The Impact of Migration on Population Ageing in Asia 1990-2020: A Decomposition Analysis Using Prospective Age
Population ageing has become a global trend, which unfolds at different speeds across world regions and countries. In Asia, there are countries with rapidly ageing populations and those that continue to maintain a younger age structure. One potential driver of this difference is international migrat...
Uloženo v:
| Vydáno v: | Comparative population studies Ročník 50; s. 1 - 40 |
|---|---|
| Hlavní autor: | |
| Médium: | Journal Article |
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Vydáno: |
Wiesbaden
Federal Institute for Population Research (BiB)
01.01.2025
Federal Institute for Population Research |
| Témata: | |
| ISSN: | 1869-8980, 1869-8999, 1869-8999 |
| On-line přístup: | Získat plný text |
| Tagy: |
Přidat tag
Žádné tagy, Buďte první, kdo vytvoří štítek k tomuto záznamu!
|
| Abstract | Population ageing has become a global trend, which unfolds at different speeds across world regions and countries. In Asia, there are countries with rapidly ageing populations and those that continue to maintain a younger age structure. One potential driver of this difference is international migration. In this study, I assess the impact of migration on population ageing in Asian countries over the period 1990-2020. To do so, I propose a refined decomposition method, applying a prospective view on population ageing that accounts for variation in life expectancy. Using data from the United Nations World Population Prospects 2022, changes in the prospective old-age dependency ratio in 51 countries are decomposed into the effects of cohort turnover, deaths, changes in life expectancy and net migration. The results reveal that cohort turnover and deaths have had the largest impact on changes in the prospective old-age dependency ratio over the last three decades, whereas the impact of international migration and changes in life expectancy was smaller in all countries. However, in countries with either highly negative or highly positive net migration, the effect of migration on the age structure is substantial. As migration largely occurs at younger ages, high immigration has decelerated or even halted the process of population ageing in countries such as Bahrain, Macao, Oman and Singapore. The opposite effect is observed in emigration countries such as Armenia, Georgia and Timor-Leste. Hence, the large differences in the current level of population ageing across Asian countries can at least partly be attributed to international migration in the last decades. |
|---|---|
| AbstractList | Population ageing has become a global trend, which unfolds at different speeds across world regions and countries. In Asia, there are countries with rapidly ageing populations and those that continue to maintain a younger age structure. One potential driver of this difference is international migration. In this study, I assess the impact of migration on population ageing in Asian countries over the period 1990-2020. To do so, I propose a refined decomposition method, applying a prospective view on population ageing that accounts for variation in life expectancy. Using data from the United Nations World Population Prospects 2022, changes in the prospective old-age dependency ratio in 51 countries are decomposed into the effects of cohort turnover, deaths, changes in life expectancy and net migration. The results reveal that cohort