Building machine-learning models for reducing the severity of bicyclist road traffic injuries
•Identifying a feature list to enter into a variety of machine-learning classification algorithms that predict the class of bicyclist injury severity.•Identifying the “best” machine-learning algorithm on the basis of having the highest levels of accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score.•Comparing t...
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| Published in: | Transportation engineering (Oxford) Vol. 12; p. 100179 |
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| Main Authors: | , , |
| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | English |
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01.06.2023
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| ISSN: | 2666-691X, 2666-691X |
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| Abstract | •Identifying a feature list to enter into a variety of machine-learning classification algorithms that predict the class of bicyclist injury severity.•Identifying the “best” machine-learning algorithm on the basis of having the highest levels of accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score.•Comparing the different models that predict the class of bicyclist injury severity.
Predicting the severity of injuries caused by traffic accidents is an important undertaking because it may lead to establishing regulations increasing road-user safety. Bicyclists are a particularly susceptible category of road users, which is especially troubling considering the environmental, financial, and health benefits of this mode of transportation. As a result, this study aims to apply machine learning to identify risk variables that may result in serious biker injuries in the case of an accident.
Machine-learning models make no assumptions about the connections between variables. Hence, it has been argued that machine-learning approaches produce better outcomes than statistical procedures. This study selects the “best” machine-learning classification system from a vast pool of similar algorithms to predict the severity of bicycling injuries. Machine learning allows the system to learn from experience and improve without being too programmed.
We first use a variety of feature selection algorithms to identify a list of features related to the accident and the environment that have the greatest impact on the severity of bicyclist injuries. This feature list is then used as input data to various machine-learning algorithms that predict the class of bicyclist injury severity at one of three levels (fatal, serious, and slight). The “best” machine-learning algorithm is identified on the basis of having the highest levels of accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score. The current models were developed and trained based on Israeli road-traffic accident data from 2009 to 2019, meaning that new models would need to be developed for other geographical locations. In addition, the models would need to be updated to take account of the changing relationships between motorists, bicyclists, and the environment. Nevertheless, the proposed methodology has universal applicability. |
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| AbstractList | •Identifying a feature list to enter into a variety of machine-learning classification algorithms that predict the class of bicyclist injury severity.•Identifying the “best” machine-learning algorithm on the basis of having the highest levels of accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score.•Comparing the different models that predict the class of bicyclist injury severity.
Predicting the severity of injuries caused by traffic accidents is an important undertaking because it may lead to establishing regulations increasing road-user safety. Bicyclists are a particularly susceptible category of road users, which is especially troubling considering the environmental, financial, and health benefits of this mode of transportation. As a result, this study aims to apply machine learning to identify risk variables that may result in serious biker injuries in the case of an accident.
Machine-learning models make no assumptions about the connections between variables. Hence, it has been argued that machine-learning approaches produce better outcomes than statistical procedures. This study selects the “best” machine-learning classification system from a vast pool of similar algorithms to predict the severity of bicycling injuries. Machine learning allows the system to learn from experience and improve without being too programmed.
We first use a variety of feature selection algorithms to identify a list of features related to the accident and the environment that have the greatest impact on the severity of bicyclist injuries. This feature list is then used as input data to various machine-learning algorithms that predict the class of bicyclist injury severity at one of three levels (fatal, serious, and slight). The “best” machine-learning algorithm is identified on the basis of having the highest levels of accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score. The current models were developed and trained based on Israeli road-traffic accident data from 2009 to 2019, meaning that new models would need to be developed for other geographical locations. In addition, the models would need to be updated to take account of the changing relationships between motorists, bicyclists, and the environment. Nevertheless, the proposed methodology has universal applicability. Predicting the severity of injuries caused by traffic accidents is an important undertaking because it may lead to establishing regulations increasing road-user safety. Bicyclists are a particularly susceptible category of road users, which is especially troubling considering the environmental, financial, and health benefits of this mode of transportation. As a result, this study aims to apply machine learning to identify risk variables that may result in serious biker injuries in the case of an accident.Machine-learning models make no assumptions about the connections between variables. Hence, it has been argued that machine-learning approaches produce better outcomes than statistical procedures. This study selects the “best” machine-learning classification system from a vast pool of similar algorithms to predict the severity of bicycling injuries. Machine learning allows the system to learn from experience and improve without being too programmed.We first use a variety of feature selection algorithms to identify a list of features related to the accident and the environment that have the greatest impact on the severity of bicyclist injuries. This feature list is then used as input data to various machine-learning algorithms that predict the class of bicyclist injury severity at one of three levels (fatal, serious, and slight). The “best” machine-learning algorithm is identified on the basis of having the highest levels of accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score. The current models were developed and trained based on Israeli road-traffic accident data from 2009 to 2019, meaning that new models would need to be developed for other geographical locations. In addition, the models would need to be updated to take account of the changing relationships between motorists, bicyclists, and the environment. Nevertheless, the proposed methodology has universal applicability. |
| ArticleNumber | 100179 |
| Author | Rosenbloom, Tova Elalouf, Amir Birfir, Slava |
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| Cites_doi | 10.3141/2083-13 10.1016/j.autcon.2015.11.003 10.1016/j.ergon.2015.09.012 10.1016/j.aap.2016.02.011 10.1016/j.trf.2015.12.016 10.1016/j.tra.2010.02.001 10.1016/j.jsr.2019.04.008 10.1016/j.jsr.2021.09.005 10.1016/j.aap.2015.09.003 10.1016/j.patcog.2012.10.001 10.1016/j.aap.2020.105597 10.1016/j.cor.2018.02.021 10.1016/j.jsr.2021.02.009 10.1016/j.ssci.2008.01.006 10.1016/j.jsr.2020.02.006 10.1016/j.jprocont.2014.01.012 10.1109/TKDE.2009.191 10.1016/j.aap.2008.11.002 10.1016/j.aap.2011.03.025 10.1038/nature14539 10.1016/j.trf.2013.12.009 10.3390/en15030791 10.1016/j.jns.2013.08.004 10.1016/j.aap.2018.08.025 10.1016/j.ress.2011.03.006 10.1016/j.aap.2008.02.003 10.3390/su142316048 10.1016/j.aap.2021.106510 10.1016/j.autcon.2016.05.016 |
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| Keywords | Machine-learning classification algorithms Bicyclist injury severity Transportation engineering |
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