Dynamic-spread assessment and kink detection in the early mpox outbreak

This paper proposes a varying coefficient Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Removed (vSEIR) model to dynamically simulate the early mpox epidemic. We incorporate a time-varying infection rate and smallpox vaccination protection to capture real-time changes in transmission influenced by non-pharmaceutical...

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Bibliographic Details

Published in:	Applied mathematical modelling Vol. 143; p. 115996
Main Authors:	Cai, Junyang, Xu, Rui, Zhou, Jian, Gu, Haoran
Format:	Journal Article
Language:	English
Published:	Elsevier Inc 01.07.2025
Subjects:	Kink Mpox Recursive least squares algorithm Sparse HP filter vSEIR model Mpox Kink vSEIR model Recursive least squares algorithm Sparse HP filter
ISSN:	0307-904X
Online Access:	Get full text
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