turnover and deaths have had the largest impact on changes in the prospective old-age dependency ratio over the last three decades, whereas the impact of international migration and changes in life expectancy was smaller in all countries. However, in countries with either highly negative or highly positive net migration, the effect of migration on the age structure is substantial. As migration largely occurs at younger ages, high immigration has decelerated or even halted the process of population ageing in countries such as Bahrain, Macao, Oman and Singapore. The opposite effect is observed in emigration countries such as Armenia, Georgia and Timor-Leste. Hence, the large differences in the current level of population ageing across Asian countries can at least partly be attributed to international migration in the last decades. |
| Author | Dörflinger, Markus |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Markus orcidid: 0000-0001-9197-385X surname: Dörflinger fullname: Dörflinger, Markus |
| BackLink | https://www.ssoar.info/ssoar/handle/document/101286$$DView record in SSOAR (Social Science Open Access Repository) |
| BookMark | eNo9kU1rGzEQhkVJoWmaY--C9rqtvlfqzbhfhpQampzFWDvrytirrbQO5N9Xmw0WAs1I7zwj5n1LroY0ICHvOfvERWv05_U2_WkEE7ph4hW55ta4xjrnri6xZW_IbSkHVpc2vOXmmgz3f5FuTiOEiaae_or7DFNMA617m8bzcclWe4zDnsYalQiUO8fmXuwLXdGvGNJpTCUuygGOTyUW-lDmim1OZcQwxUecIe_I6x6OBW9fzhvy8P3b_fpnc_f7x2a9umuCtHpqFAonJecdqM5YkGCCVr0CoxwqxZVk2nHuOIJGploLu5a1BkwrlUIMIG_IZuF2CQ5-zPEE-ckniP75IuW9hzzFcESvDUPZOycDcrXTylm1M67VVglRH7rK-riwSkmQL7AuhfMJh8lzxoU1VfZhkY05_TtjmfwhnXOdRvGyflUaqaWtqmZRhTqYkrG_8Djzz0b62Ug_G-mZkP8BnHWOdQ |
| ContentType | Journal Article |
| Copyright | 2025. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0 (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License. |
| Copyright_xml | – notice: 2025. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0 (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License. |
| DBID | AAYXX CITATION 0-V 3V. 7U4 7XB 88J 8FK ABUWG AFKRA ALSLI AZQEC BENPR BFMQW BHHNA CCPQU COVID DWI DWQXO GNUQQ HEHIP M2R M2S PHGZM PHGZT PIMPY PKEHL POGQB PQEST PQQKQ PQUKI PRQQA Q9U WZK RS5 DOA |
| DOI | 10.12765/CPoS-2025-02 |
| DatabaseName | CrossRef ProQuest Social Sciences Premium Collection【Remote access available】 ProQuest Central (Corporate) Sociological Abstracts (pre-2017) ProQuest Central (purchase pre-March 2016) Social Science Database (Alumni Edition) ProQuest Central (Alumni) (purchase pre-March 2016) ProQuest Central (Alumni) ProQuest Central UK/Ireland Social Science Premium Collection ProQuest Central Essentials ProQuest Central Continental Europe Database Sociological Abstracts ProQuest One Community College Coronavirus Research Database Sociological Abstracts ProQuest Central ProQuest Central Student Sociology Collection (OCUL) Social Science Database Sociology Database ProQuest Central Premium ProQuest One Academic (New) Publicly Available Content Database ProQuest One Academic Middle East (New) ProQuest Sociology & Social Sciences Collection ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE) ProQuest One Academic (retired) ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition ProQuest One Social Sciences ProQuest Central Basic Sociological Abstracts (Ovid) SSOAR (Social Science Open Access Repository) DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals |
