Secular cycles

Many historical processes exhibit recurrent patterns of change. Century-long periods of population expansion come before long periods of stagnation and decline; the dynamics of prices mirror population oscillations; and states go through strong expansionist phases followed by periods of state failur...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Turchin, Peter, Nefedov, Sergey A
Format:	eBook Book
Language:	English
Published:	Princeton, N.J Princeton University Press 2009
Edition:	1
Subjects:	Acknowledgment (creative arts and sciences) Age of Revolution Agrarian society Agricultural productivity Agriculture Aristocracy Birth rate BUSINESS & ECONOMICS BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Economic History Business cycles Business cycles > Mathematical models Calculation Cambridge University Press Capita Carrying capacity Case study Central Russia Colonization Commoner Competition Conspicuous consumption Crown land Cycles Cyclical analysis Debt Demography Demography > Mathematical models Denarius Economic development Economic development > Mathematical models Economic History Economic inequality Economics Elite Elite overproduction Employment Failed state Famine Financial crisis Historical analysis Household Income Inflation J. (newspaper) Jack Goldstone Laborer Landlord Livonian War Long-term analysis Magnate Marxism Mathematical models Military service Mortality rate Nobility Overpopulation Peasant Plebs Political Science POLITICAL SCIENCE / General Population Population > Mathematical models Population decline Population density Population dynamics Population growth Population Studies Prediction Price revolution Roman Republic Scarcity Serfdom Serfdom in Russia Shortage Social history Social mobility SOCIAL SCIENCE SOCIAL SCIENCE / Demography SOCIAL SCIENCE / Sociology / General Social structure Sociology Stagflation Standard of living Subsistence crisis Sulla Supply (economics) Tax The Other Hand Urbanization War Warfare Wealth Year Competition Livonian War Income Acknowledgment (creative arts and sciences) Scarcity Tax Military service Elite Marxism Nobility Commoner Financial crisis Debt Cambridge University Press Elite overproduction Calculation Stagflation Economics Standard of living Population growth Jack Goldstone Social structure Household Prediction Serfdom Failed state Roman Republic Supply (economics) Social mobility Case study Age of Revolution Magnate J. (newspaper) Central Russia Urbanization Demography Plebs Capita Laborer Birth rate War Warfare Denarius Crown land Famine Inflation Shortage Mortality rate Employment Sulla Serfdom in Russia Peasant Agriculture Agrarian society Carrying capacity Overpopulation Population decline Conspicuous consumption Subsistence crisis Aristocracy Agricultural productivity Year Economic inequality The Other Hand Population dynamics Colonization Population density Landlord Price revolution Wealth
ISBN:	9780691136967, 0691136963, 1400830680, 9781400830688
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Summary:	Many historical processes exhibit recurrent patterns of change. Century-long periods of population expansion come before long periods of stagnation and decline; the dynamics of prices mirror population oscillations; and states go through strong expansionist phases followed by periods of state failure, endemic sociopolitical instability, and territorial loss. Peter Turchin and Sergey Nefedov explore the dynamics and causal connections between such demographic, economic, and political variables in agrarian societies and offer detailed explanations for these long-term oscillations--what the authors call secular cycles.
Bibliography:	Includes bibliographical references (p. [317]-339) and index SourceType-Books-1 ObjectType-Book-1 content type line 7
ISBN:	9780691136967 0691136963 1400830680 9781400830688
DOI:	10.1515/9781400830688