Strong claims and weak evidence: reassessing the predictive validity of the IAT

The authors reanalyzed data from 2 influential studies-A. R. McConnell and J. M. Leibold and J. C. Ziegert and P. J. Hanges-that explore links between implicit bias and discriminatory behavior and that have been invoked to support strong claims about the predictive validity of the Implicit Associati...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of applied psychology Vol. 94; no. 3; p. 567
Main Authors: Blanton, Hart, Jaccard, James, Klick, Jonathan, Mellers, Barbara, Mitchell, Gregory, Tetlock, Philip E
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: United States 01.05.2009
Subjects:
ISSN:0021-9010
Online Access:Get more information
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Abstract The authors reanalyzed data from 2 influential studies-A. R. McConnell and J. M. Leibold and J. C. Ziegert and P. J. Hanges-that explore links between implicit bias and discriminatory behavior and that have been invoked to support strong claims about the predictive validity of the Implicit Association Test. In both of these studies, the inclusion of race Implicit Association Test scores in regression models reduced prediction errors by only tiny amounts, and Implicit Association Test scores did not permit prediction of individual-level behaviors. Furthermore, the results were not robust when the impact of rater reliability, statistical specifications, and/or outliers were taken into account, and reanalysis of A. R. McConnell & J. M. Leibold (2001) revealed a pattern of behavior consistent with a pro-Black behavioral bias, rather than the anti-Black bias suggested in the original study.
AbstractList The authors reanalyzed data from 2 influential studies-A. R. McConnell and J. M. Leibold and J. C. Ziegert and P. J. Hanges-that explore links between implicit bias and discriminatory behavior and that have been invoked to support strong claims about the predictive validity of the Implicit Association Test. In both of these studies, the inclusion of race Implicit Association Test scores in regression models reduced prediction errors by only tiny amounts, and Implicit Association Test scores did not permit prediction of individual-level behaviors. Furthermore, the results were not robust when the impact of rater reliability, statistical specifications, and/or outliers were taken into account, and reanalysis of A. R. McConnell & J. M. Leibold (2001) revealed a pattern of behavior consistent with a pro-Black behavioral bias, rather than the anti-Black bias suggested in the original study.The authors reanalyzed data from 2 influential studies-A. R. McConnell and J. M. Leibold and J. C. Ziegert and P. J. Hanges-that explore links between implicit bias and discriminatory behavior and that have been invoked to support strong claims about the predictive validity of the Implicit Association Test. In both of these studies, the inclusion of race Implicit Association Test scores in regression models reduced prediction errors by only tiny amounts, and Implicit Association Test scores did not permit prediction of individual-level behaviors. Furthermore, the results were not robust when the impact of rater reliability, statistical specifications, and/or outliers were taken into account, and reanalysis of A. R. McConnell & J. M. Leibold (2001) revealed a pattern of behavior consistent with a pro-Black behavioral bias, rather than the anti-Black bias suggested in the original study.
The authors reanalyzed data from 2 influential studies-A. R. McConnell and J. M. Leibold and J. C. Ziegert and P. J. Hanges-that explore links between implicit bias and discriminatory behavior and that have been invoked to support strong claims about the predictive validity of the Implicit Association Test. In both of these studies, the inclusion of race Implicit Association Test scores in regression models reduced prediction errors by only tiny amounts, and Implicit Association Test scores did not permit prediction of individual-level behaviors. Furthermore, the results were not robust when the impact of rater reliability, statistical specifications, and/or outliers were taken into account, and reanalysis of A. R. McConnell & J. M. Leibold (2001) revealed a pattern of behavior consistent with a pro-Black behavioral bias, rather than the anti-Black bias suggested in the original study.