| DatabaseTitle | CrossRef Publicly Available Content Database ProQuest Sociology & Social Sciences Collection ProQuest Central Student ProQuest One Academic Middle East (New) ProQuest Central Essentials ProQuest Social Science Journals (Alumni Edition) ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition) ProQuest One Community College Sociology & Social Sciences Collection ProQuest Central ProQuest Central Korea ProQuest Sociology Collection ProQuest Central (New) ProQuest Sociology Social Science Premium Collection ProQuest One Social Sciences ProQuest Central Basic ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition Coronavirus Research Database Sociology Collection Continental Europe Database Sociological Abstracts (pre-2017) ProQuest Social Science Journals ProQuest Social Sciences Premium Collection ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition Sociological Abstracts ProQuest One Academic ProQuest One Academic (New) ProQuest Central (Alumni) |
| DatabaseTitleList | CrossRef Publicly Available Content Database |
| Database_xml | – sequence: 1 dbid: DOA name: DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals url: https://www.doaj.org/ sourceTypes: Open Website – sequence: 2 dbid: PIMPY name: Publicly Available Content Database url: http://search.proquest.com/publiccontent sourceTypes: Aggregation Database |
| DeliveryMethod | fulltext_linktorsrc |
| Discipline | Economics |
| EISSN | 1869-8999 |
| EndPage | 40 |
| ExternalDocumentID | oai_doaj_org_article_560e3f993ce14b54984b69758422e3fd oai:gesis.izsoz.de:document/101286 10_12765_CPoS_2025_02 |
| Genre | Zeitschriftenartikel |
| GeographicLocations | Asia |
| GeographicLocations_xml | – name: Asia |
| GroupedDBID | 0-V 5VS AAFWJ AAYXX ABUWG ADBBV AFFHD AFKRA AFPKN ALMA_UNASSIGNED_HOLDINGS ALSLI ARALO ASOEW AZQEC BCNDV BENPR BFMQW BPHCQ CCPQU CITATION DWQXO EBS EJD GNUQQ GROUPED_DOAJ HEHIP KQ8 M2R M2S PHGZM PHGZT PIMPY POGQB PQQKQ PROAC PRQQA RNS 3V. 7U4 7XB 8FK BHHNA COVID DWI PKEHL PQEST PQUKI Q9U WZK PUEGO RS5 |
| ID | FETCH-LOGICAL-c385t-4e293311da4d68a3a6c54f4a649e441430591191ea5e0478ab7076a67344eeca3 |
| IEDL.DBID | BENPR |
| ISICitedReferencesCount | 0 |
| ISICitedReferencesURI | http://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=Summon&SrcAuth=ProQuest&DestLinkType=CitingArticles&DestApp=WOS_CPL&KeyUT=001460077100001&url=https%3A%2F%2Fcvtisr.summon.serialssolutions.com%2F%23%21%2Fsearch%3Fho%3Df%26include.ft.matches%3Dt%26l%3Dnull%26q%3D |
| ISSN | 1869-8980 1869-8999 |
| IngestDate | Fri Oct 03 12:37:28 EDT 2025 Wed Aug 27 05:53:08 EDT 2025 Fri Jul 25 20:51:51 EDT 2025 Sat Nov 29 08:07:08 EST 2025 |
| IsDoiOpenAccess | true |
| IsOpenAccess | true |
| IsPeerReviewed | true |
| IsScholarly | true |
| Language | English |
| License | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0 Creative Commons - Namensnennung, Weitergabe unter gleichen Bedingungen 4.0 |
| LinkModel | DirectLink |
| MergedId | FETCHMERGED-LOGICAL-c385t-4e293311da4d68a3a6c54f4a649e441430591191ea5e0478ab7076a67344eeca3 |
| Notes | ObjectType-Article-1 SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1 ObjectType-Feature-2 content type line 14 |
| ORCID | 0000-0001-9197-385X |
| OpenAccessLink | https://www.proquest.com/docview/3191363538?pq-origsite=%requestingapplication% |
| PQID | 3191363538 |
| PQPubID | 2049695 |
| PageCount | 40 |
| ParticipantIDs | doaj_primary_oai_doaj_org_article_560e3f993ce14b54984b69758422e3fd ssoar_primary_document_101286 proquest_journals_3191363538 crossref_primary_10_12765_CPoS_2025_02 |
