Refined evaluation methods for preventive maintenance of project-level asphalt pavement based on confusion-regression model
•Airport pavement preventive maintenance three-level evaluation index system is established.•PM decisions are considered as the binary classification problem.•The asphalt pavement decay model is developed based on PCI.•Project-level asphalt pavement PM timing was determined through confusion matrix....
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Construction & building materials Jg. 403; S. 133105 |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
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Elsevier Ltd
03.11.2023
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| ISSN: | 0950-0618 |
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| Abstract | •Airport pavement preventive maintenance three-level evaluation index system is established.•PM decisions are considered as the binary classification problem.•The asphalt pavement decay model is developed based on PCI.•Project-level asphalt pavement PM timing was determined through confusion matrix.
Accurate evaluation of the performance of airport pavement can help managers make scientific and systematic preventive maintenance (PM) decisions, ensuring pavement safety and extending service life. To this end, firstly, this paper sorted out the pavement performance evaluation index system, based on which a multi-dimensional evaluation system for PM was proposed, including control indexes, macroscopic indexes, and microscopic indexes. Then, the pavement decay model based on the pavement condition index (PCI) was developed, and the regression model between PCI and International roughness index (IRI) and friction coefficient (μ) was established. Finally, by converting the PM decisions for project-level pavement into a binary classification problem in machine learning, the optimal maintenance thresholds and intervals for PM of each index were determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) curve. The optimal threshold represents the threshold when the index can separate the binary classification problem (PM decisions) with maximum probability. Based on confusion-regression model, the pavement performance can be evaluated more comprehensively, and the timing of PM can be accurately determined. The model helps airport managers develop accurate PM plans to address future maintenance needs. |
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| AbstractList | •Airport pavement preventive maintenance three-level evaluation index system is established.•PM decisions are considered as the binary classification problem.•The asphalt pavement decay model is developed based on PCI.•Project-level asphalt pavement PM timing was determined through confusion matrix.
Accurate evaluation of the performance of airport pavement can help managers make scientific and systematic preventive maintenance (PM) decisions, ensuring pavement safety and extending service life. To this end, firstly, this paper sorted out the pavement performance evaluation index system, based on which a multi-dimensional evaluation system for PM was proposed, including control indexes, macroscopic indexes, and microscopic indexes. Then, the pavement decay model based on the pavement condition index (PCI) was developed, and the regression model between PCI and International roughness index (IRI) and friction coefficient (μ) was established. Finally, by converting the PM decisions for project-level pavement into a binary classification problem in machine learning, the optimal maintenance thresholds and intervals for PM of each index were determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) curve. The optimal threshold represents the threshold when the index can separate the binary classification problem (PM decisions) with maximum probability. Based on confusion-regression model, the pavement performance can be evaluated more comprehensively, and the timing of PM can be accurately determined. The model helps airport managers develop accurate PM plans to address future maintenance needs. |
| ArticleNumber | 133105 |
| Author | Zhang, Jiupeng Huang, Guojing Zou, Zhengbo Li, Junbo He, Yinzhang Li, Yan |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Yan surname: Li fullname: Li, Yan organization: Key Laboratory of Highway Engineering in Special Region of Ministry of Education, Chang'an University, Xi'an 710064, Shaanxi, China – sequence: 2 givenname: Zhengbo orcidid: 0000-0002-7789-655X surname: Zou fullname: Zou, Zhengbo organization: Department of Civil Engineering, The University of British Columbia 6250 Applied Science Ln, Vancouver, BC, Canada – sequence: 3 givenname: Jiupeng surname: Zhang fullname: Zhang, Jiupeng email: jiupengzhang@chd.edu.cn organization: Key Laboratory of Highway Engineering in Special Region of Ministry of Education, Chang'an University, Xi'an 710064, Shaanxi, China – sequence: 4 givenname: Yinzhang surname: He fullname: He, Yinzhang organization: Key Laboratory of Highway Engineering in Special Region of Ministry of Education, Chang'an University, Xi'an 710064, Shaanxi, China – sequence: 5 givenname: Guojing surname: Huang fullname: Huang, Guojing organization: Key Laboratory of Highway Engineering in Special Region of Ministry of Education, Chang'an University, Xi'an 710064, Shaanxi, China – sequence: 6 givenname: Junbo surname: Li fullname: Li, Junbo organization: Key Laboratory of Highway Engineering in Special Region of Ministry of Education, Chang'an University, Xi'an 710064, Shaanxi, China |
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| Keywords | Airport pavement Confusion matrix ROC curve K-S curve Binary classification problem Preventive maintenance |
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