Author Jaccard, James
Tetlock, Philip E
Mellers, Barbara
Mitchell, Gregory
Blanton, Hart
Klick, Jonathan
Author_xml – sequence: 1
  givenname: Hart
  surname: Blanton
  fullname: Blanton, Hart
  organization: Department of Psychology, Texas A&M University, USA
– sequence: 2
  givenname: James
  surname: Jaccard
  fullname: Jaccard, James
– sequence: 3
  givenname: Jonathan
  surname: Klick
  fullname: Klick, Jonathan
– sequence: 4
  givenname: Barbara
  surname: Mellers
  fullname: Mellers, Barbara
– sequence: 5
  givenname: Gregory
  surname: Mitchell
  fullname: Mitchell, Gregory
– sequence: 6
  givenname: Philip E
  surname: Tetlock
  fullname: Tetlock, Philip E
BackLink https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19449998$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed
BookMark eNo1kLtOwzAYRj0U0QtIPAHyxBbwNbHZqopCpUodKHPk2L_BkBtxEtS3p0CZvuEcneGbo0nd1IDQFSW3lPDszhBCRZrKCZoRwmiiCSVTNI_x_QdwTc7RlGohtNZqhnbPfdfUr9iWJlQRm9rhLzAfGMbgoLZwjzswMUKM4Wj1b4DbDlywfRgBj6YMLvQH3PhftFnuL9CZN2WEy9Mu0Mv6Yb96Sra7x81quU2MTFmfWM65A1pI4pyySqXEKPBWSGc9kdwba1kG3DHGubCFt8qLzBVSFZkWjmZsgW7-um3XfA4Q-7wK0UJZmhqaIeZpxiRLOT-K1ydxKCpweduFynSH_P8C9g2qSVy7
CitedBy_id crossref_primary_10_1080_19317611_2014_957795
crossref_primary_10_3390_appliedmath5030114
crossref_primary_10_1371_journal_pone_0083915
crossref_primary_10_7717_peerj_18900
crossref_primary_10_1002_hfm_20264
crossref_primary_10_1080_09515089_2017_1363881
crossref_primary_10_1080_1047840X_2022_2106762
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jacr_2020_06_028
crossref_primary_10_1093_scan_nsab106
crossref_primary_10_1080_01434632_2023_2226647
crossref_primary_10_1111_j_1751_2409_2011_01037_x
crossref_primary_10_1080_17437199_2014_959728
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_eatbeh_2021_101498
crossref_primary_10_1177_1065912920911100
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jmp_2016_11_001
crossref_primary_10_1111_jasp_12724
crossref_primary_10_1609_aimag_v40i3_2866
crossref_primary_10_1027_1618_3169_a000051
crossref_primary_10_1177_01492063241237225
crossref_primary_10_1080_2194587X_2020_1781657
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_socscimed_2018_03_018
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_actpsy_2025_104746
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_ssresearch_2022_102775
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_tate_2022_103826
crossref_primary_10_1017_nps_2021_79
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_socnet_2025_05_006
crossref_primary_10_3389_fphy_2022_879171
crossref_primary_10_63466_jci05010003
crossref_primary_10_3390_informatics8010014
crossref_primary_10_1080_10410236_2018_1481709
crossref_primary_10_3390_informatics9020030
crossref_primary_10_1111_cpsp_12312
crossref_primary_10_1093_isagsq_ksac021
crossref_primary_10_1080_1047840X_2022_2106753
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jesp_2009_10_011
crossref_primary_10_1007_s11406_017_9877_1
crossref_primary_10_1177_2372732220983840
crossref_primary_10_1080_01973533_2023_2251636
crossref_primary_10_1111_sjop_12288
crossref_primary_10_1515_sem_2017_0138
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_newideapsych_2021_100879
crossref_primary_10_1515_sem_2015_0109
crossref_primary_10_1177_1745691620904080
crossref_primary_10_1287_mnsc_2021_4035
crossref_primary_10_3389_fpsyg_2023_1197298
crossref_primary_10_1177_15248380231174695
crossref_primary_10_3390_e21121195
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_lingua_2020_103027
crossref_primary_10_1093_qje_qjz008
crossref_primary_10_1186_s12913_023_09261_6
crossref_primary_10_3389_fphar_2021_633565
crossref_primary_10_1007_s12144_024_06994_3
crossref_primary_10_1080_16066359_2022_2123474
crossref_primary_10_1177_1088868314544693
crossref_primary_10_2139_ssrn_5221211
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_im_2018_10_009
crossref_primary_10_1002_mar_20630
crossref_primary_10_1097_CORR_0000000000002905
crossref_primary_10_1007_s12160_012_9443_9
crossref_primary_10_1080_20445911_2025_2499192
crossref_primary_10_1371_journal_pone_0198094
crossref_primary_10_1177_1094428112442750
crossref_primary_10_1371_journal_pone_0190640
