Mean-VaR portfolio optimization: A nonparametric approach

•Present a new MOEA for complex portfolio optimization.•Six real-world trading constraints are considered.•Computational experiments are performed by using real market data.•Results show the effectiveness of the learning mechanism.•Proposed method yield improved performance relative to existing meth...

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Vydáno v:European journal of operational research Ročník 260; číslo 2; s. 751 - 766
Hlavní autoři: Lwin, Khin T., Qu, Rong, MacCarthy, Bart L.
Médium: Journal Article
Jazyk:angličtina
Vydáno: Elsevier B.V 16.07.2017
Témata:
ISSN:0377-2217, 1872-6860
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Abstract •Present a new MOEA for complex portfolio optimization.•Six real-world trading constraints are considered.•Computational experiments are performed by using real market data.•Results show the effectiveness of the learning mechanism.•Proposed method yield improved performance relative to existing methods. Portfolio optimization involves the optimal assignment of limited capital to different available financial assets to achieve a reasonable trade-off between profit and risk. We consider an alternative Markowitz’s mean–variance model in which the variance is replaced with an industry standard risk measure, Value-at-Risk (VaR), in order to better assess market risk exposure associated with financial and commodity asset price fluctuations. Realistic portfolio optimization in the mean-VaR framework is a challenging problem since it leads to a non-convex NP-hard problem which is computationally intractable. In this work, an efficient learning-guided hybrid multi-objective evolutionary algorithm (MODE-GL) is proposed to solve mean-VaR portfolio optimization problems with real-world constraints such as cardinality, quantity, pre-assignment, round-lot and class constraints. A learning-guided solution generation strategy is incorporated into the multi-objective optimization process to promote efficient convergence by guiding the evolutionary search towards promising regions of the search space. The proposed algorithm is compared with the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm (NSGA-II) and the Strength Pareto Evolutionary Algorithm (SPEA2). Experimental results using historical daily financial market data from S & P 100 and S & P 500 indices are presented. The results show that MODE-GL outperforms two existing techniques for this important class of portfolio investment problems in terms of solution quality and computational time. The results highlight that the proposed algorithm is able to solve the complex portfolio optimization without simplifications while obtaining good solutions in reasonable time and has significant potential for use in practice.
AbstractList •Present a new MOEA for complex portfolio optimization.•Six real-world trading constraints are considered.•Computational experiments are performed by using real market data.•Results show the effectiveness of the learning mechanism.•Proposed method yield improved performance relative to existing methods. Portfolio optimization involves the optimal assignment of limited capital to different available financial assets to achieve a reasonable trade-off between profit and risk. We consider an alternative Markowitz’s mean–variance model in which the variance is replaced with an industry standard risk measure, Value-at-Risk (VaR), in order to better assess market risk exposure associated with financial and commodity asset price fluctuations. Realistic portfolio optimization in the mean-VaR framework is a challenging problem since it leads to a non-convex NP-hard problem which is computationally intractable. In this work, an efficient learning-guided hybrid multi-objective evolutionary algorithm (MODE-GL) is proposed to solve mean-VaR portfolio optimization problems with real-world constraints such as cardinality, quantity, pre-assignment, round-lot and class constraints. A learning-guided solution generation strategy is incorporated into the multi-objective optimization process to promote efficient convergence by guiding the evolutionary search towards promising regions of the search space. The proposed algorithm is compared with the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm (NSGA-II) and the Strength Pareto Evolutionary Algorithm (SPEA2). Experimental results using historical daily financial market data from S & P 100 and S & P 500 indices are presented. The results show that MODE-GL outperforms two existing techniques for this important class of portfolio investment problems in terms of solution quality and computational time. The results highlight that the proposed algorithm is able to solve the complex portfolio optimization without simplifications while obtaining good solutions in reasonable time and has significant potential for use in practice.
Author MacCarthy, Bart L.
Qu, Rong
Lwin, Khin T.
Author_xml – sequence: 1
  givenname: Khin T.
  surname: Lwin
  fullname: Lwin, Khin T.
  email: khin.lwin@anglia.ac.uk, khintheinlwin@gmail.com
  organization: Anglia Ruskin IT Research Institute, Faculty of Science and Technology, Anglia Ruskin University, Chelmsford, Essex CM11SQ, UK
– sequence: 2
  givenname: Rong
  orcidid: 0000-0001-8318-7509
  surname: Qu
  fullname: Qu, Rong
  email: rxq@cs.nott.ac.uk
  organization: The Automated Scheduling, Optimisation and Planning (ASAP) Group, School of Computer Science, The University of Nottingham, Nottingham NG8 1BB, UK
– sequence: 3
  givenname: Bart L.
  surname: MacCarthy
  fullname: MacCarthy, Bart L.
  email: bart.maccarthy@nottingham.ac.uk
  organization: Nottingham University Business School, The University of Nottingham, Nottingham NG8 1BB, UK
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Keywords Evolutionary computations
Value at risk
Multi-objective constrained portfolio optimization
Nonparametric historical simulation
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Snippet •Present a new MOEA for complex portfolio optimization.•Six real-world trading constraints are considered.•Computational experiments are performed by using...
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SubjectTerms Evolutionary computations
Multi-objective constrained portfolio optimization
Nonparametric historical simulation
Value at risk
Title Mean-VaR portfolio optimization: A nonparametric approach
URI https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2017.01.005
Volume 260
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