Is gold a hedge or a safe-haven asset in the COVID–19 crisis?

This study examines the role of gold as a hedge or safe-haven asset in different phases of the COVID-19 pandemic crisis, corresponding to the timing of fiscal and monetary stimuli to support the weakened economy. Using high-frequency data, the results show that gold served as a safe-haven asset for...

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Vydáno v:Economic modelling Ročník 102; s. 105588
Hlavní autoři: Akhtaruzzaman, Md, Boubaker, Sabri, Lucey, Brian M., Sensoy, Ahmet
Médium: Journal Article
Jazyk:angličtina
Vydáno: Elsevier B.V 01.09.2021
Elsevier
Témata:
ISSN:0264-9993, 1873-6122
On-line přístup:Získat plný text
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Abstract This study examines the role of gold as a hedge or safe-haven asset in different phases of the COVID-19 pandemic crisis, corresponding to the timing of fiscal and monetary stimuli to support the weakened economy. Using high-frequency data, the results show that gold served as a safe-haven asset for stock markets during Phase I (December 31, 2019–March 16, 2020) of the pandemic. However, gold lost its safe-haven role during Phase II (March 17−April 24, 2020). The optimal weights of gold in S&P 500, Euro Stoxx 50, Nikkei 225, and WTI crude oil portfolios significantly increased during Phase II, suggesting that investors expanded investment in gold as a ‘flight-to-safety asset’ during the crisis. Further, hedging costs increased significantly during Phase II. These findings provide insight for individual and institutional investors and guidance to policymakers, regulators, and media on how gold evolved as a hedge and safe-haven asset in different phases of the pandemic. •We study the role of gold in the COVID–19 crisis.•Gold acts as safe haven asset during Phase I (31 Dec 2019–16 Mar 2020).•Gold loses the safe haven status during Phase II (17 Mar −24 April 2020).•Investors increase their investment in gold during Phase II as a ‘flight-to-safety asset’.•Hedging cost increases during Phase II.
AbstractList This study examines the role of gold as a hedge or safe-haven asset in different phases of the COVID-19 pandemic crisis, corresponding to the timing of fiscal and monetary stimuli to support the weakened economy. Using high-frequency data, the results show that gold served as a safe-haven asset for stock markets during Phase I (December 31, 2019–March 16, 2020) of the pandemic. However, gold lost its safe-haven role during Phase II (March 17−April 24, 2020). The optimal weights of gold in S&P 500, Euro Stoxx 50, Nikkei 225, and WTI crude oil portfolios significantly increased during Phase II, suggesting that investors expanded investment in gold as a ‘flight-to-safety asset’ during the crisis. Further, hedging costs increased significantly during Phase II. These findings provide insight for individual and institutional investors and guidance to policymakers, regulators, and media on how gold evolved as a hedge and safe-haven asset in different phases of the pandemic. •We study the role of gold in the COVID–19 crisis.•Gold acts as safe haven asset during Phase I (31 Dec 2019–16 Mar 2020).•Gold loses the safe haven status during Phase II (17 Mar −24 April 2020).•Investors increase their investment in gold during Phase II as a ‘flight-to-safety asset’.•Hedging cost increases during Phase II.
This study examines the role of gold as a hedge or safe-haven asset in different phases of the COVID-19 pandemic crisis, corresponding to the timing of fiscal and monetary stimuli to support the weakened economy. Using high-frequency data, the results show that gold served as a safe-haven asset for stock markets during Phase I (December 31, 2019–March 16, 2020) of the pandemic. However, gold lost its safe-haven role during Phase II (March 17−April 24, 2020). The optimal weights of gold in S&P 500, Euro Stoxx 50, Nikkei 225, and WTI crude oil portfolios significantly increased during Phase II, suggesting that investors expanded investment in gold as a ‘flight-to-safety asset’ during the crisis. Further, hedging costs increased significantly during Phase II. These findings provide insight for individual and institutional investors and guidance to policymakers, regulators, and media on how gold evolved as a hedge and safe-haven asset in different phases of the pandemic.
ArticleNumber 105588
Author Sensoy, Ahmet
Akhtaruzzaman, Md
Boubaker, Sabri
Lucey, Brian M.
Author_xml – sequence: 1
  givenname: Md
  surname: Akhtaruzzaman
  fullname: Akhtaruzzaman, Md
  organization: Australian Catholic University, Sydney, Australia
– sequence: 2
  givenname: Sabri
  surname: Boubaker
  fullname: Boubaker, Sabri
  email: sboubaker@em-normandie.fr
  organization: EM Normandie Business School, Métis Lab, Paris, France
– sequence: 3
  givenname: Brian M.
  orcidid: 0000-0002-4052-8235
  surname: Lucey
  fullname: Lucey, Brian M.
  organization: Trinity Business School, Trinity College Dublin, Dublin 2, Ireland
– sequence: 4
  givenname: Ahmet
  surname: Sensoy
  fullname: Sensoy, Ahmet
  organization: Bilkent University, Faculty of Business Administration, Ankara, Turkey
BackLink https://hal.science/hal-04998990$$DView record in HAL
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Keywords COVID–19
Gold
Hedge
G11
G01
G23
G15
Safe-haven asset
Financial crisis
COVID-19
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Snippet This study examines the role of gold as a hedge or safe-haven asset in different phases of the COVID-19 pandemic crisis, corresponding to the timing of fiscal...
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SubjectTerms Business administration
COVID–19
Financial crisis
Gold
Hedge
Humanities and Social Sciences
Safe-haven asset
Title Is gold a hedge or a safe-haven asset in the COVID–19 crisis?
URI https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2021.105588
https://hal.science/hal-04998990
Volume 102
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