Zobrazit v EDS

Uncertainty in surface wind speed projections over the Iberian Peninsula: CMIP6 GCMs versus a WRF‐RCM

Uloženo v:
Podrobná bibliografie
Název: Uncertainty in surface wind speed projections over the Iberian Peninsula: CMIP6 GCMs versus a WRF‐RCM
Autoři: Miguel Andres Martin, César Azorín-Molina, Cheng Shen, José C. Fernández‐Alvarez, Luis Gimeno, Sergio M. Vicente‐Serrano, Jinlin Zha
Přispěvatelé: Fundación BBVA, Agencia Estatal de Investigación (España), Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (España), Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (España), Universidad de Vigo, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (España), National Natural Science Foundation of China, Yunnan Province, Azorín-Molina, César [0000-0001-5913-7026], Vicente Serrano, Sergio M. [0000-0003-2892-518X], Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [https://ror.org/02gfc7t72]
Zdroj: Digital.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC
Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)
Informace o vydavateli: Wiley, 2023.
Rok vydání: 2023
Témata: Atmospheric Science, Atmospheric sciences, Climate Change, GCM versus WRF-RCM, Climate Change and Variability Research, Peninsula, Climate Models, Wind, Precipitation, Coupled model intercomparison project, Oceanography, Climate model, Greenhouse gas, Environmental science, Wind speed, Cinnarizine, Meteorology, Humans, Downscaling, Climate change, Projection, Weather, CMIP6, Surface wind speed, Climatology, Global and Planetary Change, Geography, Uncertainty, Geology, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, 15. Life on land, Numerical Weather Prediction Models, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Archaeology, 13. Climate action, Environmental Science, Physical Sciences, Global Methane Emissions and Impacts, Weather Research and Forecasting Model, Iberian Peninsula, Climate Modeling
Popis: This study assessed the projected near‐surface wind speed (SWS) changes and variability over the Iberian Peninsula for the 21st century. Here, we compared Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 global climate models (GCMs) with a higher spatial resolution regional climate model (RCM; ∼20 km), known as WRF‐CESM2, which was created by a dynamic downscaling of the Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2) using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. Our analysis found that the GCMs tended to overestimate observed SWS for 1985–2014, while the higher spatial resolution of the WRF‐CESM2 did not improve the accuracy and underestimated the SWS magnitude. GCMs project a decline of SWS under high shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) greenhouse concentrations, such as SSP370 and SSP585, while an interdecadal oscillation appears in SSP126 and SSP245 for the end of the century. The WRF‐CESM2 under SSP585 predicts the opposite increasing SWS. Our results suggest that 21st‐century projections of SWS are uncertain even for regionalized products and should be taken with caution.
Druh dokumentu: Article
Other literature type
Popis souboru: application/pdf
Jazyk: English
ISSN: 1749-6632
0077-8923
DOI: 10.1111/nyas.15063
DOI: 10.60692/wycnk-yyr78
DOI: 10.60692/1reh2-ran05
DOI: 10.13039/501100006761
DOI: 10.13039/501100004837
DOI: 10.13039/501100003339
DOI: 10.13039/100007406
DOI: 10.13039/501100011033
DOI: 10.13039/501100001809
Přístupová URL adresa: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/37715781
http://hdl.handle.net/10261/345315
Rights: CC BY
Přístupové číslo: edsair.doi.dedup.....a0c9f13a4e26d405a36b9a3b51c6607e
Databáze: OpenAIRE
FullText Text:
  Availability: 0
CustomLinks:
  – Url: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___%3A%3Aa0c9f13a4e26d405a36b9a3b51c6607e
    Name: EDS - OpenAIRE (s4221598)
    Category: fullText
    Text: View record at OpenAIRE
  – Url: https://resolver.ebscohost.com/openurl?sid=EBSCO:edsair&genre=article&issn=17496632&ISBN=&volume=1529&issue=&date=20230916&spage=101&pages=101-108&title=Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences&atitle=Uncertainty%20in%20surface%20wind%20speed%20projections%20over%20the%20Iberian%20Peninsula%3A%20CMIP6%20GCMs%20versus%20a%20WRF%E2%80%90RCM&aulast=Miguel%20Andres%20Martin&id=DOI:10.1111/nyas.15063
    Name: Full Text Finder
    Category: fullText
    Text: Full Text Finder
    Icon: https://imageserver.ebscohost.com/branding/images/FTF.gif
    MouseOverText: Full Text Finder
  – Url: https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=EBSCO&SrcAuth=EBSCO&DestApp=WOS&ServiceName=TransferToWoS&DestLinkType=GeneralSearchSummary&Func=Links&author=Martin%20MA
    Name: ISI
    Category: fullText
    Text: Nájsť tento článok vo Web of Science
    Icon: https://imagesrvr.epnet.com/ls/20docs.gif
    MouseOverText: Nájsť tento článok vo Web of Science
Header DbId: edsair
DbLabel: OpenAIRE
An: edsair.doi.dedup.....a0c9f13a4e26d405a36b9a3b51c6607e
RelevancyScore: 948
AccessLevel: 3
PubType: Academic Journal
PubTypeId: academicJournal
PreciseRelevancyScore: 947.6494140625
IllustrationInfo
Items – Name: Title
  Label: Title
  Group: Ti
  Data: Uncertainty in surface wind speed projections over the Iberian Peninsula: CMIP6 GCMs versus a WRF‐RCM
– Name: Author
  Label: Authors
  Group: Au
  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Miguel+Andres+Martin%22">Miguel Andres Martin</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22César+Azorín-Molina%22">César Azorín-Molina</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Cheng+Shen%22">Cheng Shen</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22José+C%2E+Fernández‐Alvarez%22">José C. Fernández‐Alvarez</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Luis+Gimeno%22">Luis Gimeno</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Sergio+M%2E+Vicente‐Serrano%22">Sergio M. Vicente‐Serrano</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Jinlin+Zha%22">Jinlin Zha</searchLink>
– Name: Author
  Label: Contributors
