Výsledky vyhledávání - "Mortality Forecasting."

Quantitative risk assessment of the effects of climate change on selected causes of death, 2030s and 2050s

Autoři: Hales, Simon

Témata: Climatic changes Health aspects Forecasting., Climatic changes Forecasting., Mortality Forecasting., Heat stroke Mortality Forecasting., Heat exhaustion Mortality Forecasting., Drowning Forecasting., Diarrhea Mortality Forecasting., Malaria Mortality Forecasting., Dengue Mortality Forecasting., Starvation Mortality Forecasting., Environmental health., Climate Change mortality, Climate Change statistics & numerical data, Environmental Health, Heat Stress Disorders mortality, Drowning mortality, Diarrhea mortality, Malaria mortality, Dengue mortality, Malnutrition mortality, Forecasting methods, Climat Changements Prévision., Mortalité Prévision., Noyade Prévision., Diarrhée Mortalité Prévision., Paludisme Mortalité Prévision., Dengue Mortalité Prévision., Inanition Mortalité Prévision., Hygiène du milieu., Mortality Forecasting, Climatic changes Forecasting, Climatic changes, Climatic changes Health aspects, Dengue, Diarrhea, Drowning, Forecasting, Malaria, Malnutrition, Mortality

Témata: Climatic changes, Death, Reports

URL: http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/10665/134014/1/9789241507691_eng.pdf
http://apo.org.au/node/41763

Age-gender-country-specific death rates modelling and forecasting: a linear mixed-effects model

Autoři: Dastranj Reza Kolář Martin

Zdroj: Scandinavian Actuarial Journal

Témata: FOS: Computer and information sciences, Life insurance, mortality forecasting, restricted maximum likelihood, model selection, random walks with drift, Applications (stat.AP), Statistics - Applications, 3. Good health

Přístupová URL adresa: http://arxiv.org/abs/2311.18668

Mortality forecasting via multi-task neural networks

Autoři: Luca De Mori Steven Haberman Pietro Millossovich a další

Přispěvatelé: Luca De Mori Steven Haberman Pietro Millossovich a další

Zdroj: ASTIN Bulletin. 55:313-331

Témata: mortality rates, life expectancy, multi-task neural network, Mortality forecasting, multi-task neural networks, standard deviation

Popis souboru: STAMPA

Přístupová URL adresa: https://hdl.handle.net/11368/3115320

Efficient use of data for LSTM mortality forecasting

Autoři: Lindholm, Mathias Palmborg, Lina

Zdroj: European Actuarial Journal. 12(2):749-778

Témata: Sequential neural networks, Mortality forecasting, Ensemble models, Boosting, Lee-Carter model

Popis souboru: print

Přístupová URL adresa: https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-193179
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13385-022-00307-3

Forecasting life expectancy in São Paulo City, Brazil, amidst the COVID-19 pandemic

Autoři: Maria L. Miranda Cassio M. Turra Ugofilippo Basellini

Zdroj: Population Health Metrics, Vol 23, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2025)

Témata: Mortality forecasting, Covid-19, Lee-Carter, Lee-Miller, São Paulo, Computer applications to medicine. Medical informatics, R858-859.7, Public aspects of medicine, RA1-1270

Popis souboru: electronic resource

Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/1478-7954

Přístupová URL adresa: https://doaj.org/article/d3ffb112b80c4acdb40524579ba65bc7

Mortality forecasting using a Lexis-based state-space model

Autoři: Andersson, Patrik Lindholm, Mathias

Zdroj: Annals of Actuarial Science. 15(3):519-548

Témata: Non-linear non-Gaussian state-space models, Exponential family PCA, Stochastic approximation EM, Particle filter, Mortality forecasting, Hidden Markov model

Popis souboru: print

Přístupová URL adresa: https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-190525
https://doi.org/10.1017/S1748499520000275

Cohort mortality forecasts indicate signs of deceleration in life expectancy gains

Autoři: José Andrade Carlo Giovanni Camarda Héctor Pifarré i Arolas a další

Přispěvatelé: José Andrade Carlo Giovanni Camarda Héctor Pifarré i Arolas a další

Zdroj: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 122

Témata: LIFE_EXPECTANCY, high income countries, MORTALITY_MEASUREMENT, [SHS.DEMO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Demography, MORTALITY, cohorts, mortality forecasting, COHORTS, INTERNATIONAL_COMPARISON, FORECASTING, 20_CENTURY, life expectancy, [SHS] Humanities and Social Sciences, Mortality

Popis souboru: pdf; application/pdf

Přístupová URL adresa: http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12204/z0PuBJkBpEWknUQMEJbQ
https://hal.science/hal-05273033v1/document
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2519179122
https://hal.science/hal-05273033v1

Evaluating the Performance of Variants of the Lee-Carter Method for Mortality Forecasting in the Population Projection of the Czech Republic from the Czech Statistical Office 2023–2100

