A two-stage chance constrained stochastic programming model for emergency supply distribution considering dynamic uncertainty

•A chance constrained stochastic programming model is proposed.•The uncertainty, dynamism and diversity of distribution system are considered.•The level assignment method is utilized to address distribution center disruptions.•The multimodal transportation system is introduced for road network disru...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Transportation research. Part E, Logistics and transportation review Vol. 179; p. 103296
Main Authors: Meng, Lingpeng, Wang, Xudong, He, Junliang, Han, Chuanfeng, Hu, Shaolong
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier Ltd 01.11.2023
Subjects:
Chance constrained stochastic programming
Disaster relief
Emergency supply distribution
Expected cost
Facility disruption
Uncertainty
Uncertainty
Emergency supply distribution
Chance constrained stochastic programming
Expected cost
Disaster relief
Facility disruption
ISSN:1366-5545, 1878-5794
Online Access:Get full text
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Summary:•A chance constrained stochastic programming model is proposed.•The uncertainty, dynamism and diversity of distribution system are considered.•The level assignment method is utilized to address distribution center disruptions.•The multimodal transportation system is introduced for road network disruptions.•An evolutionary algorithm is developed for large-scale cases. This paper presents a comprehensive approach to addressing the challenges of designing a reliable emergency logistics network under the dynamic uncertainty of natural disasters. The proposed multimodal transportation strategy based on level assignments can effectively mitigate the risk of facility disruptions and network uncertainty and enhance the adaptability of the system to diverse emergency supplies. The established two-stage chance constrained stochastic programming model and improved evolutionary algorithm are powerful tools for optimizing the network design and improving its resilience. Based on the real-world case of the Ya’an earthquake in China, the impacts of various practical constraints are analyzed. Several insights into the decision-making process of emergency logistics management are provided: managers should prioritize time utility over cost utility and use multiple aircraft and helicopters, supplies should be sorted into fewer and more important categories and placed in smaller packages for efficient transportation, multimodal transportation should be considered based on geographical and traffic conditions.
ISSN:1366-5545
1878-5794
DOI:10.1016/j.tre.2023.103296