Revealing ecological networks using Bayesian network inference algorithms

Understanding functional relationships within ecological networks can help reveal keys to ecosystem stability or fragility. Revealing these relationships is complicated by the difficulties of isolating variables or performing experimental manipulations within a natural ecosystem, and thus inferences...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Ecology (Durham) Vol. 91; no. 7; pp. 1892 - 1899
Main Authors: Milns, Isobel, Beale, Colin M, Smith, V. Anne
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: Washington, DC Ecological Society of America 01.07.2010
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ISSN:0012-9658, 1939-9170
Online Access:Get full text
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Summary:Understanding functional relationships within ecological networks can help reveal keys to ecosystem stability or fragility. Revealing these relationships is complicated by the difficulties of isolating variables or performing experimental manipulations within a natural ecosystem, and thus inferences are often made by matching models to observational data. Such models, however, require assumptions—or detailed measurements—of parameters such as birth and death rate, encounter frequency, territorial exclusion, and predation success. Here, we evaluate the use of a Bayesian network inference algorithm, which can reveal ecological networks based upon species and habitat abundance alone. We test the algorithm's performance and applicability on observational data of avian communities and habitat in the Peak District National Park, United Kingdom. The resulting networks correctly reveal known relationships among habitat types and known interspecific relationships. In addition, the networks produced novel insights into ecosystem structure and identified key species with high connectivity. Thus, Bayesian networks show potential for becoming a valuable tool in ecosystem analysis.
Bibliography:http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/09-0731.1
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ISSN:0012-9658
1939-9170
DOI:10.1890/09-0731.1