Delayed Impacts of Spring Soil Moisture in the Tibetan Plateau on Early‐Summer Air Temperature in the Northern East Asia

The northern East Asia (NEA) is suffering from significant temperature anomalies in recent years and the formation mechanisms remain unclear yet. With focus on non‐local effects of Tibetan Plateau soil moisture (TPSM), this study explores the close linkage between anomalies of TPSM in boreal spring...

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Vydáno v:Geophysical research letters Ročník 52; číslo 16
Hlavní autoři: Sang, Yinghan, Ren, Hong‐Li, Li, Mei
Médium: Journal Article
Jazyk:angličtina
Vydáno: Washington John Wiley & Sons, Inc 28.08.2025
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ISSN:0094-8276, 1944-8007
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Abstract The northern East Asia (NEA) is suffering from significant temperature anomalies in recent years and the formation mechanisms remain unclear yet. With focus on non‐local effects of Tibetan Plateau soil moisture (TPSM), this study explores the close linkage between anomalies of TPSM in boreal spring and air temperature of NEA (NEAT) in early summer based on observational diagnosis, and the influence mechanism is verified by numerical model experiments. The drier mid‐west TPSM in April could persist into early summer and reduce the TP evaporation, which leads to positive anomalies of surface sensible heat flux heating the TP atmosphere. Heated air further exciting the wave train, and NEA is covered by positive geopotential height anomalies. Higher pressure results the downdraft and thus abnormally high air temperatures in NEA eventually. This study suggests that TPSM in spring may act as a new precursor providing an additional source of predictability for early‐summer NEAT. Plain Language Summary The northern East Asia (NEA) is suffering from significant temperature anomalies that cause extreme events like heat waves in recent years, and the inter‐annual prediction of temperature variations in NEA has become a key and hot issue. The correlation between summer air temperature in NEA (NEAT) and traditional factors such as sea surface temperature becomes unstable in recent years, which may result in low accuracy of inter‐annual prediction over this region. Therefore, the influences of other factors on NEAT are needed to be focused on. Based on the climatic effects of soil moisture, we show that soil moisture over the Tibetan Plateau (TPSM) in spring is significantly correlated with NEAT in early‐summer. By heating the atmosphere above TP, the negative TPSM signals persisting from April to June can excite the wave train from central Asia to NEA, and the positive geopotential height anomalies of which cover NEA. Higher pressure leads to the downdraft anomalies and thus abnormally high air temperatures in NEA. The results are verified by both observational analysis and numerical model experiments. This study suggests that TPSM in boreal spring may act as a new precursor providing an additional source of predictability for early summer NEAT. Key Points Soil moisture on Tibetan Plateau (Tibetan Plateau soil moisture (TPSM)) in spring is significantly correlated with early‐summer air temperature in northern East Asia TPSM anomalies persisting for 3 months from April to June affects surface heat fluxes and heats atmosphere above the plateau Heated atmosphere of TP excites the wave train that NEA is covered by positive geopotential height anomalies benefiting higher temperature
AbstractList The northern East Asia (NEA) is suffering from significant temperature anomalies in recent years and the formation mechanisms remain unclear yet. With focus on non‐local effects of Tibetan Plateau soil moisture (TPSM), this study explores the close linkage between anomalies of TPSM in boreal spring and air temperature of NEA (NEAT) in early summer based on observational diagnosis, and the influence mechanism is verified by numerical model experiments. The drier mid‐west TPSM in April could persist into early summer and reduce the TP evaporation, which leads to positive anomalies of surface sensible heat flux heating the TP atmosphere. Heated air further exciting the wave train, and NEA is covered by positive geopotential height anomalies. Higher pressure results the downdraft and thus abnormally high air temperatures in NEA eventually. This study suggests that TPSM in spring may act as a new precursor providing an additional source of predictability for early‐summer NEAT. The northern East Asia (NEA) is suffering from significant temperature anomalies that cause extreme events like heat waves in recent years, and the inter‐annual prediction of temperature variations in NEA has become a key and hot issue. The correlation between summer air temperature in NEA (NEAT) and traditional factors such as sea surface temperature becomes unstable in recent years, which may result in low accuracy of inter‐annual prediction over this region. Therefore, the influences of other factors on NEAT are needed to be focused on. Based on the climatic effects of soil moisture, we show that soil moisture over the Tibetan Plateau (TPSM) in spring is significantly correlated with NEAT in early‐summer. By heating the atmosphere above TP, the negative TPSM signals persisting from April to June can excite the wave train from central Asia to NEA, and the positive geopotential height anomalies of which cover NEA. Higher pressure leads to the downdraft anomalies and thus abnormally high air temperatures in NEA. The results are verified by both observational analysis and numerical model experiments. This study suggests that TPSM in boreal spring may act as a new precursor providing an additional source of predictability for early summer NEAT. Soil moisture on Tibetan Plateau (Tibetan Plateau soil moisture (TPSM)) in spring is significantly correlated with early‐summer air temperature in northern East Asia TPSM anomalies persisting for 3 months from April to June affects surface heat fluxes and heats atmosphere above the plateau Heated atmosphere of TP excites the wave train that NEA is covered by positive geopotential height anomalies benefiting higher temperature
Abstract The northern East Asia (NEA) is suffering from significant temperature anomalies in recent years and the formation mechanisms remain unclear yet. With focus on non‐local effects of Tibetan Plateau soil moisture (TPSM), this study explores the close linkage between anomalies of TPSM in boreal spring and air temperature of NEA (NEAT) in early summer based on observational diagnosis, and the influence mechanism is verified by numerical model experiments. The drier mid‐west TPSM in April could persist into early summer and reduce the TP evaporation, which leads to positive anomalies of surface sensible heat flux heating the TP atmosphere. Heated air further exciting the wave train, and NEA is covered by positive geopotential height anomalies. Higher pressure results the downdraft and thus abnormally high air temperatures in NEA eventually. This study suggests that TPSM in spring may act as a new precursor providing an additional source of predictability for early‐summer NEAT.