  Group: Au
  Data: Fundación BBVA<br />Agencia Estatal de Investigación (España)<br />Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (España)<br />Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (España)<br />Universidad de Vigo<br />Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (España)<br />National Natural Science Foundation of China<br />Yunnan Province<br />Azorín-Molina, César [0000-0001-5913-7026]<br />Vicente Serrano, Sergio M. [0000-0003-2892-518X]<br />Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [https://ror.org/02gfc7t72]
– Name: TitleSource
  Label: Source
  Group: Src
  Data: Digital.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC<br />Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)
– Name: Publisher
  Label: Publisher Information
  Group: PubInfo
  Data: Wiley, 2023.
– Name: DatePubCY
  Label: Publication Year
  Group: Date
  Data: 2023
– Name: Subject
  Label: Subject Terms
  Group: Su
  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Atmospheric+Science%22">Atmospheric Science</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Atmospheric+sciences%22">Atmospheric sciences</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Climate+Change%22">Climate Change</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22GCM+versus+WRF-RCM%22">GCM versus WRF-RCM</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Climate+Change+and+Variability+Research%22">Climate Change and Variability Research</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Peninsula%22">Peninsula</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Climate+Models%22">Climate Models</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Wind%22">Wind</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Precipitation%22">Precipitation</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Coupled+model+intercomparison+project%22">Coupled model intercomparison project</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Oceanography%22">Oceanography</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Climate+model%22">Climate model</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Greenhouse+gas%22">Greenhouse gas</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Environmental+science%22">Environmental science</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Wind+speed%22">Wind speed</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Cinnarizine%22">Cinnarizine</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Meteorology%22">Meteorology</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Humans%22">Humans</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Downscaling%22">Downscaling</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Climate+change%22">Climate change</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Projection%22">Projection</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Weather%22">Weather</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22CMIP6%22">CMIP6</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Surface+wind+speed%22">Surface wind speed</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Climatology%22">Climatology</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Global+and+Planetary+Change%22">Global and Planetary Change</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Geography%22">Geography</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Uncertainty%22">Uncertainty</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Geology%22">Geology</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22FOS%3A+Earth+and+related+environmental+sciences%22">FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%2215%2E+Life+on+land%22">15. Life on land</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Numerical+Weather+Prediction+Models%22">Numerical Weather Prediction Models</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Earth+and+Planetary+Sciences%22">Earth and Planetary Sciences</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Archaeology%22">Archaeology</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%2213%2E+Climate+action%22">13. Climate action</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Environmental+Science%22">Environmental Science</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Physical+Sciences%22">Physical Sciences</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Global+Methane+Emissions+and+Impacts%22">Global Methane Emissions and Impacts</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Weather+Research+and+Forecasting+Model%22">Weather Research and Forecasting Model</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Iberian+Peninsula%22">Iberian Peninsula</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Climate+Modeling%22">Climate Modeling</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Description
  Group: Ab
  Data: This study assessed the projected near‐surface wind speed (SWS) changes and variability over the Iberian Peninsula for the 21st century. Here, we compared Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 global climate models (GCMs) with a higher spatial resolution regional climate model (RCM; ∼20 km), known as WRF‐CESM2, which was created by a dynamic downscaling of the Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2) using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. Our analysis found that the GCMs tended to overestimate observed SWS for 1985–2014, while the higher spatial resolution of the WRF‐CESM2 did not improve the accuracy and underestimated the SWS magnitude. GCMs project a decline of SWS under high shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) greenhouse concentrations, such as SSP370 and SSP585, while an interdecadal oscillation appears in SSP126 and SSP245 for the end of the century. The WRF‐CESM2 under SSP585 predicts the opposite increasing SWS. Our results suggest that 21st‐century projections of SWS are uncertain even for regionalized products and should be taken with caution.
