An Experimental Water Consumption Regression Model for Typical Administrative Buildings in the Czech Republic
Pressure management is the basic step of reducing water losses from water supply systems (WSSs). The reduction of direct water losses is reliably achieved by reducing pressure in the WSSs. There is also a slight decrease in water consumption in connected properties. Nevertheless, consumption is also...
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| Published in: | Water (Basel) Vol. 10; no. 4; p. 424 |
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| Main Authors: | , , , |
| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | English |
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Basel
MDPI AG
04.04.2018
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| ISSN: | 2073-4441, 2073-4441 |
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| Abstract | Pressure management is the basic step of reducing water losses from water supply systems (WSSs). The reduction of direct water losses is reliably achieved by reducing pressure in the WSSs. There is also a slight decrease in water consumption in connected properties. Nevertheless, consumption is also affected by other factors, the quantification of which is not trivial. However, there is still a lack of much relevant information to enter into this analysis and subsequent decision making. This article focuses on water consumption and its prediction, using regression models designed for an experiment regarding an administrative building in the Czech Republic (CZ). The variables considered are pressure and climatological factors (temperature and humidity). The effects of these variables on the consumption are separately evaluated, subsequently multidimensional models are discussed with the common inclusion of selected combinations of predictors. Separate evaluation results in a value of the N3 coefficient, according to the FAVAD concept used for prediction of changes in water consumption related to pressure. The statistical inference is based on the maximum likelihood method. The proposed regression models are tested to evaluate their suitability, particularly, the models are compared using a cross-validation procedure. The significance tests for parameters and model reduction are based on asymptotic properties of the likelihood ratio statistics. Pressure is confirmed in each regression model as a significant variable. |
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| AbstractList | Pressure management is the basic step of reducing water losses from water supply systems (WSSs). The reduction of direct water losses is reliably achieved by reducing pressure in the WSSs. There is also a slight decrease in water consumption in connected properties. Nevertheless, consumption is also affected by other factors, the quantification of which is not trivial. However, there is still a lack of much relevant information to enter into this analysis and subsequent decision making. This article focuses on water consumption and its prediction, using regression models designed for an experiment regarding an administrative building in the Czech Republic (CZ). The variables considered are pressure and climatological factors (temperature and humidity). The effects of these variables on the consumption are separately evaluated, subsequently multidimensional models are discussed with the common inclusion of selected combinations of predictors. Separate evaluation results in a value of the N[sub.3] coefficient, according to the FAVAD concept used for prediction of changes in water consumption related to pressure. The statistical inference is based on the maximum likelihood method. The proposed regression models are tested to evaluate their suitability, particularly, the models are compared using a cross-validation procedure. The significance tests for parameters and model reduction are based on asymptotic properties of the likelihood ratio statistics. Pressure is confirmed in each regression model as a significant variable. Pressure management is the basic step of reducing water losses from water supply systems (WSSs). The reduction of direct water losses is reliably achieved by reducing pressure in the WSSs. There is also a slight decrease in water consumption in connected properties. Nevertheless, consumption is also affected by other factors, the quantification of which is not trivial. However, there is still a lack of much relevant information to enter into this analysis and subsequent decision making. This article focuses on water consumption and its prediction, using regression models designed for an experiment regarding an administrative building in the Czech Republic (CZ). The variables considered are pressure and climatological factors (temperature and humidity). The effects of these variables on the consumption are separately evaluated, subsequently multidimensional models are discussed with the common inclusion of selected combinations of predictors. Separate evaluation results in a value of the N3 coefficient, according to the FAVAD concept used for prediction of changes in water consumption related to pressure. The statistical inference is based on the maximum likelihood method. The proposed regression models are tested to evaluate their suitability, particularly, the models are compared using a cross-validation procedure. The significance tests for parameters and model reduction are based on asymptotic properties of the likelihood ratio statistics. Pressure is confirmed in each regression model as a significant variable. |