crossref_primary_10_1007_s11199_012_0154_2
crossref_primary_10_1080_00131946_2023_2280640
crossref_primary_10_1177_27550311231167366
crossref_primary_10_1002_wcs_1602
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jesp_2015_10_003
crossref_primary_10_1146_annurev_soc_33_040406_131632
crossref_primary_10_1027_2151_2604_a000335
crossref_primary_10_1177_0261927X17718349
crossref_primary_10_1515_ijsl_2019_2051
crossref_primary_10_1080_00224545_2020_1779640
crossref_primary_10_1111_jasp_12317
crossref_primary_10_3390_e25091323
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_appet_2023_107098
crossref_primary_10_1371_journal_pone_0242189
crossref_primary_10_1371_journal_pone_0226938
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_neuropsychologia_2025_109068
crossref_primary_10_1017_S0140525X21000017
crossref_primary_10_1080_15213269_2015_1008102
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_dhjo_2021_101150
crossref_primary_10_1007_s11406_020_00263_w
crossref_primary_10_3390_e22111227
crossref_primary_10_1111_j_1464_0597_2012_00487_x
crossref_primary_10_1111_pops_12967
crossref_primary_10_1136_bmjopen_2023_081723
crossref_primary_10_3390_e24091308
crossref_primary_10_5334_spo_77
crossref_primary_10_1007_s40596_020_01370_2
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_schres_2010_07_021
crossref_primary_10_1080_1047840X_2020_1722600
crossref_primary_10_1146_annurev_clinpsy_121208_131444
crossref_primary_10_1017_cts_2021_834
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_peh_2014_08_003
crossref_primary_10_5465_amr_34_4_zok586
crossref_primary_10_1007_s10699_019_09632_5
crossref_primary_10_3389_fphy_2023_1150796
crossref_primary_10_1007_s12160_009_9118_3
crossref_primary_10_1177_08862605221123300
crossref_primary_10_1007_s11245_025_10213_4
crossref_primary_10_5210_bsi_v24i0_5496
crossref_primary_10_1111_apps_12166
crossref_primary_10_2466_07_09_17_PR0_111_5_424_442
crossref_primary_10_3758_s13428_024_02594_y
crossref_primary_10_1371_journal_pone_0234032
crossref_primary_10_1093_infdis_jiz214
crossref_primary_10_1108_ET_12_2024_0568
crossref_primary_10_3102_0002831216682223
crossref_primary_10_3390_soc10040082
crossref_primary_10_1080_19488289_2015_1123203
crossref_primary_10_1177_0146167214536928
crossref_primary_10_1080_08927936_2018_1434045
crossref_primary_10_1108_BFJ_09_2018_0588
crossref_primary_10_1002_job_2834
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jesp_2012_06_003
crossref_primary_10_1017_S1049096520000505
crossref_primary_10_1093_heapol_czaa190
crossref_primary_10_1257_aer_20191184
crossref_primary_10_1007_s10578_021_01269_5
crossref_primary_10_1177_0261927X241287189
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_ijhcs_2024_103443
crossref_primary_10_1109_ACCESS_2024_3521279
crossref_primary_10_1038_s41562_021_01280_9
crossref_primary_10_1146_annurev_lawsocsci_111622_063213
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jesp_2022_104331
crossref_primary_10_1177_0033294118776928
crossref_primary_10_1177_01461672231171256
crossref_primary_10_1177_1094428112470848
crossref_primary_10_1177_0013916518808571
crossref_primary_10_1080_10967494_2018_1471013
crossref_primary_10_3390_knowledge4030019
crossref_primary_10_1080_15564886_2021_1925796
crossref_primary_10_1177_10892680241289574
crossref_primary_10_3389_fpsyg_2020_01068
crossref_primary_10_1002_ijop_12439
crossref_primary_10_1097_CORR_0000000000002933
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_socscimed_2017_05_009
crossref_primary_10_1177_1745691616659391
crossref_primary_10_3390_nu16193373
crossref_primary_10_1080_15309576_2018_1526093
crossref_primary_10_1007_s11199_023_01381_x
crossref_primary_10_1521_bumc_2016_80_3_255
crossref_primary_10_3390_bs8090079
crossref_primary_10_1111_ijmr_12003
crossref_primary_10_1002_berj_4096
crossref_primary_10_1080_1047840X_2017_1373550
crossref_primary_10_1097_SLA_0000000000006604
crossref_primary_10_1080_00224545_2023_2195992
crossref_primary_10_1371_journal_pone_0077552
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_hrmr_2012_12_004
crossref_primary_10_1257_aer_20181805
ContentType Journal Article
Copyright (c) 2009 APA, all rights reserved.
