Modeling North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Counts Directly From Sea Surface Temperature Maps

Annual North Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) counts are frequently modeled as a Poisson process with a state‐dependent rate. Current models based on Poisson regression can explain roughly 50% of the annual variance using three climate indices: El Niño/Southern Oscillation, average sea surface tempera...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Geophysical research letters Jg. 52; H. 12
Hauptverfasser:	Wesley, Daniel, Mann, Michael E., Jain, Bhuvnesh, Twomey, Colin R., Christiansen, Shannon
Format:	Journal Article
Sprache:	Englisch
Veröffentlicht:	Washington John Wiley & Sons, Inc 28.06.2025
Schlagworte:	Annual variations Atmospheric circulation Atmospheric forcing Atmospheric oscillations Circulation indexes Climatic indexes Cyclones El Nino El Nino phenomena El Nino-Southern Oscillation event Global temperatures Hurricanes North Atlantic Oscillation Ocean-atmosphere system Poisson density functions Regression analysis Sea surface temperature Southern Oscillation Statistical analysis Statistical models Surface temperature Tropical cyclones
ISSN:	0094-8276, 1944-8007
Online-Zugang:	Volltext
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