Integrated multi-objective stochastic fuzzy programming and AHP method for agricultural water and land optimization allocation under multiple uncertainties

Optimization allocation of agricultural water and land is a very complex system involves multiple objectives. Moreover, weights of each objective were signed by subjective judgement of decision makers is unreasonable. Furthermore, uncertainties are inevitable in the optimization allocation of irriga...

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Published in:	Journal of cleaner production Vol. 210; pp. 12 - 24
Main Authors:	Ren, Chongfeng, Li, Zhehao, Zhang, Hongbo
Format:	Journal Article
Language:	English
Published:	Elsevier Ltd 10.02.2019
Subjects:	Analytic hierarchy process method case studies Chance-constrained programming China Cucurbitaceae decision making Fuzzy sets irrigation scheduling irrigation water Irrigation water optimal allocation land resources Multi-objective programming Multiple uncertainties planning planting potatoes risk uncertainty water resources China Fuzzy sets Analytic hierarchy process method Chance-constrained programming Irrigation water optimal allocation Multi-objective programming Multiple uncertainties
ISSN:	0959-6526, 1879-1786
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Abstract	Optimization allocation of agricultural water and land is a very complex system involves multiple objectives. Moreover, weights of each objective were signed by subjective judgement of decision makers is unreasonable. Furthermore, uncertainties are inevitable in the optimization allocation of irrigation water and land. In order to solve the above problems, this paper developed an improved multi-objective stochastic fuzzy programming method. The developed model was then applied to a case study in Wuwei City, Gansu Province, China. Maximum net benefit, maximum agricultural water productivity, and minimum irrigation area were regarded as planning objectives. A series of optimal irrigation and planting structure schemes were obtained under multiple uncertainties. From the results, water resources shortage in Wuwei city is very severely and it could not satisfy Wuwei's water demand even if the risk probability Pi reaches 0.25. Moreover, water and irrigation area would vary in different crops. Such changes would mainly take place in potato, vegetable and cucurbit, which have the same characteristics with higher yield, lower cost or lower irrigation quota than other crops. Furthermore, the decision makers could make reasonable decisions on the optimal use of irrigation water and land resources under multiple objective and uncertainties based on the obtained results. •This paper developed an improved multi-objective stochastic fuzzy programming method.•It simultaneously optimizes irrigation water amount and irrigation areas.•AHP method was introduced to assign weight of each objective.•Optimal irrigation schemes were obtained under multiple uncertainties.•It could be helpful to make decision under multiple uncertainty and multiple objectives.
AbstractList	Optimization allocation of agricultural water and land is a very complex system involves multiple objectives. Moreover, weights of each objective were signed by subjective judgement of decision makers is unreasonable. Furthermore, uncertainties are inevitable in the optimization allocation of irrigation water and land. In order to solve the above problems, this paper developed an improved multi-objective stochastic fuzzy programming method. The developed model was then applied to a case study in Wuwei City, Gansu Province, China. Maximum net benefit, maximum agricultural water productivity, and minimum irrigation area were regarded as planning objectives. A series of optimal irrigation and planting structure schemes were obtained under multiple uncertainties. From the results, water resources shortage in Wuwei city is very severely and it could not satisfy Wuwei's water demand even if the risk probability Pi reaches 0.25. Moreover, water and irrigation area would vary in different crops. Such changes would mainly take place in potato, vegetable and cucurbit, which have the same characteristics with higher yield, lower cost or lower irrigation quota than other crops. Furthermore, the decision makers could make reasonable decisions on the optimal use of irrigation water and land resources under multiple objective and uncertainties based on the obtained results. Optimization allocation of agricultural water and land is a very complex system involves multiple objectives. Moreover, weights of each objective were signed by subjective judgement of decision makers is unreasonable. Furthermore, uncertainties are inevitable in the optimization allocation of irrigation water and land. In order to solve the above problems, this paper developed an improved multi-objective stochastic fuzzy programming method. The developed model was then applied to a case study in Wuwei City, Gansu Province, China. Maximum net benefit, maximum agricultural water productivity, and minimum irrigation area were regarded as planning objectives. A series of optimal irrigation and planting structure schemes were obtained under multiple uncertainties. From the results, water resources shortage in Wuwei city is very severely and it could not satisfy Wuwei's water demand even if the risk probability Pi reaches 0.25. Moreover, water and irrigation area would vary in different crops. Such changes would mainly take place in potato, vegetable and cucurbit, which have the same characteristics with higher yield, lower cost or lower irrigation quota than other crops. Furthermore, the decision makers could make reasonable decisions on the optimal use of irrigation water and land resources under multiple objective and uncertainties based on the obtained results. •This paper developed an improved multi-objective stochastic fuzzy programming method.•It simultaneously optimizes irrigation water amount and irrigation areas.•AHP method was introduced to assign weight of each objective.•Optimal irrigation schemes were obtained under multiple uncertainties.•It could be helpful to make decision under multiple uncertainty and multiple objectives.
Author	Ren, Chongfeng Li, Zhehao Zhang, Hongbo
Author_xml	– sequence: 1 givenname: Chongfeng surname: Ren fullname: Ren, Chongfeng organization: Key Laboratory of Subsurface Hydrology and Ecological Effect in Arid Region, Ministry of Education, Xi'an, Shaanxi Province, PR China – sequence: 2 givenname: Zhehao surname: Li fullname: Li, Zhehao organization: Key Laboratory of Subsurface Hydrology and Ecological Effect in Arid Region, Ministry of Education, Xi'an, Shaanxi Province, PR China – sequence: 3 givenname: Hongbo surname: Zhang fullname: Zhang, Hongbo email: hbzhang@chd.edu.cn organization: Key Laboratory of Subsurface Hydrology and Ecological Effect in Arid Region, Ministry of Education, Xi'an, Shaanxi Province, PR China
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Manag. doi: 10.1016/S0263-7863(99)00038-1
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Snippet	Optimization allocation of agricultural water and land is a very complex system involves multiple objectives. Moreover, weights of each objective were signed...
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SubjectTerms	Analytic hierarchy process method case studies Chance-constrained programming China Cucurbitaceae decision making Fuzzy sets irrigation scheduling irrigation water Irrigation water optimal allocation land resources Multi-objective programming Multiple uncertainties planning planting potatoes risk uncertainty water resources
Title	Integrated multi-objective stochastic fuzzy programming and AHP method for agricultural water and land optimization allocation under multiple uncertainties
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