Strong claims and weak evidence: reassessing the predictive validity of the IAT

The authors reanalyzed data from 2 influential studies-A. R. McConnell and J. M. Leibold and J. C. Ziegert and P. J. Hanges-that explore links between implicit bias and discriminatory behavior and that have been invoked to support strong claims about the predictive validity of the Implicit Associati...

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Vydané v:	Journal of applied psychology Ročník 94; číslo 3; s. 567
Hlavní autori:	Blanton, Hart, Jaccard, James, Klick, Jonathan, Mellers, Barbara, Mitchell, Gregory, Tetlock, Philip E
Médium:	Journal Article
Jazyk:	English
Vydavateľské údaje:	United States 01.05.2009
Predmet:	Adult African Continental Ancestry Group - psychology Bias European Continental Ancestry Group - psychology Female Humans Interpersonal Relations Job Application Judgment Male Nonverbal Communication Observer Variation Prejudice Psychometrics - statistics & numerical data Race Relations Reproducibility of Results Unconscious (Psychology) Word Association Tests - statistics & numerical data
ISSN:	0021-9010
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Abstract	The authors reanalyzed data from 2 influential studies-A. R. McConnell and J. M. Leibold and J. C. Ziegert and P. J. Hanges-that explore links between implicit bias and discriminatory behavior and that have been invoked to support strong claims about the predictive validity of the Implicit Association Test. In both of these studies, the inclusion of race Implicit Association Test scores in regression models reduced prediction errors by only tiny amounts, and Implicit Association Test scores did not permit prediction of individual-level behaviors. Furthermore, the results were not robust when the impact of rater reliability, statistical specifications, and/or outliers were taken into account, and reanalysis of A. R. McConnell & J. M. Leibold (2001) revealed a pattern of behavior consistent with a pro-Black behavioral bias, rather than the anti-Black bias suggested in the original study.
AbstractList	The authors reanalyzed data from 2 influential studies-A. R. McConnell and J. M. Leibold and J. C. Ziegert and P. J. Hanges-that explore links between implicit bias and discriminatory behavior and that have been invoked to support strong claims about the predictive validity of the Implicit Association Test. In both of these studies, the inclusion of race Implicit Association Test scores in regression models reduced prediction errors by only tiny amounts, and Implicit Association Test scores did not permit prediction of individual-level behaviors. Furthermore, the results were not robust when the impact of rater reliability, statistical specifications, and/or outliers were taken into account, and reanalysis of A. R. McConnell & J. M. Leibold (2001) revealed a pattern of behavior consistent with a pro-Black behavioral bias, rather than the anti-Black bias suggested in the original study. The authors reanalyzed data from 2 influential studies-A. R. McConnell and J. M. Leibold and J. C. Ziegert and P. J. Hanges-that explore links between implicit bias and discriminatory behavior and that have been invoked to support strong claims about the predictive validity of the Implicit Association Test. In both of these studies, the inclusion of race Implicit Association Test scores in regression models reduced prediction errors by only tiny amounts, and Implicit Association Test scores did not permit prediction of individual-level behaviors. Furthermore, the results were not robust when the impact of rater reliability, statistical specifications, and/or outliers were taken into account, and reanalysis of A. R. McConnell & J. M. Leibold (2001) revealed a pattern of behavior consistent with a pro-Black behavioral bias, rather than the anti-Black bias suggested in the original study.The authors reanalyzed data from 2 influential studies-A. R. McConnell and J. M. Leibold and J. C. Ziegert and P. J. Hanges-that explore links between implicit bias and discriminatory behavior and that have been invoked to support strong claims about the predictive validity of the Implicit Association Test. In both of these studies, the inclusion of race Implicit Association Test scores in regression models reduced prediction errors by only tiny amounts, and Implicit Association Test scores did not permit prediction of individual-level behaviors. Furthermore, the results were not robust when the impact of rater reliability, statistical specifications, and/or outliers were taken into account, and reanalysis of A. R. McConnell & J. M. Leibold (2001) revealed a pattern of behavior consistent with a pro-Black behavioral bias, rather than the anti-Black bias suggested in the original study.
Author	Jaccard, James Tetlock, Philip E Mellers, Barbara Mitchell, Gregory Blanton, Hart Klick, Jonathan
Author_xml	– sequence: 1 givenname: Hart surname: Blanton fullname: Blanton, Hart organization: Department of Psychology, Texas A&M University, USA – sequence: 2 givenname: James surname: Jaccard fullname: Jaccard, James – sequence: 3 givenname: Jonathan surname: Klick fullname: Klick, Jonathan – sequence: 4 givenname: Barbara surname: Mellers fullname: Mellers, Barbara – sequence: 5 givenname: Gregory surname: Mitchell fullname: Mitchell, Gregory – sequence: 6 givenname: Philip E surname: Tetlock fullname: Tetlock, Philip E
BackLink	https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19449998$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed
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Title	Strong claims and weak evidence: reassessing the predictive validity of the IAT
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