| Audience | Academic |
| Author | Rucka, Jan Holesovsky, Jan Tuhovcak, Ladislav Suchacek, Tomas |
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| References_xml | – volume: 114 start-page: 276 year: 1988 ident: ref_9 article-title: Water distribution reliability: Simulation methods publication-title: Water Resour. Plan. Manag. doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496(1988)114:3(276) – volume: 57 start-page: 1092 year: 2012 ident: ref_31 article-title: Choice between competitive pairs of frequency models for use in hydrology: A review and some new results publication-title: Hydrol. Sci. J. doi: 10.1080/02626667.2012.701746 – ident: ref_32 – volume: 46 start-page: 1130 year: 2006 ident: ref_34 article-title: Climative variability and residential water use in the city of Phoenix, Arizona publication-title: J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol. doi: 10.1175/JAM2518.1 – ident: ref_11 – volume: 117 start-page: 312 year: 2018 ident: ref_20 article-title: Comparison of methods for outlier identification in surface characterization publication-title: Meas. J. Int. Meas. Confed. doi: 10.1016/j.measurement.2017.12.015 – volume: 119 start-page: 1278 year: 2015 ident: ref_4 article-title: The optimal balance point between NRW reduction measures, full water costing and water pricing in water distribution systems. Alternative scenarios forecasting the Kozani’s WDS optimal balance point publication-title: Procedia Eng. doi: 10.1016/j.proeng.2015.08.996 – volume: 55 start-page: 250 year: 2014 ident: ref_29 article-title: Flood inference simulation using surrogate modelling for the Yellow River multiple reservoir system publication-title: Environ. Model. Softw. doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.02.002 – ident: ref_16 – volume: 89 start-page: 958 year: 2014 ident: ref_6 article-title: Forecasting the residential water demand, balancing full water cost pricing and non-revenue water reduction policies publication-title: Procedia Eng. doi: 10.1016/j.proeng.2014.11.530 – volume: 21 start-page: 05015013 year: 2015 ident: ref_30 article-title: Comparison of annual maximum and partial duration series for derivation of rainfall intensity-duration-frequency relationships in Peninsular Malaysia publication-title: J. Hydrol. Eng. doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0001262 – ident: ref_1 – volume: 89 start-page: 318 year: 2014 ident: ref_7 article-title: Applying pressure management to reduce water losses in two Greek Cities’ WDSs: Expectations, problems, results and revisions publication-title: Procedia Eng. doi: 10.1016/j.proeng.2014.11.194 – ident: ref_18 – ident: ref_23 – ident: ref_21 – volume: 62 start-page: 1023 year: 2010 ident: ref_25 article-title: Semi-parametric efficiency bounds for regression models under response-selective sampling: The profile likelihood approach publication-title: Ann. Inst. Stat. Math. doi: 10.1007/s10463-008-0205-1 – volume: 17 start-page: 10 year: 1994 ident: ref_14 article-title: Pressure dependent leakage publication-title: World Water Environ. Eng. – ident: ref_24 doi: 10.1007/978-1-4471-3675-0 – volume: 15 start-page: 1069 year: 2015 ident: ref_5 article-title: The joint effect of water price changes and pressure management, at the economic annual real losses level, on the system input volume of a water distribution system publication-title: Water Sci. Technol. Water Supply doi: 10.2166/ws.2015.064 – ident: ref_33 – volume: 162 start-page: 503 year: 2016 ident: ref_2 article-title: Pressure management and energy recovery capabilities using PATs publication-title: Procedia Eng. doi: 10.1016/j.proeng.2016.11.094 – ident: ref_10 – ident: ref_27 doi: 10.1007/978-0-387-84858-7 – volume: 30 start-page: 324 year: 2009 ident: ref_8 article-title: Identifying the relationships between urban water consumption and weather variables in Seoul, Korea publication-title: Phys. Geogr. doi: 10.2747/0272-3646.30.4.324 – volume: 4 start-page: 40 year: 2010 ident: ref_26 article-title: A survey of cross-validation procedures for model selection publication-title: Stat. Surv. doi: 10.1214/09-SS054 – ident: ref_15 – ident: ref_13 – ident: ref_17 – volume: 90 start-page: 34 year: 2014 ident: ref_3 article-title: Smart meters for enhanced water supply network modelling and infrastructure planning publication-title: Resour. Conserv. Recycl. doi: 10.1016/j.resconrec.2014.06.005 – ident: ref_19 – ident: ref_22 – volume: 30 start-page: 2931 year: 2016 ident: ref_12 article-title: Assessing and modelling the influence of household characteristics on per capita water consumption publication-title: Water Resour. Manag. doi: 10.1007/s11269-016-1314-x – volume: 62 start-page: 33 year: 2014 ident: ref_28 article-title: An evaluation framework for input variable selection algorithms for environmental data-driven models publication-title: Environ. Model. Softw. doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.08.015 |
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| SubjectTerms | buildings Czech Republic decision making humidity Maximum likelihood method prediction regression analysis statistical inference temperature Water water supply |
| Title | An Experimental Water Consumption Regression Model for Typical Administrative Buildings in the Czech Republic |
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