The northern East Asia (NEA) is suffering from significant temperature anomalies in recent years and the formation mechanisms remain unclear yet. With focus on non‐local effects of Tibetan Plateau soil moisture (TPSM), this study explores the close linkage between anomalies of TPSM in boreal spring and air temperature of NEA (NEAT) in early summer based on observational diagnosis, and the influence mechanism is verified by numerical model experiments. The drier mid‐west TPSM in April could persist into early summer and reduce the TP evaporation, which leads to positive anomalies of surface sensible heat flux heating the TP atmosphere. Heated air further exciting the wave train, and NEA is covered by positive geopotential height anomalies. Higher pressure results the downdraft and thus abnormally high air temperatures in NEA eventually. This study suggests that TPSM in spring may act as a new precursor providing an additional source of predictability for early‐summer NEAT.
The northern East Asia (NEA) is suffering from significant temperature anomalies in recent years and the formation mechanisms remain unclear yet. With focus on non‐local effects of Tibetan Plateau soil moisture (TPSM), this study explores the close linkage between anomalies of TPSM in boreal spring and air temperature of NEA (NEAT) in early summer based on observational diagnosis, and the influence mechanism is verified by numerical model experiments. The drier mid‐west TPSM in April could persist into early summer and reduce the TP evaporation, which leads to positive anomalies of surface sensible heat flux heating the TP atmosphere. Heated air further exciting the wave train, and NEA is covered by positive geopotential height anomalies. Higher pressure results the downdraft and thus abnormally high air temperatures in NEA eventually. This study suggests that TPSM in spring may act as a new precursor providing an additional source of predictability for early‐summer NEAT. Plain Language Summary The northern East Asia (NEA) is suffering from significant temperature anomalies that cause extreme events like heat waves in recent years, and the inter‐annual prediction of temperature variations in NEA has become a key and hot issue. The correlation between summer air temperature in NEA (NEAT) and traditional factors such as sea surface temperature becomes unstable in recent years, which may result in low accuracy of inter‐annual prediction over this region. Therefore, the influences of other factors on NEAT are needed to be focused on. Based on the climatic effects of soil moisture, we show that soil moisture over the Tibetan Plateau (TPSM) in spring is significantly correlated with NEAT in early‐summer. By heating the atmosphere above TP, the negative TPSM signals persisting from April to June can excite the wave train from central Asia to NEA, and the positive geopotential height anomalies of which cover NEA. Higher pressure leads to the downdraft anomalies and thus abnormally high air temperatures in NEA. The results are verified by both observational analysis and numerical model experiments. This study suggests that TPSM in boreal spring may act as a new precursor providing an additional source of predictability for early summer NEAT. Key Points Soil moisture on Tibetan Plateau (Tibetan Plateau soil moisture (TPSM)) in spring is significantly correlated with early‐summer air temperature in northern East Asia TPSM anomalies persisting for 3 months from April to June affects surface heat fluxes and heats atmosphere above the plateau Heated atmosphere of TP excites the wave train that NEA is covered by positive geopotential height anomalies benefiting higher temperature
Author Li, Mei
Ren, Hong‐Li
Sang, Yinghan
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  surname: Li
  fullname: Li, Mei
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Snippet The northern East Asia (NEA) is suffering from significant temperature anomalies in recent years and the formation mechanisms remain unclear yet. With focus on...
Abstract The northern East Asia (NEA) is suffering from significant temperature anomalies in recent years and the formation mechanisms remain unclear yet. With...
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Aggregation Database
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Publisher
SubjectTerms Air temperature
Anomalies
Data assimilation
Downdraft
Dynamic height
Enthalpy
Evaporation
Geopotential
Geopotential height
Heat flux
Heat transfer
Height anomalies
High temperature
land surface processes
Mathematical models
Moisture content
northern East Asia
Numerical models
Sensible heat
Sensible heat flux
Sensible heat transfer
Soil moisture
Soil temperature
Spring
Spring (season)
Summer
Temperature
Temperature anomalies
Tibetan plateau
Time series
Wave packets
Wave trains
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Title Delayed Impacts of Spring Soil Moisture in the Tibetan Plateau on Early‐Summer Air Temperature in the Northern East Asia
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