Copyright_xml – notice: (c) 2009 APA, all rights reserved.
DBID CGR
CUY
CVF
ECM
EIF
NPM
7X8
DOI 10.1037/a0014665
DatabaseName Medline
MEDLINE
MEDLINE (Ovid)
MEDLINE
MEDLINE
PubMed
MEDLINE - Academic
DatabaseTitle MEDLINE
Medline Complete
MEDLINE with Full Text
PubMed
MEDLINE (Ovid)
MEDLINE - Academic
DatabaseTitleList MEDLINE - Academic
MEDLINE
Database_xml – sequence: 1
  dbid: NPM
  name: PubMed
  url: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?db=PubMed
  sourceTypes: Index Database
– sequence: 2
  dbid: 7X8
  name: MEDLINE - Academic
  url: https://search.proquest.com/medline
  sourceTypes: Aggregation Database
DeliveryMethod no_fulltext_linktorsrc
Discipline Psychology
ExternalDocumentID 19449998
Genre Comment
Journal Article
GroupedDBID ---
--Z
-DZ
-ET
-~X
.-4
..I
.GJ
0R~
186
1CY
1OL
29J
2KS
354
3EH
41~
53G
5GY
5RE
5VS
6TJ
7RZ
85S
8VB
9M8
AAAHA
AAIKC
AAMNW
AAWTL
ABCQX
ABDPE
ABIVO
ABNCP
ABPPZ
ABVOZ
ACCUC
ACGFO
ACHQT
ACNCT
ACPQG
ACTDY
ADMHG
ADXHL
AEHFB
AEMOZ
AETEA
AFFNX
AHQJS
AI.
AIDAL
AKVCP
ALEEW
ALMA_UNASSIGNED_HOLDINGS
ASUFR
AWKKM
AZXWR
CGNQK
CGR
CS3
CUY
CVF
DU5
EBR
EBU
ECM
EIF
EMK
EPA
F5P
FTD
HVGLF
HZ~
H~9
ISO
K1G
L7B
LPU
LW5
MVM
NHB
NPM
O9-
OHT
OMK
OPA
OVD
P-O
P2P
PHGZM
PHGZT
PQQKQ
QWB
QZG
ROL
RXW
SES
SKT
SPA
TAE
TEORI
TH9
TN5
TWZ
U5U
UBC
UHB
UHS
ULE
UPT
VH1
WH7
XJT
XOL
XZL
YK4
YQT
YR5
YYP
YYQ
YZZ
ZCA
ZCG
ZGI
ZHY
ZL0
ZPI
ZXP
ZY4
~A~
3KI
7X8
ABUFD
AFFHD
ID FETCH-LOGICAL-a562t-c333de1b50dd8c8860a8efc45dcf053facc27e3d22334cbfc8f47db58b794d172
IEDL.DBID 7X8
ISICitedReferencesCount 204
ISICitedReferencesURI http://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=Summon&SrcAuth=ProQuest&DestLinkType=CitingArticles&DestApp=WOS_CPL&KeyUT=000265954700001&url=https%3A%2F%2Fcvtisr.summon.serialssolutions.com%2F%23%21%2Fsearch%3Fho%3Df%26include.ft.matches%3Dt%26l%3Dnull%26q%3D
ISSN 0021-9010
IngestDate Sun Nov 09 09:39:04 EST 2025
Mon Jul 21 05:34:51 EDT 2025
IsDoiOpenAccess false
IsOpenAccess true
IsPeerReviewed true
IsScholarly true
Issue 3
Language English
License (c) 2009 APA, all rights reserved.
