Solving the Problem of Unattributed Political Violence
High rates of missing perpetrator information in political violence data pose a serious challenge for studies into militant group behavior and the microdynamics of conflict more generally. In this article we introduce multiple imputation (Ml) as the best available method for minimizing the impact of...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | The Journal of conflict resolution Jg. 61; H. 7; S. 1537 - 1564 |
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| Sprache: | Englisch |
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Los Angeles, CA
SAGE Publishing
01.08.2017
SAGE Publications SAGE PUBLICATIONS, INC |
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| ISSN: | 0022-0027, 1552-8766 |
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| Abstract | High rates of missing perpetrator information in political violence data pose a serious challenge for studies into militant group behavior and the microdynamics of conflict more generally. In this article we introduce multiple imputation (Ml) as the best available method for minimizing the impact of missing perpetrator information on quantitative analyses of political violence, a method that can easily be incorporated into most quantitative research designs. Ml will produce unbiased attributions when the reasons for missingness are known and can be controlled for using observed variables, rendering responsibility for unclaimed attacks, "missing at random" (MAR) – which we show is a reasonable assumption in the case of political violence based on current theory of militant group claiming. We lay out the logics and steps of Ml, identify variables and data sources, and demonstrate that Ml produced better results in the case of the Pakistani Taliban's response to drone strikes. |
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| AbstractList | High rates of missing perpetrator information in political violence data pose a serious challenge for studies into militant group behavior and the microdynamics of conflict more generally. In this article we introduce multiple imputation (Ml) as the best available method for minimizing the impact of missing perpetrator information on quantitative analyses of political violence, a method that can easily be incorporated into most quantitative research designs. Ml will produce unbiased attributions when the reasons for missingness are known and can be controlled for using observed variables, rendering responsibility for unclaimed attacks, "missing at random" (MAR) – which we show is a reasonable assumption in the case of political violence based on current theory of militant group claiming. We lay out the logics and steps of Ml, identify variables and data sources, and demonstrate that Ml produced better results in the case of the Pakistani Taliban's response to drone strikes. High rates of missing perpetrator information in political violence data pose a serious challenge for studies into militant group behavior and the microdynamics of conflict more generally. In this article we introduce multiple imputation (MI) as the best available method for minimizing the impact of missing perpetrator information on quantitative analyses of political violence, a method that can easily be incorporated into most quantitative research designs. MI will produce unbiased attributions when the reasons for missingness are known and can be controlled for using observed variables, rendering responsibility for unclaimed attacks, “missing at random” (MAR) – which we show is a reasonable assumption in the case of political violence based on current theory of militant group claiming. We lay out the logics and steps of MI, identify variables and data sources, and demonstrate that MI produced better results in the case of the Pakistani Taliban’s response to drone strikes. |
| Author | Bauer, Vincent Pape, Robert Ruby, Keven |
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| Cites_doi | 10.1002/9780470316696 10.1080/1057610X.2010.508483 10.1080/07388940500339167 10.1080/09546559708427383 10.1177/0022343310376439 10.1080/09546550701246817 10.1007/s11121-007-0070-9 10.1080/10576100490466498 10.1017/S0003055403000534 10.1080/00856400701264068 10.1177/0022002709336454 10.1037/1082-989X.6.4.330 10.1515/9781400848645 10.1080/01621459.1992.10476282 10.1017/S0022381608080419 10.1146/annurev.polisci.6.121901.085601 10.1177/0022343310378914 10.1080/1057610X.2014.893480 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2008.03.007 10.1017/S0003055401000235 10.1017/CBO9780511818462 10.1080/10576100600790878 10.1177/0022343310376473 10.1525/9780520332225 10.1080/09546550802544698 10.1201/9781439821862 10.2307/1912352 10.1016/j.csda.2010.04.005 10.1525/as.2009.49.6.1071 10.2307/j.ctt7rjbs 10.1093/oep/gpf064 10.4324/9781315881720 10.1017/CBO9780511808654 10.1093/pan/mpg017 10.1177/0022343313484347 10.1162/isec.2006.31.1.49 10.1017/S777777770200002X 10.1080/09546559708427382 |
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| SubjectTerms | Attribution Bias Conflict Conflict resolution Group dynamics Militancy Multiple imputation Political violence Politics Quantitative analysis Strikes Terrorism Unmanned aerial vehicles Variables Violence |
| Title | Solving the Problem of Unattributed Political Violence |
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