Conditional gene genealogies given the population pedigree for a diploid Moran model with selfing

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Titel: Conditional gene genealogies given the population pedigree for a diploid Moran model with selfing
Autoren: Maximillian Newman, John Wakeley, Wai-Tong (Louis) Fan
Quelle: Theoretical Population Biology. 165:29-44
Publication Status: Preprint
Verlagsinformationen: Elsevier BV, 2025.
Publikationsjahr: 2025
Schlagwörter: FOS: Biological sciences, Probability (math.PR), Populations and Evolution (q-bio.PE), FOS: Mathematics, Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution, Mathematics - Probability
Beschreibung: We introduce a stochastic model of a population with overlapping generations and arbitrary levels of self-fertilization versus outcrossing. We study how the global graph of reproductive relationships, or population pedigree, influences the genealogical relationships of a sample of two gene copies at a genetic locus. Specifically, we consider a diploid Moran model with constant population size $N$ over time, in which a proportion of offspring are produced by selfing. We show that the conditional distribution of the pairwise coalescence time at a single locus given the random pedigree converges to a limit law as $N$ tends to infinity. The distribution of coalescence times obtained in this way predicts variation among unlinked loci in a sample of individuals. Traditional coalescent analyses implicitly average over pedigrees and generally make different predictions. We describe three different behaviors in the limit depending on the relative strengths, from large to small, of selfing versus outcrossing: partial selfing, limited outcrossing, and negligible outcrossing. In the case of partial selfing, coalescence times are related to the Kingman coalescent, similar to what is found in traditional analyses. In the case of limited outcrossing, the retained pedigree information forms a random graph, with coalescence times given by the meeting times of random walks on this graph. In the case of negligible outcrossing, which represents complete or nearly complete selfing, coalescence times are determined entirely by the fixed times to common ancestry of diploid individuals in the pedigree.
53 pages, 8 figures; simplified arguments and streamlined presentation
Publikationsart: Article
Sprache: English
ISSN: 0040-5809
DOI: 10.1016/j.tpb.2025.05.003
DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2411.13048
Zugangs-URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2411.13048
Rights: Elsevier TDM
CC 0
Dokumentencode: edsair.doi.dedup.....dd22e0a67d22cc0afe96082aee6b0cfc
Datenbank: OpenAIRE
Beschreibung
Abstract:We introduce a stochastic model of a population with overlapping generations and arbitrary levels of self-fertilization versus outcrossing. We study how the global graph of reproductive relationships, or population pedigree, influences the genealogical relationships of a sample of two gene copies at a genetic locus. Specifically, we consider a diploid Moran model with constant population size $N$ over time, in which a proportion of offspring are produced by selfing. We show that the conditional distribution of the pairwise coalescence time at a single locus given the random pedigree converges to a limit law as $N$ tends to infinity. The distribution of coalescence times obtained in this way predicts variation among unlinked loci in a sample of individuals. Traditional coalescent analyses implicitly average over pedigrees and generally make different predictions. We describe three different behaviors in the limit depending on the relative strengths, from large to small, of selfing versus outcrossing: partial selfing, limited outcrossing, and negligible outcrossing. In the case of partial selfing, coalescence times are related to the Kingman coalescent, similar to what is found in traditional analyses. In the case of limited outcrossing, the retained pedigree information forms a random graph, with coalescence times given by the meeting times of random walks on this graph. In the case of negligible outcrossing, which represents complete or nearly complete selfing, coalescence times are determined entirely by the fixed times to common ancestry of diploid individuals in the pedigree.<br />53 pages, 8 figures; simplified arguments and streamlined presentation
ISSN:00405809
DOI:10.1016/j.tpb.2025.05.003