Enhancing Climate-Driven Urban Tree Cooling with Targeted Nonclimatic Interventions

Urban trees play a pivotal role in mitigating heat, yet the global determinants and patterns of their cooling efficiency (CE) remain elusive. Here, we quantify the diel CE of 229 cities across four climatic zones and employ a machine-learning model to assess the influence of variables on CE. We foun...

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Published in:Environmental science & technology Vol. 59; no. 18; p. 9082
Main Authors: Yu, Zhaowu, Li, Siheng, Yang, Wenjun, Chen, Jiquan, Rahman, Mohammad A, Wang, Chenghao, Ma, Wenjuan, Yao, Xihan, Xiong, Junqi, Xu, Chi, Zhou, Yuyu, Chen, Jike, Huang, Kangning, Gao, Xiaojiang, Fensholt, Rasmus, Weng, Qihao, Zhou, Weiqi
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: United States 13.05.2025
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ISSN:1520-5851, 1520-5851
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Abstract Urban trees play a pivotal role in mitigating heat, yet the global determinants and patterns of their cooling efficiency (CE) remain elusive. Here, we quantify the diel CE of 229 cities across four climatic zones and employ a machine-learning model to assess the influence of variables on CE. We found that for every 10% increase in tree cover, surface temperatures are reduced by 0.25 °C during the day and 0.04 °C at night. Trees in humid regions exhibit the highest daytime CE, while those in arid zones demonstrate the greatest cooling effect at night. This can be explained by the difference in canopy density between the humid and arid zones. During the day, the high canopy density in the humid zone converts more solar radiation into latent heat flux. At night, the low canopy density in the arid zone intercepts less longwave radiation, which favors surface cooling. While climatic factors contribute nearly twice as much to CE as nonclimatic ones, our findings suggest that optimizing CE is possible by managing variables within specific thresholds due to their nonlinear effects. For instance, we revealed that in arid regions, an impervious surface coverage of approximately 60% is optimal, whereas in humid areas, reducing it to around 40% maximizes cooling benefits. These insights underscore the need for targeted management of nonclimatic factors to sustain tree cooling benefits and offer practical guidance for designing climate-resilient, nature-based urban strategies.
AbstractList Urban trees play a pivotal role in mitigating heat, yet the global determinants and patterns of their cooling efficiency (CE) remain elusive. Here, we quantify the diel CE of 229 cities across four climatic zones and employ a machine-learning model to assess the influence of variables on CE. We found that for every 10% increase in tree cover, surface temperatures are reduced by 0.25 °C during the day and 0.04 °C at night. Trees in humid regions exhibit the highest daytime CE, while those in arid zones demonstrate the greatest cooling effect at night. This can be explained by the difference in canopy density between the humid and arid zones. During the day, the high canopy density in the humid zone converts more solar radiation into latent heat flux. At night, the low canopy density in the arid zone intercepts less longwave radiation, which favors surface cooling. While climatic factors contribute nearly twice as much to CE as nonclimatic ones, our findings suggest that optimizing CE is possible by managing variables within specific thresholds due to their nonlinear effects. For instance, we revealed that in arid regions, an impervious surface coverage of approximately 60% is optimal, whereas in humid areas, reducing it to around 40% maximizes cooling benefits. These insights underscore the need for targeted management of nonclimatic factors to sustain tree cooling benefits and offer practical guidance for designing climate-resilient, nature-based urban strategies.
Urban trees play a pivotal role in mitigating heat, yet the global determinants and patterns of their cooling efficiency (CE) remain elusive. Here, we quantify the diel CE of 229 cities across four climatic zones and employ a machine-learning model to assess the influence of variables on CE. We found that for every 10% increase in tree cover, surface temperatures are reduced by 0.25 °C during the day and 0.04 °C at night. Trees in humid regions exhibit the highest daytime CE, while those in arid zones demonstrate the greatest cooling effect at night. This can be explained by the difference in canopy density between the humid and arid zones. During the day, the high canopy density in the humid zone converts more solar radiation into latent heat flux. At night, the low canopy density in the arid zone intercepts less longwave radiation, which favors surface cooling. While climatic factors contribute nearly twice as much to CE as nonclimatic ones, our findings suggest that optimizing CE is possible by managing variables within specific thresholds due to their nonlinear effects. For instance, we revealed that in arid regions, an impervious surface coverage of approximately 60% is optimal, whereas in humid areas, reducing it to around 40% maximizes cooling benefits. These insights underscore the need for targeted management of nonclimatic factors to sustain tree cooling benefits and offer practical guidance for designing climate-resilient, nature-based urban strategies.Urban trees play a pivotal role in mitigating heat, yet the global determinants and patterns of their cooling efficiency (CE) remain elusive. Here, we quantify the diel CE of 229 cities across four climatic zones and employ a machine-learning model to assess the influence of variables on CE. We found that for every 10% increase in tree cover, surface temperatures are reduced by 0.25 °C during the day and 0.04 °C at night. Trees in humid regions exhibit the highest daytime CE, while those in arid zones demonstrate the greatest cooling effect at night. This can be explained by the difference in canopy density between the humid and arid zones. During the day, the high canopy density in the humid zone converts more solar radiation into latent heat flux. At night, the low canopy density in the arid zone intercepts less longwave radiation, which favors surface cooling. While climatic factors contribute nearly twice as much to CE as nonclimatic ones, our findings suggest that optimizing CE is possible by managing variables within specific thresholds due to their nonlinear effects. For instance, we revealed that in arid regions, an impervious surface coverage of approximately 60% is optimal, whereas in humid areas, reducing it to around 40% maximizes cooling benefits. These insights underscore the need for targeted management of nonclimatic factors to sustain tree cooling benefits and offer practical guidance for designing climate-resilient, nature-based urban strategies.
Author Huang, Kangning
Weng, Qihao
Yao, Xihan
Li, Siheng
Gao, Xiaojiang
Fensholt, Rasmus
Yang, Wenjun
Ma, Wenjuan
Wang, Chenghao
Yu, Zhaowu
Zhou, Weiqi
Chen, Jiquan
Xu, Chi
Rahman, Mohammad A
Zhou, Yuyu
Xiong, Junqi
Chen, Jike
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  organization: Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Fudan University, Shanghai 200438, China
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  organization: Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Fudan University, Shanghai 200438, China
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  organization: Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Fudan University, Shanghai 200438, China
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  organization: School of Life Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China
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  organization: Institute for Climate and Carbon Neutrality, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong 999077, China
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  givenname: Kangning
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  organization: New York University Shanghai, Shanghai 200124, China
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  surname: Zhou
  fullname: Zhou, Weiqi
  organization: State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology, Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100085, China
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cooling efficiency
nonclimatic factors
XGBoost model
global patterns
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Title Enhancing Climate-Driven Urban Tree Cooling with Targeted Nonclimatic Interventions
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