Autoři: David Morávek

Zdroj: Demografie, Vol 66, Iss 4, Pp 259-271 (2024)

Témata: Demography. Population. Vital events, lee-carter method, european mortality potential, mortality forecasting, HB848-3697, czech republic

Modeling mortality with Kernel Principal Component Analysis (KPCA) method

Autoři: Yuanqi Wu Andrew Chen Yanbin Xu a další

Přispěvatelé: Yuanqi Wu Andrew Chen Yanbin Xu a další

Zdroj: Annals of Actuarial Science. 18:626-643

Témata: 0502 economics and business, 05 social sciences, Business and Management, Mortality forecasting, 0101 mathematics, Kernel Principal Component Analysis, 01 natural sciences, Mathematical Sciences

Popis souboru: application/pdf

Hierarchical Forecasting of Italian Mortality Data with Gender and Cause of Death Reconciliation

Autoři: Giacomo Lanfiuti baldi Andrea Nigri Raffaele Mattera a další

Zdroj: Italian Statistical Society Series on Advances in Statistics ISBN: 9783031959943

Témata: Mortality Forecasting · Causes-of-Deaths · Reconciliation · Compositional Data Anlysis, Mortality Forecasting, Causes-of-Deaths. Reconciliation, Compositional Data Anlysis

Popis souboru: application/pdf

Přístupová URL adresa: https://hdl.handle.net/11573/1743798

A Practitioner-Oriented Evaluation of Mortality Forecasting Methods: The Case of Australia

Autoři: Irina Grossman Tom Wilson

Zdroj: Comparative Population Studies, Vol 50 (2025)

Témata: Urban groups. The city. Urban sociology, Demography. Population. Vital events, mortality forecasting methods, life expectancy, HT101-395, City population. Including children in cities, immigration, forecasting, australia, HB848-3697, pseudo-projection method, HT201-221

Přístupová URL adresa: https://doaj.org/article/717dd5b1e9284f64855fcdb09113ff19

Diabetes burden attributable to air pollution from 1990~2021 and the future trends: a population-based study

Autoři: Qingsong Mao Xiaoyi Zhu Xinyi Zhang a další

Zdroj: Front Endocrinol (Lausanne)
Frontiers in Endocrinology, Vol 16 (2025)

Témata: Male, Adult, Adolescent, air pollution, Diseases of the endocrine glands. Clinical endocrinology, Global Burden of Disease, disease burden, Young Adult, Endocrinology, Cost of Illness, Air Pollution, Diabetes Mellitus, Humans, Child, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, diabetes, Incidence, mortality forecasting, Disability-Adjusted Life Years, Environmental Exposure, Middle Aged, RC648-665, Child, Preschool, epidemiology, Female

Přístupová URL adresa: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/40265163
https://doaj.org/article/f97f24bcb45544c59dbeda7b7d879266

Month-to-month all-cause mortality forecasting: a method allowing for changes in seasonal patterns: a method allowing for changes in seasonal patterns

Autoři: Ainhoa-Elena Léger Silvia Rizzi

Zdroj: Am J Epidemiol

Témata: 0301 basic medicine, Practice of Epidemiology, Denmark, short-term mortality forecasting, Europe/epidemiology, 03 medical and health sciences, public health surveillance data, Models, Short-term mortality forecasting, Cause of Death, Humans, Mortality, Pandemics, mortality shocks, Sweden, COVID-19/mortality, 0303 health sciences, Models, Statistical, seasonality, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, Statistical, Mortality/trends, Denmark/epidemiology, Europe, Sweden/epidemiology, Spain, Forecasting/methods, Spain/epidemiology, all-cause mortality, Seasons, Forecasting

Přístupová URL adresa: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38343158

Global burden of cardiovascular diseases attributable to diet low in vegetables from 1990 to 2021 and forecasting the future trends: a population-based study

Autoři: Qingsong Mao Yuzhe Kong

Zdroj: Front Cardiovasc Med
Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine, Vol 11 (2025)

Témata: vegetables, disease burden, RC666-701, mortality forecasting, Diseases of the circulatory (Cardiovascular) system, epidemiology, Cardiovascular Medicine, cardiovascular diseases

Přístupová URL adresa: https://doaj.org/article/3b5abed6d0024963b48f439ae5a69f09

Global burden of pneumoconiosis attributable to occupational particulate matter, gasses, and fumes from 1990~2021 and forecasting the future trends: a population-based study

Autoři: Mao Qingsong Ruijie Xiao Wenqi Yang a další

Zdroj: Front Public Health
Frontiers in Public Health, Vol 12 (2025)

Témata: Male, Adult, pneumoconiosis, mortality forecasting, Disability-Adjusted Life Years, Middle Aged, Global Health, Global Burden of Disease, disease burden, Occupational Exposure, occupational risk, Humans, epidemiology, Particulate Matter, Female, Public Health, Pneumoconiosis, Public aspects of medicine, RA1-1270, Forecasting, Aged

