Spatiotemporal Covariance Neural Networks

Modeling spatiotemporal interactions in multivariate time series is key to their effective processing, but challenging because of their irregular and often unknown structure. Statistical properties of the data provide useful biases to model interdependencies and are leveraged by correlation and cova...

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Vydáno v:arXiv.org
Hlavní autoři: Cavallo, Andrea, Sabbaqi, Mohammad, Isufi, Elvin
Médium: Paper
Jazyk:angličtina
Vydáno: Ithaca Cornell University Library, arXiv.org 16.09.2024
Témata:
Covariance matrix
Eigenvalues
Eigenvectors
Multivariate analysis
Neural networks
Parameter estimation
Parameter uncertainty
Principal components analysis
Spatiotemporal data
Time series
ISSN:2331-8422
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Shrnutí:Modeling spatiotemporal interactions in multivariate time series is key to their effective processing, but challenging because of their irregular and often unknown structure. Statistical properties of the data provide useful biases to model interdependencies and are leveraged by correlation and covariance-based networks as well as by processing pipelines relying on principal component analysis (PCA). However, PCA and its temporal extensions suffer instabilities in the covariance eigenvectors when the corresponding eigenvalues are close to each other, making their application to dynamic and streaming data settings challenging. To address these issues, we exploit the analogy between PCA and graph convolutional filters to introduce the SpatioTemporal coVariance Neural Network (STVNN), a relational learning model that operates on the sample covariance matrix of the time series and leverages joint spatiotemporal convolutions to model the data. To account for the streaming and non-stationary setting, we consider an online update of the parameters and sample covariance matrix. We prove the STVNN is stable to the uncertainties introduced by these online estimations, thus improving over temporal PCA-based methods. Experimental results corroborate our theoretical findings and show that STVNN is competitive for multivariate time series processing, it adapts to changes in the data distribution, and it is orders of magnitude more stable than online temporal PCA.
Bibliografie:SourceType-Working Papers-1
ObjectType-Working Paper/Pre-Print-1
content type line 50
ISSN:2331-8422
DOI:10.48550/arxiv.2409.10068