Global Wind-Power Generation Capacity in the Context of Climate Change

Establishing power systems with a high share of renewable energy sources is a pivotal step toward achieving a globally sustainable transition to green and low-carbon energy. This study focuses on low-output wind power that affects the generation capacity of power systems with a high share of renewab...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Engineering (Beijing, China) Vol. 51; pp. 86 - 97
Main Authors: Feng, Shuanglei, Wang, Weisheng, Wang, Zheng, Song, Zongpeng, Yang, Qing, Wang, Bo
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier Ltd 01.08.2025
Elsevier
Subjects:
Climate change
Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 datasets
Low-output wind power
Trends of low-output wind power
Wind generation
Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 datasets
Climate change
Wind generation
Low-output wind power
Trends of low-output wind power
ISSN:2095-8099
Online Access:Get full text
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Summary:Establishing power systems with a high share of renewable energy sources is a pivotal step toward achieving a globally sustainable transition to green and low-carbon energy. This study focuses on low-output wind power that affects the generation capacity of power systems with a high share of renewable energy sources. Utilizing the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 datasets, a predictive model for low-output wind power was employed to investigate regional trends worldwide. The frequency and duration of low-output wind-power events exhibited increasing trends globally, particularly in East Asia and South America, but not in North America. By 2060, the annual total days with low-output wind power in East Asia and South America could rise to 13 and 5 d, and the maximum continuous duration of low-output wind power could reach 5 and 2 d, respectively. As wind power becomes a primary electricity source, such low output could lead to shortages in energy supply within the power system, triggering large-scale power outages. This issue calls for critical attention when establishing power systems with a high share of renewable energy sources. The conclusions provide a basis for analyzing power supply risks and configuring flexible power sources for scenarios with a high share of renewable energy.
ISSN:2095-8099
DOI:10.1016/j.eng.2024.09.018