An alternative perspective on von Winterfeldt et al.'s (1997) test of consequence monotonicity

D. von Winterfeldt, N.-K. Chung, R. D. Luce, and Y. Cho (1997) provided several tests for consequence monotonicity of choice or judgment, using certainty equivalents of gambles. The authors reaxiomatized consequence monotonicity in a probabilistic framework and reanalyzed von Winterfeldt et al.'...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of experimental psychology. Learning, memory, and cognition Jg. 31; H. 2; S. 365
Hauptverfasser: Ho, Moon-Ho R, Regenwetter, Michel, Niederée, Reinhard, Heyer, Dieter
Format: Journal Article
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: United States 01.03.2005
Schlagworte:
Choice Behavior
Humans
Judgment
Models, Psychological
Psychological Tests
Psychological Theory
ISSN:0278-7393
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Zusammenfassung:D. von Winterfeldt, N.-K. Chung, R. D. Luce, and Y. Cho (1997) provided several tests for consequence monotonicity of choice or judgment, using certainty equivalents of gambles. The authors reaxiomatized consequence monotonicity in a probabilistic framework and reanalyzed von Winterfeldt et al.'s main experiment via a bootstrap method. Their application offers new insights into consequence monotonicity as well as into von Winterfeldt et al.'s 3 experimental paradigms: judged certainty equivalents (JCE), QUICKINDIFF, and parameter estimation by sequential testing (PEST). For QUICKINDIFF, the authors found no indication of violations of "random consequence monotonicity." This sharply contrasts the findings of von Winterfeldt et al., who concluded that axiom violations were the most pronounced under that procedure. The authors found potential evidence for violations in JCE and certainty equivalents derived from PEST.
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ISSN:0278-7393
DOI:10.1037/0278-7393.31.2.365