Modified Kernel Density Estimators for Gridded Estimation of Precipitation Climatologies

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Názov: Modified Kernel Density Estimators for Gridded Estimation of Precipitation Climatologies
Autori: Benton, Gregory
Zdroj: Applied Mathematics Graduate Theses & Dissertations
Informácie o vydavateľovi: CU Scholar
Rok vydania: 2018
Zbierka: University of Colorado, Boulder: CU Scholar
Predmety: gridded precipitation, kernel density, precipitation climatology, network, estimation, Applied Statistics, Hydrology
Popis: Estimation of gridded precipitation is a major point of interest in climatological and hydro- logical research. Using a novel approach based around kernel density estimation we attempt to improve on a currently available estimators of gridded precipitation in both accuracy and under- standing uncertainty in predictions by generating robust precipitation climatologies. The method is constructed and validated using the United States Historical Climatology Network dataset covering the continental United States with sparse and irregular observation stations and accurate probability distributions that capture seasonal variance in the data are generated. Spatial estimates of local climatologies at arbitrary locations, both in and out of the observational network, are analyzed and an accurate method using generalized additive models is developed. Finally a preliminary analysis of gridded estimation is discussed and serves as a motivation for further research.
Druh dokumentu: text
Popis súboru: application/pdf
Jazyk: unknown
Relation: https://scholar.colorado.edu/appm_gradetds/111; https://scholar.colorado.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1121&context=appm_gradetds
Dostupnosť: https://scholar.colorado.edu/appm_gradetds/111
https://scholar.colorado.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1121&context=appm_gradetds
Prístupové číslo: edsbas.2AB9F2D0
Databáza: BASE
Popis
Abstrakt:Estimation of gridded precipitation is a major point of interest in climatological and hydro- logical research. Using a novel approach based around kernel density estimation we attempt to improve on a currently available estimators of gridded precipitation in both accuracy and under- standing uncertainty in predictions by generating robust precipitation climatologies. The method is constructed and validated using the United States Historical Climatology Network dataset covering the continental United States with sparse and irregular observation stations and accurate probability distributions that capture seasonal variance in the data are generated. Spatial estimates of local climatologies at arbitrary locations, both in and out of the observational network, are analyzed and an accurate method using generalized additive models is developed. Finally a preliminary analysis of gridded estimation is discussed and serves as a motivation for further research.