Applications of simulation modeling in mining project risk management: criteria, algorithm, evaluation

Project risk management in the mining industry is necessary to identify, analyze and reduce uncertainty. The engineering features of mining enterprises, by their nature, require improved risk management tools. This article proves the relevance of creating a simulation model of the production process...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of Infrastructure, Policy and Development Vol. 8; no. 8; p. 5375
Main Authors: Nevskaya, Marina, Shabalova, Anna, Kosovtseva, Tatyana, Nikolaychuk, Lybov
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: 06.08.2024
ISSN:2572-7923, 2572-7931
Online Access:Get full text
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Summary:Project risk management in the mining industry is necessary to identify, analyze and reduce uncertainty. The engineering features of mining enterprises, by their nature, require improved risk management tools. This article proves the relevance of creating a simulation model of the production process to reduce uncertainty when making investment decisions. The purpose of the study is to develop an algorithm for deciding on the economic feasibility of creating a simulation experiment. At the same time, the features and patterns of the cases for which the simulation experiment was carried out were studied. Criteria for feasibility assessment of the model introduction based on a qualitative parameters became the central idea for algorithm. The relevance of the formulated algorithm was verified by creating a simulation model of a potassium salt deposit with subsequent optimization of the production process parameters. According to the results of the experiment, the damage from the occurrence of a risk situations was estimated as a decrease in conveyor productivity by 32.6%. The proposed methods made it possible to minimize this risk of stops in the conveyor network and assess the lack of income due to the risk occurrences.
ISSN:2572-7923
2572-7931
DOI:10.24294/jipd.v8i8.5375