– Name: TypeDocument
  Label: Document Type
  Group: TypDoc
  Data: Article<br />Other literature type
– Name: Format
  Label: File Description
  Group: SrcInfo
  Data: application/pdf
– Name: Language
  Label: Language
  Group: Lang
  Data: English
– Name: ISSN
  Label: ISSN
  Group: ISSN
  Data: 1749-6632<br />0077-8923
– Name: DOI
  Label: DOI
  Group: ID
  Data: 10.1111/nyas.15063
– Name: DOI
  Label: DOI
  Group: ID
  Data: 10.60692/wycnk-yyr78
– Name: DOI
  Label: DOI
  Group: ID
  Data: 10.60692/1reh2-ran05
– Name: DOI
  Label: DOI
  Group: ID
  Data: 10.13039/501100006761
– Name: DOI
  Label: DOI
  Group: ID
  Data: 10.13039/501100004837
– Name: DOI
  Label: DOI
  Group: ID
  Data: 10.13039/501100003339
– Name: DOI
  Label: DOI
  Group: ID
  Data: 10.13039/100007406
– Name: DOI
  Label: DOI
  Group: ID
  Data: 10.13039/501100011033
– Name: DOI
  Label: DOI
  Group: ID
  Data: 10.13039/501100001809
– Name: URL
  Label: Access URL
  Group: URL
  Data: <link linkTarget="URL" linkTerm="https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/37715781" linkWindow="_blank">https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/37715781</link><br /><link linkTarget="URL" linkTerm="http://hdl.handle.net/10261/345315" linkWindow="_blank">http://hdl.handle.net/10261/345315</link>
– Name: Copyright
  Label: Rights
  Group: Cpyrght
  Data: CC BY
– Name: AN
  Label: Accession Number
  Group: ID
  Data: edsair.doi.dedup.....a0c9f13a4e26d405a36b9a3b51c6607e
PLink https://erproxy.cvtisr.sk/sfx/access?url=https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=edsair&AN=edsair.doi.dedup.....a0c9f13a4e26d405a36b9a3b51c6607e
RecordInfo BibRecord:
  BibEntity:
    Identifiers:
      – Type: doi
        Value: 10.1111/nyas.15063
    Languages:
      – Text: English
    PhysicalDescription:
      Pagination:
        PageCount: 8
        StartPage: 101
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Atmospheric Science
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Atmospheric sciences
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Climate Change
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: GCM versus WRF-RCM
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Climate Change and Variability Research
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Peninsula
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Climate Models
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Wind
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Precipitation
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Coupled model intercomparison project
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Oceanography
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Climate model
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Greenhouse gas
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Environmental science
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Wind speed
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Cinnarizine
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Meteorology
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Humans
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Downscaling
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Climate change
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Projection
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Weather
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: CMIP6
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Surface wind speed
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Climatology
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Global and Planetary Change
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Geography
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Uncertainty
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Geology
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: 15. Life on land
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Numerical Weather Prediction Models
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Earth and Planetary Sciences
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Archaeology
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: 13. Climate action
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Environmental Science
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Physical Sciences
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Global Methane Emissions and Impacts
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Weather Research and Forecasting Model
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Iberian Peninsula
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Climate Modeling
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: Uncertainty in surface wind speed projections over the Iberian Peninsula: CMIP6 GCMs versus a WRF‐RCM
        Type: main
  BibRelationships:
    HasContributorRelationships:
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Miguel Andres Martin
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: César Azorín-Molina
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Cheng Shen
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: José C. Fernández‐Alvarez
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Luis Gimeno
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Sergio M. Vicente‐Serrano
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Jinlin Zha
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Fundación BBVA
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Agencia Estatal de Investigación (España)
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (España)
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (España)
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Universidad de Vigo
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (España)
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: National Natural Science Foundation of China
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Yunnan Province
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Azorín-Molina, César [0000-0001-5913-7026]
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Vicente Serrano, Sergio M. [0000-0003-2892-518X]
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [https://ror.org/02gfc7t72]
    IsPartOfRelationships:
      – BibEntity:
          Dates:
            – D: 16
              M: 09
              Type: published
              Y: 2023
          Identifiers:
            – Type: issn-print
              Value: 17496632
            – Type: issn-print
              Value: 00778923
            – Type: issn-locals
              Value: edsair
            – Type: issn-locals
              Value: edsairFT
          Numbering:
            – Type: volume
              Value: 1529
          Titles:
            – TitleFull: Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences
              Type: main
ResultId 1