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Early analysis of the Australian COVID-19 epidemic

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Název: Early analysis of the Australian COVID-19 epidemic
Autoři: David J Price, Freya M Shearer, Michael T Meehan, Emma McBryde, Robert Moss, Nick Golding, Eamon J Conway, Peter Dawson, Deborah Cromer, James Wood, Sam Abbott, Jodie McVernon, James M McCaw
Zdroj: eLife, Vol 9 (2020)
Informace o vydavateli: eLife Sciences Publications Ltd, 2020.
Rok vydání: 2020
Sbírka: LCC:Medicine
LCC:Science
LCC:Biology (General)
Témata: pandemic response, coronavirus, COVID-19, Medicine, Science, Biology (General), QH301-705.5
Popis: As of 1 May 2020, there had been 6808 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. Of these, 98 had died from the disease. The epidemic had been in decline since mid-March, with 308 cases confirmed nationally since 14 April. This suggests that the collective actions of the Australian public and government authorities in response to COVID-19 were sufficiently early and assiduous to avert a public health crisis – for now. Analysing factors that contribute to individual country experiences of COVID-19, such as the intensity and timing of public health interventions, will assist in the next stage of response planning globally. We describe how the epidemic and public health response unfolded in Australia up to 13 April. We estimate that the effective reproduction number was likely below one in each Australian state since mid-March and forecast that clinical demand would remain below capacity thresholds over the forecast period (from mid-to-late April).
Druh dokumentu: article
Popis souboru: electronic resource
Jazyk: English
ISSN: 2050-084X
Relation: https://elifesciences.org/articles/58785; https://doaj.org/toc/2050-084X
DOI: 10.7554/eLife.58785
Přístupová URL adresa: https://doaj.org/article/221b797f2fdd40e5a02a1e3b990d7d1c
Přístupové číslo: edsdoj.221b797f2fdd40e5a02a1e3b990d7d1c
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals
Popis
Abstrakt:As of 1 May 2020, there had been 6808 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. Of these, 98 had died from the disease. The epidemic had been in decline since mid-March, with 308 cases confirmed nationally since 14 April. This suggests that the collective actions of the Australian public and government authorities in response to COVID-19 were sufficiently early and assiduous to avert a public health crisis – for now. Analysing factors that contribute to individual country experiences of COVID-19, such as the intensity and timing of public health interventions, will assist in the next stage of response planning globally. We describe how the epidemic and public health response unfolded in Australia up to 13 April. We estimate that the effective reproduction number was likely below one in each Australian state since mid-March and forecast that clinical demand would remain below capacity thresholds over the forecast period (from mid-to-late April).
ISSN:2050084X
DOI:10.7554/eLife.58785