Condition-based maintenance with dynamic thresholds for a system using the proportional hazards model

•CBM considering dynamic thresholds and multiple maintenance actions.•A discretization method for computing semi-Markov decision process quantities.•Optimization by a modified policy-iteration algorithm in the SMDP framework.•Consideration of non-stationary continuous-state PHM covariate process.•Th...

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Veröffentlicht in:Reliability engineering & system safety Jg. 204; S. 107123
Hauptverfasser: Zheng, Rui, Chen, Bingkun, Gu, Liudong
Format: Journal Article
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: Barking Elsevier Ltd 01.12.2020
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ISSN:0951-8320, 1879-0836
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Abstract •CBM considering dynamic thresholds and multiple maintenance actions.•A discretization method for computing semi-Markov decision process quantities.•Optimization by a modified policy-iteration algorithm in the SMDP framework.•Consideration of non-stationary continuous-state PHM covariate process.•The proposed policy outperforms the other widely used CBM policies. The hazard rate of many practical systems depends not only on age but also on a diagnostic covariate process. Effective maintenance decisions for such systems need to combine both age information and the covariate information obtained from condition monitoring. This paper proposes a condition-based maintenance (CBM) policy with dynamic thresholds and multiple maintenance actions for such a system subject to periodic inspection. The hazard rate is described by the proportional hazards model with a continuous-state covariate process. At each inspection epoch, appropriate action is selected from no maintenance, imperfect maintenance, and preventive replacement based on two dynamic thresholds. Over an inspection interval, the system may experience minor failure or catastrophic failure that can be addressed by minimal repair and corrective replacement, respectively. The objective is to determine the optimal thresholds that minimize the long-run average cost rate. A modified policy-iteration algorithm is developed to solve the optimization problem in the semi-Markov decision process (SMDP) framework. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is illustrated by a practical numerical example. The comparison with the other CBM policies confirms the outstanding performance of the proposed policy.
AbstractList The hazard rate of many practical systems depends not only on age but also on a diagnostic covariate process. Effective maintenance decisions for such systems need to combine both age information and the covariate information obtained from condition monitoring. This paper proposes a condition-based maintenance (CBM) policy with dynamic thresholds and multiple maintenance actions for such a system subject to periodic inspection. The hazard rate is described by the proportional hazards model with a continuous-state covariate process. At each inspection epoch, appropriate action is selected from no maintenance, imperfect maintenance, and preventive replacement based on two dynamic thresholds. Over an inspection interval, the system may experience minor failure or catastrophic failure that can be addressed by minimal repair and corrective replacement, respectively. The objective is to determine the optimal thresholds that minimize the long-run average cost rate. A modified policy-iteration algorithm is developed to solve the optimization problem in the semi-Markov decision process (SMDP) framework. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is illustrated by a practical numerical example. The comparison with the other CBM policies confirms the outstanding performance of the proposed policy.
•CBM considering dynamic thresholds and multiple maintenance actions.•A discretization method for computing semi-Markov decision process quantities.•Optimization by a modified policy-iteration algorithm in the SMDP framework.•Consideration of non-stationary continuous-state PHM covariate process.•The proposed policy outperforms the other widely used CBM policies. The hazard rate of many practical systems depends not only on age but also on a diagnostic covariate process. Effective maintenance decisions for such systems need to combine both age information and the covariate information obtained from condition monitoring. This paper proposes a condition-based maintenance (CBM) policy with dynamic thresholds and multiple maintenance actions for such a system subject to periodic inspection. The hazard rate is described by the proportional hazards model with a continuous-state covariate process. At each inspection epoch, appropriate action is selected from no maintenance, imperfect maintenance, and preventive replacement based on two dynamic thresholds. Over an inspection interval, the system may experience minor failure or catastrophic failure that can be addressed by minimal repair and corrective replacement, respectively. The objective is to determine the optimal thresholds that minimize the long-run average cost rate. A modified policy-iteration algorithm is developed to solve the optimization problem in the semi-Markov decision process (SMDP) framework. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is illustrated by a practical numerical example. The comparison with the other CBM policies confirms the outstanding performance of the proposed policy.
ArticleNumber 107123
Author Zheng, Rui
Chen, Bingkun
Gu, Liudong
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  surname: Zheng
  fullname: Zheng, Rui
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  organization: School of Mechanical Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing 211189, China
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  givenname: Bingkun
  surname: Chen
  fullname: Chen, Bingkun
  organization: School of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Jilin University, Changchun 130022, China
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  givenname: Liudong
  surname: Gu
  fullname: Gu, Liudong
  organization: School of Mechanical Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing 211189, China
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Keywords Policy-iteration algorithm
Multiple maintenance actions
Dynamic thresholds
Condition-based maintenance
Proportional hazards model
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Snippet •CBM considering dynamic thresholds and multiple maintenance actions.•A discretization method for computing semi-Markov decision process...
The hazard rate of many practical systems depends not only on age but also on a diagnostic covariate process. Effective maintenance decisions for such systems...
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StartPage 107123
SubjectTerms Catastrophic events
Condition monitoring
Condition-based maintenance
Dynamic thresholds
Hazards
Inspection
Iterative algorithms
Iterative methods
Maintenance
Markov processes
Multiple maintenance actions
Optimization
Policy-iteration algorithm
Proportional hazards model
Reliability engineering
Statistical models
System effectiveness
Thresholds
Title Condition-based maintenance with dynamic thresholds for a system using the proportional hazards model
URI https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2020.107123
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Volume 204
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