Global patterns and mechanisms of decoupling municipal solid waste generation from economic growth
To explore the driving forces and seek solutions to the municipal solid waste (MSW) challenge, this study aims to uncover the decoupling patterns and mechanisms of global MSW generation by applying Tapio decoupling analysis and the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) model. Thirty countries with diffe...
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| Vydané v: | Environmental impact assessment review Ročník 115; s. 108041 |
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| Jazyk: | English |
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Elsevier Inc
01.08.2025
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| ISSN: | 0195-9255 |
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| Abstract | To explore the driving forces and seek solutions to the municipal solid waste (MSW) challenge, this study aims to uncover the decoupling patterns and mechanisms of global MSW generation by applying Tapio decoupling analysis and the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) model. Thirty countries with different development levels were selected as research samples. The results show that the decoupling of MSW from economic development has deteriorated since 2010, with middle-income countries exhibiting worse performance than high-income countries. Several countries, including Australia, Belgium, Spain, the United Kingdom, Hungary, Japan, Bulgaria, Costa Rica, and Ukraine, have achieved continuous decoupling. Furthermore, an inverted U-shaped EKC model was validated between per capita MSW generation and per capita national income, with the EKC turning point at 32,626 USD per capita national income. This indicates that high-income countries have a relatively easier pathway to achieve the decoupling of per capita MSW generation. Finally, we proposed several practical solutions for achieving global MSW decoupling and MSW peaks.
•This study investigates how to achieve global MSW decoupling and peak.•The EKC turning point was estimated to be 37,466 USD national income per capita.•Economic development is found to be the primary driver for MSW generation.•Mechanism to decouple economic development and MSW generation is proposed. |
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| AbstractList | To explore the driving forces and seek solutions to the municipal solid waste (MSW) challenge, this study aims to uncover the decoupling patterns and mechanisms of global MSW generation by applying Tapio decoupling analysis and the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) model. Thirty countries with different development levels were selected as research samples. The results show that the decoupling of MSW from economic development has deteriorated since 2010, with middle-income countries exhibiting worse performance than high-income countries. Several countries, including Australia, Belgium, Spain, the United Kingdom, Hungary, Japan, Bulgaria, Costa Rica, and Ukraine, have achieved continuous decoupling. Furthermore, an inverted U-shaped EKC model was validated between per capita MSW generation and per capita national income, with the EKC turning point at 32,626 USD per capita national income. This indicates that high-income countries have a relatively easier pathway to achieve the decoupling of per capita MSW generation. Finally, we proposed several practical solutions for achieving global MSW decoupling and MSW peaks.
•This study investigates how to achieve global MSW decoupling and peak.•The EKC turning point was estimated to be 37,466 USD national income per capita.•Economic development is found to be the primary driver for MSW generation.•Mechanism to decouple economic development and MSW generation is proposed. |
| ArticleNumber | 108041 |
| Author | Zeng, Yong Dong, Huijuan Chen, Wen Geng, Yong Liu, Xiao Zhang, Chenyi Fujii, Minoru |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Chenyi surname: Zhang fullname: Zhang, Chenyi organization: International Business Strategy Institute, University of International Business and Economics, Beijing 100029, China – sequence: 2 givenname: Huijuan surname: Dong fullname: Dong, Huijuan email: donghj@sjtu.edu.cn organization: School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China – sequence: 3 givenname: Yong surname: Zeng fullname: Zeng, Yong organization: Concordia Institute for Information Systems, Gina Cody School of Engineering and Computer Science, Concordia University, Montreal, QC H3G 2W1, Canada – sequence: 4 givenname: Yong surname: Geng fullname: Geng, Yong organization: School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China – sequence: 5 givenname: Xiao surname: Liu fullname: Liu, Xiao organization: China Institute for Urban Governance, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200030, China – sequence: 6 givenname: Wen surname: Chen fullname: Chen, Wen organization: Department of Environment Systems, Graduate School of Frontier Sciences, The University of Tokyo, Kashiwanoha 277-8563, Japan – sequence: 7 givenname: Minoru surname: Fujii fullname: Fujii, Minoru organization: Center for Social and Environmental Systems Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba 305-8506, Japan |
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| Keywords | Municipal solid waste (MSW) Global patterns Decoupling mechanisms Tapio decoupling analysis Environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) |
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