Oil price risk exposure of BRIC stock markets and hedging effectiveness

We study the tail dependence between crude oil and BRIC stock markets using a time-varying optimal copula (TVOC) approach. We show evidence of multiple tail dependence regimes, suggesting that simple static or dynamic copula specifications do not fully characterize the extreme dependence between oil...

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Published in:Annals of operations research Vol. 313; no. 1; pp. 145 - 170
Main Authors: Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, Bouri, Elie, Rehman, Mobeen Ur, Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, Saeed, Tareq
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: New York Springer US 01.06.2022
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Springer Nature B.V
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ISSN:0254-5330, 1572-9338
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Abstract We study the tail dependence between crude oil and BRIC stock markets using a time-varying optimal copula (TVOC) approach. We show evidence of multiple tail dependence regimes, suggesting that simple static or dynamic copula specifications do not fully characterize the extreme dependence between oil and BRIC stock markets. The identified combinations of asymmetric and extreme positive lower tail dependence justify the application of the TVOC. Interestingly, the positive lower tail dependence between oil and stock markets and risk spillover from oil is higher for Brazil and Russia (oil exporters) than India and China (oil importers). Finally, we assess the effectiveness of hedging and measure the conditional diversification benefits of investing in oil for BRIC stock indices. Notably, the Chinese and Indian equity markets offer higher conditional diversification benefits when combined with oil in an equally weighted portfolio.
AbstractList We study the tail dependence between crude oil and BRIC stock markets using a time-varying optimal copula (TVOC) approach. We show evidence of multiple tail dependence regimes, suggesting that simple static or dynamic copula specifications do not fully characterize the extreme dependence between oil and BRIC stock markets. The identified combinations of asymmetric and extreme positive lower tail dependence justify the application of the TVOC. Interestingly, the positive lower tail dependence between oil and stock markets and risk spillover from oil is higher for Brazil and Russia (oil exporters) than India and China (oil importers). Finally, we assess the effectiveness of hedging and measure the conditional diversification benefits of investing in oil for BRIC stock indices. Notably, the Chinese and Indian equity markets offer higher conditional diversification benefits when combined with oil in an equally weighted portfolio.
Audience Academic
Author Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain
Rehman, Mobeen Ur
Bouri, Elie
Saeed, Tareq
Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr
Author_xml – sequence: 1
  givenname: Syed Jawad Hussain
  orcidid: 0000-0003-3511-6057
  surname: Shahzad
  fullname: Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain
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  organization: Montpellier Business School, University of Montpellier, Montpellier Research in Management, South Ural State University
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  surname: Bouri
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  organization: Adnan Kassar School of Business, Lebanese American University
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  givenname: Mobeen Ur
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  fullname: Rehman, Mobeen Ur
  organization: South Ural State University
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  givenname: Muhammad Abubakr
  surname: Naeem
  fullname: Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr
  organization: UCD College of Business, University College Dublin
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  givenname: Tareq
  surname: Saeed
  fullname: Saeed, Tareq
  organization: Nonlinear Analysis and Applied Mathematics (NAAM)-Research Group, Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, King Abdulaziz University
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Crude oil
BRIC
G11
Hedging
Diversification
Time-varying optimal copula
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Snippet We study the tail dependence between crude oil and BRIC stock markets using a time-varying optimal copula (TVOC) approach. We show evidence of multiple tail...
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crossref
springer
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Enrichment Source
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Publisher
StartPage 145
SubjectTerms Analysis
Business and Management
Combinatorics
Crude oil
Crude oil prices
Diversification
Emerging markets
Equity
Exports
Hedging
Hedging (Finance)
Influence
Institutional investments
Methods
Operations research
Operations Research/Decision Theory
Original Research
Petroleum
Portfolio management
Prices and rates
Risk (Economics)
Risk exposure
Securities markets
Stock exchanges
Stock markets
Theory of Computation
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Title Oil price risk exposure of BRIC stock markets and hedging effectiveness
URI https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10479-021-04078-0
https://www.proquest.com/docview/2675830059
Volume 313
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