LinkModel DirectLink
MergedId FETCHMERGED-LOGICAL-a562t-c333de1b50dd8c8860a8efc45dcf053facc27e3d22334cbfc8f47db58b794d172
Notes ObjectType-Article-1
SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1
ObjectType-Feature-2
ObjectType-Commentary-3
content type line 23
OpenAccessLink https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/SSRN_ID2571017_code711466.pdf?abstractid=2559156&mirid=1
PMID 19449998
PQID 67252633
PQPubID 23479
ParticipantIDs proquest_miscellaneous_67252633
pubmed_primary_19449998
PublicationCentury 2000
PublicationDate 2009-May
20090501
PublicationDateYYYYMMDD 2009-05-01
PublicationDate_xml – month: 05
  year: 2009
  text: 2009-May
PublicationDecade 2000
PublicationPlace United States
PublicationPlace_xml – name: United States
PublicationTitle Journal of applied psychology
PublicationTitleAlternate J Appl Psychol
PublicationYear 2009
References 15910149 - J Appl Psychol. 2005 May;90(3):553-62
References_xml – reference: 15910149 - J Appl Psychol. 2005 May;90(3):553-62
SSID ssj0014390
Score 2.434366
Snippet The authors reanalyzed data from 2 influential studies-A. R. McConnell and J. M. Leibold and J. C. Ziegert and P. J. Hanges-that explore links between implicit...
SourceID proquest
pubmed
SourceType Aggregation Database
Index Database
StartPage 567
SubjectTerms Adult
African Continental Ancestry Group - psychology
Bias
European Continental Ancestry Group - psychology
Female
Humans
Interpersonal Relations
Job Application
Judgment
Male
Nonverbal Communication
Observer Variation
Prejudice
Psychometrics - statistics & numerical data
Race Relations
Reproducibility of Results
Unconscious (Psychology)
Word Association Tests - statistics & numerical data
Title Strong claims and weak evidence: reassessing the predictive validity of the IAT
URI https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19449998
https://www.proquest.com/docview/67252633
Volume 94
WOSCitedRecordID wos000265954700001&url=https%3A%2F%2Fcvtisr.summon.serialssolutions.com%2F%23%21%2Fsearch%3Fho%3Df%26include.ft.matches%3Dt%26l%3Dnull%26q%3D
hasFullText
inHoldings 1
isFullTextHit
isPrint
link http://cvtisr.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMwpV1LSwMxEB6q9dCL70d95uB16Xazm82KIEUUBa0FK_S2JJNEirpb26r47032oSfx4GUvYSEMM_N9yTeTATgWTPFEUuFZMPLtAUUKT6DpelIlRggWmAiLRuGbuN_no1EyaMBp3QvjyirrnFgkapWjuyPvsDiIAkbp2eTVczOjnLZaDdBYgCa1RMb5dDz60RAs1JYNKFURQv30LI07wi0zFv1OKwt4uVz538ZWYbmilaRX-sEaNHS2Dq3v7Pa5AXf37tL7keCzGL_MiMgU-dDiiehqrOgJceXpTgG2YEYsLSSTqRNxXDok1h3HyvJ1kpti6bo33ISHy4vh-ZVXTVPwhOU4cw8ppUp3ZeQrxZFz5guuDYaRQmMj0QjEINZUWb5AQ5QGuQljJSMubcgqy3O2YDHLM70DBH3lJw7642LQbyBYl3OkhnOZoI-mDUe1qVLrrU6CEJnO32Zpbaw2bJfWTifloxppNwnd4Yvv_vnvHrRKScdVHe5D09g41QewhO_z8Wx6WDiB_fYHt1_z5L3A
linkProvider ProQuest
openUrl ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info%3Aofi%2Fenc%3AUTF-8&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fsummon.serialssolutions.com&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Strong+claims+and+weak+evidence%3A+reassessing+the+predictive+validity+of+the+IAT&rft.jtitle=Journal+of+applied+psychology&rft.au=Blanton%2C+Hart&rft.au=Jaccard%2C+James&rft.au=Klick%2C+Jonathan&rft.au=Mellers%2C+Barbara&rft.date=2009-05-01&rft.issn=0021-9010&rft.volume=94&rft.issue=3&rft.spage=567&rft_id=info:doi/10.1037%2Fa0014665&rft_id=info%3Apmid%2F19449998&rft_id=info%3Apmid%2F19449998&rft.externalDocID=19449998
thumbnail_l http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/lc.gif&issn=0021-9010&client=summon
thumbnail_m http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/mc.gif&issn=0021-9010&client=summon
thumbnail_s http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/sc.gif&issn=0021-9010&client=summon