| PublicationCentury | 2000 |
| PublicationDate | 2025-01-01 |
| PublicationDateYYYYMMDD | 2025-01-01 |
| PublicationDate_xml | – month: 01 year: 2025 text: 2025-01-01 day: 01 |
| PublicationDecade | 2020 |
| PublicationPlace | Wiesbaden |
| PublicationPlace_xml | – name: Wiesbaden |
| PublicationTitle | Comparative population studies |
| PublicationYear | 2025 |
| Publisher | Federal Institute for Population Research (BiB) Federal Institute for Population Research |
| Publisher_xml | – name: Federal Institute for Population Research (BiB) – name: Federal Institute for Population Research |
| SSID | ssj0000561716 |
| Score | 2.297276 |
| Snippet | Population ageing has become a global trend, which unfolds at different speeds across world regions and countries. In Asia, there are countries with rapidly... |
| SourceID | doaj ssoar proquest crossref |
| SourceType | Open Website Open Access Repository Aggregation Database Index Database |
| StartPage | 1 |
| SubjectTerms | Age Aging asia Asien Changes Decomposition Decomposition analysis Emigration Life expectancy Migration Population population ageing Prospective age World population |
| SummonAdditionalLinks | – databaseName: DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals dbid: DOA link: http://cvtisr.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMwrV1LS8NAEF6kCnoRn1htZQ_iLTTpbja73uqj6MESUKG3ZZNMSi6N9OHvdyaP0p68CDmEEHaXmc1-34SZbxi7UzkCAxjjOWMAA5Qg9FwmMy_KnA9SD41MXdVsIppM9HRq4q1WX5QTVssD14YbICKDyBFFUwhkgtGMlokyyHIlziHyjE5fZD1bwVSt6q1IB4aiLa2Mp432G4HNYaTCwVNcfuD-GFJx8g4gVbr9O2RzH63kFluYMz5hxw1Z5KN6kadsD-Zn7LCtJV6eszl6mb9VhY68zPl7MasdyvGKN625-GgGiFC8wLtl4XiA2EDr8h_4iD8DZZU3qVu81SjhVSoBjxdlW4pJg1ywr_HL59Or13RQ8FKhw5UnAdFcBEHmZKa0E06locylU9IA8iCS-zKk8AYuBJLpcUnkR8qpSEgJkDpxyTrzcg5XjGsSBsIRXAAkeAOJTPIEyWOqEu1CJbrsvjWj_a6FMiwFGGRvS_a2ZG_rD7vskYy8eYn0rasH6HXbeN3-5fUu67Uuss1Ht7R4mgQCCZTQXdav3LaZJCvTddW2mOTMtLr-jzXcsKN6C9H_mB7rrBZr6LOD9GdVLBe31X78BYGy3qc priority: 102 providerName: Directory of Open Access Journals |
| Title | The Impact of Migration on Population Ageing in Asia 1990-2020: A Decomposition Analysis Using Prospective Age |
| URI | https://www.proquest.com/docview/3191363538 https://www.ssoar.info/ssoar/handle/document/101286 https://doaj.org/article/560e3f993ce14b54984b69758422e3fd |
| Volume | 50 |
| WOSCitedRecordID | wos001460077100001&url=https%3A%2F%2Fcvtisr.summon.serialssolutions.com%2F%23%21%2Fsearch%3Fho%3Df%26include.ft.matches%3Dt%26l%3Dnull%26q%3D |
| hasFullText | 1 |
| inHoldings | 1 |
| isFullTextHit | |
| isPrint | |
| journalDatabaseRights | – providerCode: PRVAON databaseName: DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals customDbUrl: eissn: 1869-8999 dateEnd: 99991231 omitProxy: false ssIdentifier: ssj0000561716 issn: 1869-8980 databaseCode: DOA dateStart: 20100101 isFulltext: true titleUrlDefault: https://www.doaj.org/ providerName: Directory of Open Access Journals – providerCode: PRVPQU databaseName: Continental Europe Database customDbUrl: eissn: 1869-8999 dateEnd: 99991231 omitProxy: false ssIdentifier: ssj0000561716 issn: 1869-8980 databaseCode: BFMQW dateStart: 20100101 isFulltext: true titleUrlDefault: https://search.proquest.com/conteurope providerName: ProQuest – providerCode: PRVPQU databaseName: ProQuest Central customDbUrl: eissn: 1869-8999 dateEnd: 99991231 omitProxy: false ssIdentifier: ssj0000561716 issn: 1869-8980 databaseCode: BENPR dateStart: 20100101 isFulltext: true titleUrlDefault: https://www.proquest.com/central providerName: ProQuest – providerCode: PRVPQU databaseName: Publicly Available Content Database customDbUrl: eissn: 1869-8999 dateEnd: 99991231 omitProxy: false ssIdentifier: ssj0000561716 issn: 1869-8980 databaseCode: PIMPY dateStart: 20100101 isFulltext: true titleUrlDefault: http://search.proquest.com/publiccontent providerName: ProQuest – providerCode: PRVPQU databaseName: Social Science Database customDbUrl: eissn: 1869-8999 dateEnd: 99991231 omitProxy: false ssIdentifier: ssj0000561716 issn: 1869-8980 databaseCode: M2R dateStart: 20100101 isFulltext: true titleUrlDefault: https://search.proquest.com/socscijournals providerName: ProQuest – providerCode: PRVPQU databaseName: Sociology Database customDbUrl: eissn: 1869-8999 dateEnd: 99991231 omitProxy: false ssIdentifier: ssj0000561716 issn: 1869-8980 databaseCode: M2S dateStart: 20100101 isFulltext: true titleUrlDefault: https://search.proquest.com/sociology providerName: ProQuest |
| link | http://cvtisr.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMwpV1Lb9QwEB7BLhJceCMW2soHxC1qEjuOzQVtSyt62FXUglROkZNMVnvZlGTb398Zr7PQCxekyIrycB7fxPOI5xuAT7olxYDWRs5aJAclySLXqCbKGxejMqlVtfPFJvLl0lxf2yIE3IYwrXIcE_1A3XQ1x8iPSVQSSdpRmq83vyOuGsV_V0MJjccwZaYyNYHpydmyuNxHWdg-zn39Uy69FBlr4kC0meY6Oz4tuiuSk5STlB8oJs_f_8DonNLbcv1fuuf8xf_e9Ut4HqxOMd-JySt4hJvX8HRMSh7ewIbERVz4jEnRtWKxXu0kQ9BS7Gt8ifkKSdWJNa0NaycSUjL8YPEXMRffkKenhzlgYiQ7EX5Ogij6bszp5E7ews_zsx-n36NQiiGqpcm2kUIyC2SSNE412jjpdJ2pVjmtLJJBxbxhlqni0GXIfD-uyuNcO51LpRBrJ9_BZNNt8D0IwwxD1INLkJlzsFJVW5EVWuvKuEzLGXwecShvdowbJXsqDFjJgJUMWBmnMzhhlPYHMVG239D1qzJ8dyUZdChbMsJqTFRFzrBRlbbkJCkSUdk2MzgYgSvD1zuUf1CbwaHHfX8RAvbW1z9mXjSjP_z79I_wbCddHLI5gMm2v8VDeFLfbddDfxSE9cjHAahdpJe-vaI9xcWi-HUPhwLzcw |
| linkProvider | ProQuest |
| linkToHtml | http://cvtisr.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMw1V1Nb9QwEB2VFqlc-EYstOADcIu6iR3HRkJoaam6ane1UovUm3GSyWovm5JsQfwpfiMz3mShF249IOUQRYmj2M-eGWfmPYA3uiLDgNZG3lqkACVOI1-qMspKP0RlEqsKH8QmsunUXF7a2Rb86mthOK2yXxPDQl3WBe-RHxBUYknWUZqPV98iVo3iv6u9hMYaFqf48weFbO2H8RGN79skOf58cXgSdaoCUSFNuooUkoWTcVx6VWrjpddFqirltbJIvgFTYFlmPUOfIlPX-DyjWN_rTCqFWHhJ7d6BHUWREKcQTpLzzZ4Oe-NZUFtloafIWDPsaD2TTKcHh7P6nFCZcEn0DTMY1AJuuLg7NDa--cvSHT_43_roIdzvfGoxWk-CR7CFy8ew25dct09gSZNBjEM9qKgrMVnM17gXdMw2CmZiNEcy5GJBZ-3Ci5hMKHfk8L0YiSPk5Psuw030VC4iZFyIWVP3FavcyFP4ciuf-wy2l_USn4MwzJ9ELfgYmRcIc5VXOfnYhc6NT7UcwLt-3N3Vmk_EcRzGAHEMEMcAccNkAJ8YFZubmAY8XKibuetWFUfuKsqKXMwCY5VTqG9Uri2FgIomoKzKAez1QHHd2tS6PygZwH7A2eYlBKTroO7MrG9Gv_j3469h9-RicubOxtPTl3BvjWzenNqD7VVzjftwt_i-WrTNqzBNBHy9bcz9BpEbR_U |
| openUrl | ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info%3Aofi%2Fenc%3AUTF-8&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fsummon.serialssolutions.com&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=The+Impact+of+Migration+on+Population+Ageing+in+Asia+1990-2020%3A+A+Decomposition+Analysis+Using+Prospective+Age&rft.jtitle=Comparative+population+studies&rft.au=D%C3%B6rflinger%2C+Markus&rft.date=2025-01-01&rft.pub=Federal+Institute+for+Population+Research+%28BiB%29&rft.issn=1869-8980&rft.eissn=1869-8999&rft.volume=50&rft_id=info:doi/10.12765%2FCPoS-2025-02 |
| thumbnail_l | http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/lc.gif&issn=1869-8980&client=summon |
| thumbnail_m | http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/mc.gif&issn=1869-8980&client=summon |
| thumbnail_s | http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/sc.gif&issn=1869-8980&client=summon |