Přístupová URL adresa: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/39845664
https://doaj.org/article/ee60320b2ef4415785e0f2773740f17f

Effect of diet low in omega-6 polyunsaturated fatty acids on the global burden of cardiovascular diseases and future trends: evidence from the Global Burden of Disease 2021

Autoři: Qingsong Mao Yuzhe Kong

Zdroj: Front Med (Lausanne)
Frontiers in Medicine, Vol 11 (2025)

Témata: disease burden, Medicine (General), R5-920, cardiovascular disease, omega-6 polyunsaturated fatty acids, mortality forecasting, Medicine, epidemiology

Přístupová URL adresa: https://doaj.org/article/cfdfcc1c6b0b46f9a8e1c4efff6bbb8e

Efficiency Comparison of Prediction Methods and Analysis of Factors Affecting Savings of People in the Central Region of Thailand

Autoři: Achara Phaeobang Saichon Sinsomboonthong

Zdroj: Journal of Engineering, Vol 2023 (2023)

Témata: Importance of Financial Literacy and Retirement Planning, Economics and Econometrics, Economics, FOS: Political science, Population, Social Sciences, Business, Management and Accounting, FOS: Law, Investment (military), 7. Clean energy, 01 natural sciences, FOS: Economics and business, Sociology, Accounting, 11. Sustainability, FOS: Mathematics, Econometrics, Linear regression, Consequences of Mortgage Credit Expansion and Housing Market Dynamics, Political science, Demography, 0105 earth and related environmental sciences, Agricultural economics, Mortality Forecasting, Statistics, Politics, 1. No poverty, Savings Behavior, Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General), FOS: Sociology, Economics, Econometrics and Finance, Socioeconomics, Socioeconomic status, 8. Economic growth, Population Ageing Research, Mean squared error, TA1-2040, Law, Mathematics

Popis souboru: text/xhtml

Přístupová URL adresa: https://doaj.org/article/8e7ded90704f4d819a16224d0843f1aa

Projections of future life expectancy in China up to 2035: a modelling study

Autoři: Ruhai Bai Yunning Liu Lei Zhang a další

Zdroj: Lancet Public Health

Témata: Male, China, Life expectancy, MEDLINE, FOS: Political science, Population, Social Sciences, Health Professions, FOS: Law, Life Expectancy, Sociology, Health Sciences, Humans, Demographic Projections, Political science, Demography, Mortality Forecasting, Geography, 1. No poverty, Infant, Newborn, Bayes Theorem, Articles, Middle Aged, 3. Good health, FOS: Sociology, Environmental health, Archaeology, Health, General Health Professions, Population Ageing Research, Medicine, Female, Determinants of Health Care Expenditure and Longevity, Impact of Social Factors on Health Outcomes, Population Ageing, Gerontology, Law, Forecasting

Přístupová URL adresa: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/37004714

Learning and forecasting of age-specific period mortality via B-spline processes with locally-adaptive dynamic coefficients

Autoři: Pavone, Federico Legramanti, Sirio Durante, Daniele

Zdroj: The Annals of Applied Statistics. 18

Témata: FOS: Computer and information sciences, 0502 economics and business, 05 social sciences, B-spline, death rate, Kalman filter, mortality forecasting, nested Gaussian process, Applications (stat.AP), B-SPLINE, DEATH RATE, KALMAN FILTER, MORTALITY FORECASTING, NESTED GAUSSIAN PROCESS, 0101 mathematics, Statistics - Applications, 01 natural sciences, 3. Good health

Popis souboru: application/pdf

Přístupová URL adresa: http://arxiv.org/abs/2209.12047
https://hdl.handle.net/11565/4069196
https://doi.org/10.1214/23-AOAS1866
https://projecteuclid.org/journals/annals-of-applied-statistics/volume-18/issue-3/Learning-and-forecasting-of-age-specific-period-mortality-via-B/10.1214/23-AOAS1866.short

Impacts of Climate Change on Mortality: An extrapolation of temperature effects based on time series data in France

Autoři: Guibert, Quentin Pincemin, Gaëlle Planchet, Frédéric a další

Přispěvatelé: Guibert, Quentin Pincemin, Gaëlle Planchet, Frédéric a další

Zdroj: https://hal.science/hal-04596120 ; 2025.

Témata: Climate change, Temperature, Heatwave, Mortality forecasting, Multi-population mortality model, Climate change Temperature Heatwave Mortality forecasting Multi-population mortality model, [STAT.AP]Statistics [stat]/Applications [stat.AP]

Relation: info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/arxiv/2406.02054; ARXIV: 2406.02054

Dostupnost: https://hal.science/hal-04596120
https://hal.science/hal-04596120v4/document
https://hal.science/hal-04596120v4/file/manuscript.pdf
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2406.02054