Modeling the ecology and evolution of biodiversity: Biogeographical cradles, museums, and graves
Individual processes shaping geographical patterns of biodiversity are increasingly understood, but their complex interactions on broad spatial and temporal scales remain beyond the reach of analytical models and traditional experiments. To meet this challenge, we built a spatially explicit, mechani...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science) Jg. 361; H. 6399 |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
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20.07.2018
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| ISSN: | 1095-9203, 1095-9203 |
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| Abstract | Individual processes shaping geographical patterns of biodiversity are increasingly understood, but their complex interactions on broad spatial and temporal scales remain beyond the reach of analytical models and traditional experiments. To meet this challenge, we built a spatially explicit, mechanistic simulation model implementing adaptation, range shifts, fragmentation, speciation, dispersal, competition, and extinction, driven by modeled climates of the past 800,000 years in South America. Experimental topographic smoothing confirmed the impact of climate heterogeneity on diversification. The simulations identified regions and episodes of speciation (cradles), persistence (museums), and extinction (graves). Although the simulations had no target pattern and were not parameterized with empirical data, emerging richness maps closely resembled contemporary maps for major taxa, confirming powerful roles for evolution and diversification driven by topography and climate. |
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| AbstractList | Individual processes shaping geographical patterns of biodiversity are increasingly understood, but their complex interactions on broad spatial and temporal scales remain beyond the reach of analytical models and traditional experiments. To meet this challenge, we built a spatially explicit, mechanistic simulation model implementing adaptation, range shifts, fragmentation, speciation, dispersal, competition, and extinction, driven by modeled climates of the past 800,000 years in South America. Experimental topographic smoothing confirmed the impact of climate heterogeneity on diversification. The simulations identified regions and episodes of speciation (cradles), persistence (museums), and extinction (graves). Although the simulations had no target pattern and were not parameterized with empirical data, emerging richness maps closely resembled contemporary maps for major taxa, confirming powerful roles for evolution and diversification driven by topography and climate. Individual processes shaping geographical patterns of biodiversity are increasingly understood, but their complex interactions on broad spatial and temporal scales remain beyond the reach of analytical models and traditional experiments. To meet this challenge, we built a spatially explicit, mechanistic simulation model implementing adaptation, range shifts, fragmentation, speciation, dispersal, competition, and extinction, driven by modeled climates of the past 800,000 years in South America. Experimental topographic smoothing confirmed the impact of climate heterogeneity on diversification. The simulations identified regions and episodes of speciation (cradles), persistence (museums), and extinction (graves). Although the simulations had no target pattern and were not parameterized with empirical data, emerging richness maps closely resembled contemporary maps for major taxa, confirming powerful roles for evolution and diversification driven by topography and climate.Individual processes shaping geographical patterns of biodiversity are increasingly understood, but their complex interactions on broad spatial and temporal scales remain beyond the reach of analytical models and traditional experiments. To meet this challenge, we built a spatially explicit, mechanistic simulation model implementing adaptation, range shifts, fragmentation, speciation, dispersal, competition, and extinction, driven by modeled climates of the past 800,000 years in South America. Experimental topographic smoothing confirmed the impact of climate heterogeneity on diversification. The simulations identified regions and episodes of speciation (cradles), persistence (museums), and extinction (graves). Although the simulations had no target pattern and were not parameterized with empirical data, emerging richness maps closely resembled contemporary maps for major taxa, confirming powerful roles for evolution and diversification driven by topography and climate. |
| Author | Cassemiro, Fernanda A S Edwards, Neil R Colwell, Robert K Rangel, Thiago F Diniz-Filho, José Alexandre F Coelho, Marco Túlio P Holden, Philip B Gosling, William D Rahbek, Carsten |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Thiago F orcidid: 0000-0002-2001-7382 surname: Rangel fullname: Rangel, Thiago F email: thiago.rangel@ufg.br, robert.colwell@uconn.edu organization: Departmento de Ecologia, Universidade Federal de Goiás, CP 131, 74.001-970 Goiânia, Goiás, Brazil. thiago.rangel@ufg.br robert.colwell@uconn.edu – sequence: 2 givenname: Neil R orcidid: 0000-0001-6045-8804 surname: Edwards fullname: Edwards, Neil R organization: School of Environment, Earth, and Ecosystems, The Open University, Milton Keynes, UK – sequence: 3 givenname: Philip B orcidid: 0000-0002-2369-0062 surname: Holden fullname: Holden, Philip B organization: School of Environment, Earth, and Ecosystems, The Open University, Milton Keynes, UK – sequence: 4 givenname: José Alexandre F surname: Diniz-Filho fullname: Diniz-Filho, José Alexandre F organization: Departmento de Ecologia, Universidade Federal de Goiás, CP 131, 74.001-970 Goiânia, Goiás, Brazil – sequence: 5 givenname: William D orcidid: 0000-0001-9903-8401 surname: Gosling fullname: Gosling, William D organization: Department of Ecosystem and Landscape Dynamics, Institute of Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of Amsterdam, Science Park 904, Amsterdam, Netherlands – sequence: 6 givenname: Marco Túlio P orcidid: 0000-0002-7831-3053 surname: Coelho fullname: Coelho, Marco Túlio P organization: Departmento de Ecologia, Universidade Federal de Goiás, CP 131, 74.001-970 Goiânia, Goiás, Brazil – sequence: 7 givenname: Fernanda A S orcidid: 0000-0003-3015-5524 surname: Cassemiro fullname: Cassemiro, Fernanda A S organization: Núcleo de Pesquisa em Ictiologia, Limnologia e Aquicultura. Universidade Estadual de Maringá, Maringá, PR, Brazil – sequence: 8 givenname: Carsten orcidid: 0000-0003-4585-0300 surname: Rahbek fullname: Rahbek, Carsten organization: Department of Life Sciences, Imperial College London, Ascot SL5 7PY, UK – sequence: 9 givenname: Robert K orcidid: 0000-0002-1384-0354 surname: Colwell fullname: Colwell, Robert K email: thiago.rangel@ufg.br, robert.colwell@uconn.edu organization: University of Colorado Museum of Natural History, Boulder, CO 80309, USA |
| BackLink | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30026200$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed |
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