Student Performance Prediction Model based on Supervised Machine Learning Algorithms

Higher education institutions aim to forecast student success which is an important research subject. Forecasting student success can enable teachers to prevent students from dropping out before final examinations, identify those who need additional help and boost institution ranking and prestige. M...

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Vydáno v:	IOP conference series. Materials Science and Engineering Ročník 928; číslo 3; s. 32019 - 32036
Hlavní autoři:	Salah Hashim, Ali, Akeel Awadh, Wid, Khalaf Hamoud, Alaa
Médium:	Journal Article
Jazyk:	angličtina
Vydáno:	Bristol IOP Publishing 01.11.2020
Témata:	Algorithms Colleges & universities Data mining Datasets Decision Tree Decision trees Educational Data Mining Higher education institutions K-Nearest Neighbour Logistic Regression Machine learning Mathematical models Multi-layer Perceptron Naive Bayes Neural Network Neural networks Optimization Performance prediction Prediction models Students Supervised Machine Learning Support vector machines
ISSN:	1757-8981, 1757-899X
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Abstract	Higher education institutions aim to forecast student success which is an important research subject. Forecasting student success can enable teachers to prevent students from dropping out before final examinations, identify those who need additional help and boost institution ranking and prestige. Machine learning techniques in educational data mining aim to develop a model for discovering meaningful hidden patterns and exploring useful information from educational settings. The key traditional characteristics of students (demographic, academic background and behavioural features) are the main essential factors that can represent the training dataset for supervised machine learning algorithms. In this study, we compared the performances of several supervised machine learning algorithms, such as Decision Tree, Naïve Bayes, Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine, K-Nearest Neighbour, Sequential Minimal Optimisation and Neural Network. We trained a model by using datasets provided by courses in the bachelor study programmes of the College of Computer Science and Information Technology, University of Basra, for academic years 2017-2018 and 2018-2019 to predict student performance on final examinations. Results indicated that logistic regression classifier is the most accurate in predicting the exact final grades of students (68.7% for passed and 88.8% for failed).
AbstractList	Higher education institutions aim to forecast student success which is an important research subject. Forecasting student success can enable teachers to prevent students from dropping out before final examinations, identify those who need additional help and boost institution ranking and prestige. Machine learning techniques in educational data mining aim to develop a model for discovering meaningful hidden patterns and exploring useful information from educational settings. The key traditional characteristics of students (demographic, academic background and behavioural features) are the main essential factors that can represent the training dataset for supervised machine learning algorithms. In this study, we compared the performances of several supervised machine learning algorithms, such as Decision Tree, Naïve Bayes, Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine, K-Nearest Neighbour, Sequential Minimal Optimisation and Neural Network. We trained a model by using datasets provided by courses in the bachelor study programmes of the College of Computer Science and Information Technology, University of Basra, for academic years 2017–2018 and 2018–2019 to predict student performance on final examinations. Results indicated that logistic regression classifier is the most accurate in predicting the exact final grades of students (68.7% for passed and 88.8% for failed).
Author	Salah Hashim, Ali Akeel Awadh, Wid Khalaf Hamoud, Alaa
Author_xml	– sequence: 1 givenname: Ali surname: Salah Hashim fullname: Salah Hashim, Ali email: alishashim2009@gmail.com organization: College of Computer Science and Information Technology / University of Basrah , Iraq – sequence: 2 givenname: Wid surname: Akeel Awadh fullname: Akeel Awadh, Wid email: umzainali@gmail.com organization: College of Computer Science and Information Technology / University of Basrah , Iraq – sequence: 3 givenname: Alaa surname: Khalaf Hamoud fullname: Khalaf Hamoud, Alaa email: Alaak7alaf@gmail.com organization: College of Computer Science and Information Technology / University of Basrah , Iraq
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SubjectTerms	Algorithms Colleges & universities Data mining Datasets Decision Tree Decision trees Educational Data Mining Higher education institutions K-Nearest Neighbour Logistic Regression Machine learning Mathematical models Multi-layer Perceptron Naive Bayes Neural Network Neural networks Optimization Performance prediction Prediction models Students Supervised Machine Learning Support vector machines
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Title	Student Performance Prediction Model based on Supervised Machine Learning Algorithms
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