Who’s About to Leave? A Global Survey of Aspirations and Intentions to Migrate

This article analyses aspirations and intentions to migrate based on Gallup World Poll for the period 2010–2015. We estimate individual‐level traits associated with aspirations and intentions to migrate across groups of countries in different regions and with different income levels. This paper brin...

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Veröffentlicht in:International migration Jg. 57; H. 5; S. 181 - 200
Hauptverfasser: Migali, Silvia, Scipioni, Marco
Format: Journal Article
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: Oxford Wiley Subscription Services, Inc 01.10.2019
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ISSN:0020-7985, 1468-2435
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Abstract This article analyses aspirations and intentions to migrate based on Gallup World Poll for the period 2010–2015. We estimate individual‐level traits associated with aspirations and intentions to migrate across groups of countries in different regions and with different income levels. This paper brings together previous hypotheses regarding migration aspirations and tests them under several specifications, while keeping separate findings according to migration aspirations and intentions to appreciate differences between them. Being dissatisfied with one’s own standard of living is associated with a higher probability of desiring to move, while the relation with the actual preparation to migrate is less clear. Some individual traits remain significant across (almost) all specifications: being male, foreign‐born, highly educated, and having networks abroad are associated with higher probability of preparing for international migration. Aspects related to one’s economic situation are not consistently significant across specifications, signalling the importance of contextual analyses for these factors.
AbstractList This article analyses aspirations and intentions to migrate based on Gallup World Poll for the period 2010–2015. We estimate individual‐level traits associated with aspirations and intentions to migrate across groups of countries in different regions and with different income levels. This paper brings together previous hypotheses regarding migration aspirations and tests them under several specifications, while keeping separate findings according to migration aspirations and intentions to appreciate differences between them. Being dissatisfied with one’s own standard of living is associated with a higher probability of desiring to move, while the relation with the actual preparation to migrate is less clear. Some individual traits remain significant across (almost) all specifications: being male, foreign‐born, highly educated, and having networks abroad are associated with higher probability of preparing for international migration. Aspects related to one’s economic situation are not consistently significant across specifications, signalling the importance of contextual analyses for these factors.
Author Scipioni, Marco
Migali, Silvia
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  surname: Migali
  fullname: Migali, Silvia
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  givenname: Marco
  orcidid: 0000-0002-1432-2970
  surname: Scipioni
  fullname: Scipioni, Marco
  organization: European Commission
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Snippet This article analyses aspirations and intentions to migrate based on Gallup World Poll for the period 2010–2015. We estimate individual‐level traits associated...
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StartPage 181
SubjectTerms Aspiration
Contextual analysis
International migration
Migration
Polls & surveys
Specifications
Standard of living
Title Who’s About to Leave? A Global Survey of Aspirations and Intentions to Migrate
URI https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111%2Fimig.12617
https://www.proquest.com/docview/2307238114
Volume 57
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