14257/ijt.2016.4.1.03 10.1016/0965-8564(96)00004-3 10.1007/s10654-020-00671-y 10.1038/s41467-022-28170-6 10.1186/s12879-022-07486-0 10.1214/aoms/1177731829 10.1038/nature02541 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007111 10.1016/0021-9991(76)90041-3 10.1002/jmv.28156 10.1038/s41467-022-31441-x 10.3390/vaccines9020160 10.1007/s40484-020-0199-0 10.1073/pnas.2021726118 |
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| Title | Novel multi-cluster workflow system to support real-time HPC-enabled epidemic science: Investigating the impact of vaccine acceptance on COVID-19 spread |
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