Rare Event Sampling Improves Mercury Instability Statistics

Due to the chaotic nature of planetary dynamics, there is a non-zero probability that Mercury’s orbit will become unstable in the future. Previous efforts have estimated the probability of this happening between 3 and 5 billion years in the future using a large number of direct numerical simulations...

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Vydané v:	The Astrophysical journal Ročník 923; číslo 2; s. 236 - 244
Hlavní autori:	Abbot, Dorian S., Webber, Robert J., Hadden, Sam, Seligman, Darryl, Weare, Jonathan
Médium:	Journal Article
Jazyk:	English
Vydavateľské údaje:	Philadelphia The American Astronomical Society 01.12.2021 IOP Publishing
Predmet:	ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS Astrophysics Computer simulation Direct numerical simulation Dynamic stability Estimates Instability Mercury Mercury (planet) Numerical simulations Orbital mechanics Planetary dynamics Sampling methods Sampling techniques
ISSN:	0004-637X, 1538-4357
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